David

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David

David

@confianet

After 25 years in the trenches of the market, I've learned that success doesn't come from predicting market movements, but from a deep understanding and managem

New York Katılım Şubat 2010
538 Takip Edilen568 Takipçiler
David
David@confianet·
$ASTS INTRADAY: The "Space Casino" Just Hit an Air Pocket If you bought the "SHIELD Contract" hype at $119, you are feeling the g-force right now. $ASTS is flushing hard, trading at $104.70, and we just smashed through key structural support. The "Why" (Gravity Check): The News Fade: The rally from the Missile Defense Agency (SHIELD) contract is cooling off. Traders are remembering the "Sell" rating from Scotiabank ($45 target) and the recent insider selling by the CTO. The Valuation: At 100x 2026 sales, gravity is undefeated. The market is de-risking the "Space Dream" ahead of the next earnings print. The Chart (The Breakdown): The Flush: Look at the 1-hour chart. We lost the cyan Moving Average (trend support) at $113.77 and dropped like a stone. That level is now heavy resistance. The Floor: We are currently clinging to the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $104.40. This is the "Line in the Sand." The Void: If $104.40 snaps, the next algorithmic catch isn't until the 0.618 Fib at ~$98.00. My Game Plan: Bulls: Do not catch this knife. I need to see a 1-hour close back above $108.60 (the 0.382 Fib) to prove buyers are back. Bears: If we bounce to $110 - $113 and fail, I am shorting the "lower high." The trend has flipped. Verdict:The rocket ran out of fuel. The "Dip" isn't safe until the bleeding stops at $104. Resistance: $113.77 (Broken Support) / $119.00 Support: $104.40 (Critical) / $98.00 I warned that the "SHIELD" pump was getting extended. Don't trade the headlines, trade the levels. (Link in bio to join our private war room on WhatsApp) #ASTS #SpaceMobile #StockMarket #DayTrading #Crash #TechnicalAnalysis #5G #SpaceStocks
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David@confianet·
$RMBS INTRADAY: The "Dead Cat" is Sitting on a Trap Door If you are buying this flat action at $115.48 thinking the bleeding is over, zoom in. The 1-hour chart isn't showing a recovery; it's showing a "Bear Flag" hanging off a cliff. The "Why" (The Intel Contagion):Why did we flush -7.6% on Friday? The Trigger: Intel (INTC) tanked 17% on weak AI guidance, and it dragged the entire memory interface sector (including RMBS) down with it. The Divergence: While analysts at William Blair and Baird just reiterated "Outperform" ratings (citing DDR5 demand), the market is voting with its feet. When good ratings can't stop a drop, the trend is broken. The Chart (The Technical Pivot): The Line in the Sand: Look at the hourly chart. We are pinned exactly to the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $115.31. The algos are fighting to hold this level. The MA Rejection: The magenta Moving Average is curling down aggressively and acting as a dynamic ceiling around $124. The Void: If we lose $115.30 and flush through the Friday low of $113.13, there is zero structural support until the gap fill around $109.77. My Game Plan: Bulls: I am sitting on my hands. I need to see a high-volume reclaim of $120 to even consider this safe. Buying here is gambling on "sector sympathy." Bears: If we bounce to $118 - $120 and reject, I am reloading shorts. If $115.30 snaps with volume, I’m chasing the flush to $110. Verdict:This consolidation is "Guilty until proven innocent." The Intel hangover is real. Protect your capital. Resistance: $120.48 / $124.11 Support: $115.31 (Critical) / $109.77 I warned about the "Sector Divergence" risk last week. Don't fight the tape. (Link in bio to join our private war room on WhatsApp) #RMBS #Rambus #Semiconductors #AI #Intel #StockMarket #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Crash
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David@confianet·
