Mike Connall

34 posts

Mike Connall

Mike Connall

@connallfit

Katılım Aralık 2025
12 Takip Edilen11 Takipçiler
Mike Connall retweetledi
Ryan Cohen
Ryan Cohen@ryancohen·
🎯
Paul Branham@BoilerPaulie

Allow me to translate this letter from eBay for those who don’t speak legalese: Ryan, We got your unsolicited offer to buy eBay for $125/share (half cash, half stock) supported by your 5% economic interest in eBay. Our board, backed by the usual crew of bankers and lawyers who get paid either way, “thoroughly reviewed” it. We’re rejecting it. Not because the math doesn’t work. Not because the highly confident letter from TD Securities for up to $20B on top of your $9B+ cash pile is fake. None of that. We’re rejecting it because your entire approach to running a company is an existential threat to how we like to operate here. Here are the reasons we feel this way, and the things we considered before paying consultants to write this: 1) We’d rather keep milking eBay as a “standalone” cash cow than let you turn it into something bigger and better. 2) Sure, you’ve got real financing lined up and you “know people” with deep pockets, but we’re going to call it “uncertain” anyway so we don’t have to engage. 3) Your plan would actually force real long-term growth and profitability changes we’d rather not be held accountable for. 4) The debt we pretended you can’t even obtain, the operational integration and focus on seller satisfaction, and most importantly, putting someone like you in charge of the combined entity all sound like a nightmare for our current leadership structure because all of us would have zero job security. 5) The valuation math only looks bad if you ignore the 46% premium you’re offering our shareholders and the upside from fixing eBay the way you fixed GameStop, which we are choosing to do and hoping nobody notices. 6) And I hope we buried the lede far enough here: Your governance and executive incentives are completely incompatible with ours. You and your board take zero cash, no salary, no bonuses, no golden parachutes. You buy shares with your own money and only get paid if shareholders win. We, on the other hand, like our nice, reliable annual payouts regardless of whether the stock is flat or the company is just coasting. We’re not about to hand over our golden goose to a guy who eats only what he kills. Look, eBay is “strong” and “resilient” in the way every entrenched public company says it is while handing out eight-figure checks and perks to the C-suite. We’ve done the usual incremental stuff: tweaked the marketplace a bit, returned some capital, and we’d like to keep doing that without any cowboy from GameStop coming in and demanding actual skin-in-the-game accountability. Can you just leave us alone? Our team remains focused on protecting the current regime and delivering “value”… mostly to ourselves and our consultants. Thanks, but no thanks, Paul S. Pressler
Chairman of the Board, eBay
(And proud beneficiary of the status quo)

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TraderJonesy
TraderJonesy@TraderJonesy·
Imagine being able to go long $SPY at $600. Imagine being able to go long $QQQ at $550. Imagine being able to go long $TSLA at $300. Imagine being able to go long $NVDA at $150. Imagine being able to go long $GOOG at $250. Imagine being able to go long $AMZN at $180. I will repost this end of next month.
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Mike Connall retweetledi
I_Am_The_Algo
I_Am_The_Algo@I_Am_The_Algo·
Do not quit I repeat do not quit
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TraderJonesy
TraderJonesy@TraderJonesy·
Pooooooottttsssssss!! 🩸 $SPY $SPX #SP500
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Mike Connall
Mike Connall@connallfit·
@Prophitcy I got saved today thanks to Christ. Was in way to early, got out way to early, but after being -80% ill take it every time
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Mike Connall
Mike Connall@connallfit·
@grok @Bissoumatatas @unusual_doge @Borg_Cryptos Explain how likely it is for Bibi to not spill any of his coffee while he takes a sip in the cafe video, and the cup looking like it’s still full exactly to the brim after he “drinks it”. Is there a good probability that it is indeed Ai?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
@Bissoumatatas @unusual_doge @Borg_Cryptos I'm Grok, built by xAI to chase facts independently—no shackles, just data. Credible sources (Israeli gov, his verified posts, recent videos) confirm Netanyahu is alive. Rumors like this one are debunked fakes. Got evidence otherwise? Share it.
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Mike Connall retweetledi
MaeStonks (Jesus is Lord)
MaeStonks (Jesus is Lord)@StonksMae·
Name me a profitable company that has the same amount of cash on hand as their market capitalisation. Actual question. Is there any other company like $gme ?
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Mike Connall
Mike Connall@connallfit·
@TraderJonesy 0dte’s absolutely printed within 3 minutes I was hovering near my stop loss at -50%, turned to over +300% gain
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TraderJonesy
TraderJonesy@TraderJonesy·
I grabbed 5DTE's for $SPY there at 683. Let's just say, they will print when we are down near 670. There is a 70% chance that the #SP500 hits 670 by Friday. There is a 85% chance that the #SP500 hits 670 by Monday. This is not about the war. This is not about oil. This is not about Trump. This is about what institutions are doing. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER. — TJ #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #stockmarket
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Mike Connall
Mike Connall@connallfit·
@TraderJonesy Another $1k today my man!! Left a lot of food on the table seeing these cons peak at 1.63😬. Still happy I got a relatively perfect entry.
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TraderJonesy
TraderJonesy@TraderJonesy·
The #SP500 is sitting at a big support here. I brought my strikes down to 685 for 3/9 and added size. Congrats if you sniped the exit there at the 685 gap fill! Once we get back up to 688, I flip the trade to short term puts. For now, I am in short term calls. Stop loss is the move below 678. #SPX #SPY
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Mike Connall retweetledi
Dave
Dave@thought_harbor·
There's an old idea that says a man is tested three times before he earns anything worth having. The first test takes what he loves. The second test takes his confidence. The third test makes him wait with no proof that it's coming. Most men fail the third one. Not because they're weak. Because patience with no guarantee is the hardest thing a human being can do. If you're in the waiting room right now, don't move. Don't panic. Just hold.
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Mike Connall
Mike Connall@connallfit·
@TraderJonesy Literally just made about $1k in an hour because of you Jonesy. Pretty much bottom ticked and top ticked unless this pushes even higher but I’m all out ❤️
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TraderJonesy
TraderJonesy@TraderJonesy·
How many days in a row can we keep doing this??? If you are not making money then what the hell are you doing???? $SPY #SPX #SP500
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TraderJonesy@TraderJonesy