$RMBS PRE-MARKET: The "Fat Finger" Flush? Or The Ultimate Bear Trap? If you panic-sold into Friday's close at $97.50, you just got robbed. The market is trading at $115.00 in pre-market, erasing the entire crash in a single tick. Welcome to the "Algo Games." The Setup (The Crime Scene): The Flush: Look at Friday's candle. We gapped down from $124 to open at $102 and flushed to $97.50. That was a -20% capitulation on zero news. The Recovery: We are gapping up +18% this morning to $115.00. This confirms Friday was likely a "Liquidity Sweep" to clear out stop-losses before the next leg up. The Context: Despite the "Profit Taking" headlines, analysts at Baird and William Blair just reiterated "Outperform" ratings, citing massive demand for DDR5 and AI memory chips. The fundamentals didn't break; the chart did. My Game Plan: Bulls: Do not chase this gap at the open. The volatility is toxic. I want to see if $110 holds as a new floor. If we reclaim $120, the squeeze to ATH ($135) is back on. Bears: The easy money was shorting the breakdown on Thursday. Now you are trapped. If we stall at $118 - $120, I might look for a fade, but shorting a +18% gap-up is suicide. Verdict:This wasn't a crash; it was a reset. The "AI Memory" trade is volatile, but the trend is still pointing right. Respect the $115 level. Resistance: $120.00 / $135.75 (ATH) Support: $110.00 / $97.50 (The Ghost Low) I warned about these low-volume stop hunts last week. Don't let the algos steal your shares. (Link in bio to join our private war room on WhatsApp) #RMBS #Rambus #Semiconductors #AI #StockMarket #Volatility #Trading #TechStocks
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David@confianet·
$FIG POST-MARKET: The "Dead Cat" Just Meowed. Don't Pet It. If you are celebrating the bounce to $28.42 today, zoom out. We are still trading in the wreckage of a broken IPO. The "Green Candle" today isn't a recovery; it's a pause in the liquidation. The Ugly Truth (News & Data):Why is this stock down 80% from highs? It’s not just "market sentiment." The Insider Exodus: You are buying while they are selling. CEO Dylan Field just disclosed massive share sales in January. When the founder is hitting the "Sell" button near all-time lows, that is the ultimate red flag. The "Tariff" Hangover: The drop earlier this week was fueled by fears of Trump's 10% tariff on European goods. Figma has huge exposure to European design teams. This "SaaS Trade War" risk isn't going away over the weekend. The Valuation Trap: We are trading at ~$13B valuation, well below the $20B Adobe offer. The market is repricing this as a standalone, money-losing entity ($1B+ Net Loss). Weekend & Next Week Forecast: The Bull Case (The Miracle): We need to see a daily close above $30.00 (psychological & old support) next week to even talk about a reversal. The Bear Case (The Reality): The $26.79 low is the only thing standing between here and $20. Expect the "Lock-Up Expiry" pressure to continue. If Monday opens red, the flush to $25 is likely. My Advice:This is a "Trader's Market," not an "Investor's Market." Use the $29.00 - $30.00 resistance zone to de-risk. Do not hold this bag hoping for 2025 highs. Levels for Monday:Resistance: $29.10 / $33.00 (IPO Price) Support: $26.79 (All-Time Low) I tracked the insider dumping before the filings hit. Stop trading blind. (Link in bio to join our private strategy group on WhatsApp) #FIG #Figma #StockMarket #IPO #InsiderTrading #Crash #SaaS #DayTrading #Prediction
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David@confianet·
$FIG INTRADAY: The "Dead Cat" is Twitching If you are buying this bounce to $28.85 thinking the bottom is in, be very careful. The 1-hour chart suggests this is just a technical relief rally after the violent flush to $26.79. The Setup (The Trap): The "Oversold" Snap: We hit $26.79 and the rubber band snapped back. That's natural physics, not a trend change. The Wall: We are currently slamming headfirst into the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $29.10. This is the first test. In a strong downtrend, this is usually where the "lower high" is set before the next leg down. The Structure: Until we reclaim $30.00 (the breakdown level), this entire move is just a "Bear Flag" forming on the hourly. My Game Plan: Longs: If you caught the knife at $27, take profits into this $29.00 - $29.10 zone. Don't get greedy. Shorts: I am stalking a rejection here at $29.10. If we wick above it and close red, I am reloading shorts for a retest of $27.50. Verdict:The bleeding stopped, but the patient isn't stable. Don't mistake a pause for a recovery. Resistance: $29.10 / $29.47 Support: $27.42 / $26.79 I called the flush zone yesterday. Stop chasing green candles blind. (Link in bio to join our private war room on WhatsApp) #FIG #Figma #StockMarket #DayTrading #DeadCatBounce #TechnicalAnalysis #BearMarket
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David@confianet·
$FIG PRE-MARKET: The "IPO Hype" is Officially Dead If you are still holding $FIG from the $140 highs thinking "it's too cheap," you are learning a painful lesson in valuation gravity. Figma is trading at $27.33 in pre-market, smashing through the $30 floor and its IPO price ($33). The Tape (Why it's flushing): The "Broken IPO" Signal: We are now trading below the July 2025 IPO price of $33. When a high-flyer loses its IPO price, institutions often puke the stock because their "ground floor" investment is underwater. The Fundamental Reality: The market has stopped caring about the 41% revenue growth and started obsessing over the $1.02 Billion Net Loss. In 2026, cash burn is a crime, and Figma is guilty. The Lock-Up Hangover: We are roughly 6 months post-IPO. This vertical drop smells like insiders and early investors heading for the exit before the door closes. The Technicals (Falling Knife): Price Discovery: Look at the hourly chart. We just entered "Price Discovery" to the downside. There is NO historical support below $26.79. The Bands: The Bollinger Bands are blown wide open. The candle is riding the lower band downward—this is a "Walk down" liquidation pattern, not a simple dip. The Trap: RSI is crushed, but don't be a hero. In a capitulation event, "Oversold" just means "Strong Trend Down." My Game Plan: Longs: Absolutely NOT. Catching a falling knife below IPO price is how you blow up accounts. I need to see a weekly close back above $30 to even look at this. Shorts: The easy money was the break of $33. If we bounce to $28.50 - $29.00, I will reload shorts targeting $25. Verdict:The "Adobe Buyout" premium is gone. Now it's just a money-losing SaaS stock in a bear market. Let it burn. Resistance: $30.00 / $33.00 (IPO Price) Support: None (New All-Time Lows) I warned about the "Broken IPO" risk when $33 broke. Avoid the traps. (WA.ME/17025399474) #FIG #Figma #StockMarket #IPO #Crash #SaaS #DayTrading #PriceAction #TechStocks
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David@confianet·
$SXTP PRE-MARKET: The "Low Float" Supernova is Here If you blinked, you missed the move from $2 to $8.62. SXTP is currently trading around $5.75, up over 150% in pre-market. This is textbook "Reverse Split + News" volatility. The Catalyst (Why it's moving): The company just announced a partnership with Runway Health to distribute their malaria drug, ARAKODA, via telehealth. The Hype: Direct-to-consumer access for travelers. The Reality: They just did a 1-for-4 reverse split on Tuesday. The float is tiny, and this news is the match that lit the powder keg. The Technical Reality Check: The Retrace: The chart shows we already hit the "blow-off top" at $8.62. We are now testing the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $5.60 - $5.75. The Line in the Sand: This $5.60 area is the ONLY support right now. If it holds, we could see a "dead cat bounce" back to $6.50. The Flush: If $5.60 snaps, there is zero structure until the next Fib level at $4.30. The elevator down is always faster than the stairs up. My Game Plan: Longs: I am only interested if $5.60 holds for the first 30 minutes. It's high risk. Shorts: If $5.60 fails, I'm short targeting the gap fill. The "easy money" squeeze is likely over. Verdict: This is a momentum trader's playground, not an investment. Get in, scalp the volatility, and get out before the offering headline hits. Resistance: $6.50 / $8.62 Support: $5.60 / $4.30 I tracked this low float setup before the spike. Don't trade alone. Link in bio to join our private war room on WhatsApp. #SXTP #Biotech #PennyStocks #DayTrading #StockMarket #Malaria #PreMarket
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David@confianet·
$ABUS PRE-MARKET: The Courtroom Casino Just Turned Ugly The drop on Friday wasn't random. The European Patent Office revoked Arbutus's key LNP patent (EP '254), slamming the stock down ~14% on 7x normal volume. The News vs. The Noise: The European patent revocation is a blow, but the "Big Show" is still the US trial against Moderna scheduled for March 2026. The market is panic-selling the EU loss, potentially ignoring the US upside. However, in the short term, price pays. The Technical Reality Check: The Breakdown: We sliced through the $4.40 support zone like butter. That level is now heavy resistance. The Floor: The only thing holding this up is Friday's panic low of ~$3.68. The current pre-market price of $4.02 is just a weak "dead cat bounce" inside the dump candle. The Trap: A lot of retail traders are trapped above $4.50. Any rally into $4.20 - $4.30 will likely get sold into by bagholders looking to exit. My Game Plan: Longs: I am sitting on my hands. I need to see a daily close back above $4.20 to believe the bleeding has stopped. The US trial is the next real catalyst, but that is months away. Shorts: The easy money was made on the breakdown. I'd watch for a rejection at $4.20 to reshort, targeting a retest of $3.68. Verdict: This is no longer an investment; it is a litigation lotto ticket. Trade the chart, not the hope. Resistance: $4.20 / $4.40 Support: $3.68 / $2.70 (52-week lows) I track these binary biotech events live. Don't get caught on the wrong side of a headline. Link in bio to join our private intel group on WhatsApp. #ABUS #Biotech #Moderna #StockMarket #Trading #Investing #PatentWar
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David@confianet·
$ASTS Post-Market Recap: The "Spinning Top" Warning We closed the day at $112.44 (-2.88%). After going parabolic and completely detaching from the trend channel, the gravity finally kicked in at $120.80. This daily candle is a textbook "Spinning Top" (or Doji) right at the highs. The Trader's Read: Indecision: The long upper wick ($120.80) shows sellers are active at the highs. The lower wick ($111.03) shows dip buyers are still hungry. The market is effectively blinking after a sprint. Overextended: We are trading miles above the Upper Channel Support (~$96). A pullback here isn't bearish; it's necessary mechanics to build a new floor. The Signal: A red spinning top after a vertical move is often a signal for a "Pause" or a "Short-term Reversal." The Game Plan for Tomorrow: The Bull Fortress ($106): I am watching the top of the previous green candle's body at $106.11. As long as we stay above this level, this is just a high-level bull flag. The Bear Flush: If we lose $106, the air pocket is huge. We likely flush down to retest the breakout point at $96.00. Verdict:Don't panic over a -3% red day. This is the "Shakeout" before the next decision. Tomorrow's open determines if we rip to $130 or dip to $96. I have the specific Opening Range Breakout (ORB) levels ready. Check my bio & add me on WhatsApp for the morning strategy. #ASTS #SpaceMobile #5G #StockMarket #DayTradi
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$ASTS Intraday Urgent: Bulls Refusing to Dip Look at this 1H chart—absolute strength. The bulls are flexing hard. The retest of the Fib 0.236 level ($112.32) was textbook perfection. While the retail crowd sits on their hands waiting for a "safe" pullback to $100, the Smart Money is front-running them, consolidating right here above $115. We are hovering at $119+, just inches away from the $120.80 High. The Intraday Setup: The Blue Sky Breakout: If we rip through $121 with volume, there is zero resistance above. That triggers a violent Short Squeeze into price discovery mode. The Double Top Risk: Don't FOMO blindly right under resistance. Watch out for a rejection at $120.80 that traps the late longs. I am stalking a very specific trigger zone right now. As soon as it hits, I’m punching the ticket for the breakout run. Stop guessing in the dark. 👇 🔥 Check my bio & add me on WhatsApp for the real-time entry signal. #ASTS #SpaceMobile #5G #StockMarket #DayTrading #Breakout #BlueSky #TechnicalAnalysis
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$ASTS PRE-MARKET: Holiday Hangover or Discount Entry? We closed Friday at highs ($118+), but the pre-market reality check is here. Currently sitting at $112.20, down roughly 5%. The Setup: The chart went parabolic last week. When a ticker goes vertical like this, a pullback is mandatory. The algo machines are currently flushing out the late money that chased the Friday close. The Reality Check: Rookies will see the -$6 drop, think "Cheap shares!" and market buy at the open. Do. Not. Catch. A. Falling. Knife. Veterans know the gap fill is the magnet. The MDA contract news is solid, but the valuation is stretched here. My Game Plan: The Line in the Sand: Watching $112 closely. This is the first line of defense. If we hold this zone for the first 30 mins, we might see a bounce back to $116. The Flush: If $112 snaps, the elevator cable is cut. The next major support is the $100 psychological level. I will be looking for shorts if $112 fails as support. Verdict: Volatility will be violent today. Don't be liquidity for the exit pump. Let the dust settle before you click buy. Resistance: $116 / $120 Support: $110 / $102 I call these plays live during the session. Don't trade alone. Link in bio to join the inner circle on WhatsApp. #ASTS #SpaceMobile #Stocks #DayTrading #PreMarket #StockMarket
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$FIG Post-Market Analysis. $30.00 IS GONE. New All-Time Lows.We closed at $29.68, printing a massive bearish candle with zero buyers in sight. The Reality: The floor has collapsed. We are in "Price Discovery" mode to the downside. The Catalyst: Next week is the final countdown to the Jan 27 Lock-Up Expiry. The panic selling is accelerating to front-run the insiders. Next Week's Outlook: Resistance: $30.50 is now heavy resistance. Support: NONE. Target is $28.00. Strategy: Do NOT catch this knife. Let the lock-up flush happen. Cash is a position. I’ve already positioned for the ONE stock that will benefit from next week's volatility. Join the War Room on WhatsApp. (WA.ME/17757647067)
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$FIG URGENT UPDATE. $30.00 SUPPORT IS GONE.The "Reversal" failed. We just broke the floor to hit $29.84 (New ATH Lows). The Reality: The earlier bounce was a trap. Sellers are front-running the Jan 27 Lock-Up with zero mercy. The Chart: We are in downward "Price Discovery." There is NO support below. The Strategy: Resistance: $30.20 is now the ceiling. Target: Bears are aiming for $28.50. Advice: Stop catching the knife. If $30 doesn't reclaim by close, we gap down tomorrow. I’m looking for the exhaustion volume to signal the REAL bottom. Join the War Room on WhatsApp.
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$FIG Intraday Update. THE $30 REVERSAL IS HERE.If you are holding, look at the chart. We flushed to $30.08 and instantly ripped back to $32.15+. The Signal: Massive Institutional Buy Walls stepped in at $30. The "Panic Sellers" just gave their shares to the whales. The Hope: That long wick proves buyers are finally aggressive. The Strategy: Support: $31.50 is the new floor. Target: We are squeezing late shorts. Next stop $33.00 (IPO Price). Advice: Don't panic sell the reversal. Wait for the rip to $33. I’m tracking the institutional flow to see if we hold this into the close. Join the War Room. NEXT WEEK'S ALPHA: I have already identified a high-quality strong stock for next week's operation. Expected Profit: ~120% Holding Time: ~7 Working Days Setup: Institutional accumulation is complete. Ready to fly. Don't miss the entry. Click the link in Bio to get the ticker!
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David@confianet·
$VERO Intraday ALERT. +392% MOVER. Did we just print money?We gapped from $1.40 to $7.10 instantly. The Catalyst: Market is pricing in the Merger/Asset Sale closing in Q1 2026. The arbitrage spread is getting squeezed. WARNING: Check the math. $1.40 x 5 = $7.00. This could be a 1:5 Reverse Split adjustment. Verify your share count! The Playbook: Bull Case: If volume sustains above $7.10, shorts are trapped. We squeeze to $9.00. Bear Case: If it's just a split, the "gain" is fake. Watch for a flush below $6.50. Volatility is extreme. Trade safe. I have already identified the NEXT high-quality runner for next week (Expected +120% Profit). Don't miss the entry. (Click the link in Bio to get the ticker) #VERO #StockMarket #Supernova #MergerArbitrage #DayTrading #PennyStocks #ShortSqueeze
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David@confianet·
$ASPI Post-Market Wrap. FUD FAILED. The Squeeze is ON.They tried to dump it with "Lawsuit News", but the market bought the dip instantly. The Close: We finished strong at $7.48 (+5.5%). The Reality: Shorts are Trapped: With 21% Short Interest, they needed this to crash today. It didn't. The Target: Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated $13.00. We are just getting started. Tomorrow's Plan: Support: $7.40 is the new floor. The Trigger: Watch the break of $7.75. Once that clears, we gap up to $8.40. I’m tracking the exact level to add size for the $8.00 breakout. Don't trade this alone. Join the War Room on WhatsApp. #ASPI #Uranium #NuclearEnergy #ShortSqueeze #StockMarket #DayTrading #Bullish
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$CMCL Intraday URGENT. STOP. Check your data.If you see $33.00, your chart is FROZEN. The Reality: We are trading at $26.80 (-17%) right now. The Catalyst: They upsized the Dilution to $125M + Cut Guidance + COO Quit. The market is puking. The Playbook (Real-Time): The Trap: Do not buy the "dip" thinking it's a normal correction. This is a fundamental repricing. Resistance: $28.00 is the new ceiling. Support: Holding $26.50 for now, but volume is heavy on the sell side. Refresh your screens. Don't trade a ghost chart. I am live tracking the "Real-Time" support level where this flush finally bottoms. Click the link in my Bio to join the WhatsApp group. #CMCL #Gold #StockMarketCrash #Dilution #DayTrading #MarketAlert #MiningStocks
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$CMCL Pre-Market Alert. RUG PULL CONFIRMED.If you are holding from yesterday's $32.00 close, you are waking up to a nightmare. The Price: Pre-market is indicating $26.76, a massive ~18% gap down. The Catalyst: The "Bad News Trifecta" hit overnight: $125M Convertible Debt (Dilution). Guidance Cut (Lower Production). COO Quit abruptly. The Setup:The $34.00 breakout was a trap. The "Kill Zone": We are opening right at the 200-Day MA ($26.75). The Play: If $26.00 holds, we scalp the "Dead Cat Bounce" to $28. If it breaks, see you at $24. I’m watching the Level 2 data at $26.00. I’ll share the exact moment to catch the bounce (or short the flush) on WhatsApp. (Click the link in Bio to join) #CMCL #Gold #StockMarketCrash #Dilution #DayTrading #GapDown #MiningStocks
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@radtdd99 You can add my WhatsApp from my bio. I'll provide the next steps to help you avoid losses.
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matador@radtdd99·
@confianet It’s not going to zero the company has cash and revenues I think we are at the bottom
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$MTEN Intraday Alert. The "Zombie" is waking up.This chart is a crime scene. We watched it flush from $1.33 to $0.02. But pay attention: Volume is coming back. We just bounced 200% off the lows ($0.025 -> $0.075) in the last hour. The Setup:This is a pure "Lotto Play." The Floor: $0.025 is the absolute bottom. The Trigger: If we hold above $0.06, sellers are exhausted. I am looking for a squeeze back to $0.15. The Risk: Extreme. This can go to zero tomorrow. Position size accordingly. High risk, high reward. Only for the brave. I’m tracking the next "Sub-Penny" runner that is setting up just like this. I’ll drop the ticker on WhatsApp. (Link in Bio) #MTEN #PennyStocks #StockMarket #Volatility #DayTrading #Lotto #HighRisk
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$MTEN (Not $MTEZ) Daily Alert. This is what a 98% Wipeout looks like.From $1.33 to $0.02 in days. The chart is a crime scene. The Reality: If you held from $1.00, it's over. The Opportunity: We are now in "Lotto Land." The stock bounced from $0.025 to $0.07 intraday. That is a 200% move for scalpers. Tomorrow's Plan: The Risk: Infinite. This could be delisted or halted at any moment. The Play: Only for gamblers. I am watching $0.03 support. If it holds, we might see a dead cat bounce to $0.10. I’ve found a much safer setup that is just starting its breakout (unlike this disaster). Get the ticker on WhatsApp. #MTEN #PennyStocks #StockMarketCrash #RugPull #HighRisk #DayTrading #Gambling
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