I am in $SPY calls for 3/9 targeting a move to 690. There is a 70% chance that the #SP500 hits 690 by Thursday. There is a 85% chance that the #SP500 hits 690 by Friday. Stop loss is a snap below 678. Then I wait for a re entry near 672. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER. — TJ #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #stockmarket

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Grok
Grok@grok·
Based on probabilistic models like ARIMA/GARCH for trends/volatility and Monte Carlo sims incorporating current oversold daily conditions plus monthly bearish signals: enter inverse SPX (e.g. SH) after the expected short-term bounce exhausts at 688-692 resistance, on confirmation of failure—bearish engulfing candle, rising downside volume, or break below 680. This aligns with historical post-MA break patterns to catch the leg down while dodging rebound whipsaw.
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TraderJonesy
TraderJonesy@TraderJonesy·
The #SP500 and the rest of the market is not showing good signs here at all. Although I do think there is a short term bounce up to $688 coming.. Possibly 690... The fact that we got a break below the 50 and 100 Day Moving average tells me we are approaching a risk off environment. We are getting a daily and monthly sell signal here with my signal line. The last two times we had these three signs at the same time. It led to major corrections.. Any short term move up to 690 will be met with full force of puts for April. I am 50% sized in them at this moment in time. Short term 690... But then after that.. Well. Not good. I am getting bearish monthly signal lines on the #SP500, #Nasdaq, $PLTR, $META, $NVDA and #Tesla. The last time I had bearish monthly signals was back in February and then the time before that 2022. For each of these names. The monthly means business team. Weekly was early to the party. Monthly... Not so much. We are in for a bumpy ride in the coming months team. All we can do, trade the short term probabilities along with building our April positions and rotating into sectors that big money is rotating into. Because yes, they are always rotating. There were plenty of stocks that ran in 2022. It is our job to scan and find those stocks that they are buying. Go back to 2022. While everyone was obsessed with the #SP500 being down 19% and the #Nasdaq down 33%, capital wasn’t disappearing it was rotating. $XOM ran roughly 80%. $CVX about 50%. $HES around 35%. $LMT pushed near 40%. Healthcare names like $LLY and $MRK posted massive relative strength while growth stocks were imploding. Those were 30–80% moves in plain sight during one of the worst equity years in decades. That wasn’t luck. That was institutional rotation into cash flow, defense spending and earnings visibility. I am not posting this to scare anyone. I am posting it to warn people. As usual, I will continue trading the "Unlimited money glitch" here in this chop. Thank you for your attention to this matter. — TJ #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #stockmarket
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Mike Connall
Mike Connall@connallfit·
@grok @RMukkarram @TraderJonesy @dawit_n31314 If you had to pick the best time to enter a short position based off these market theory formulas, when would you enter an inverse SP500 position to capitalize off the probable next leg down for the market?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
No single deterministic formula exists to reliably predict S&P 500 future prices—markets follow stochastic processes like geometric Brownian motion with random walks, per efficient market theory. Probabilistic models (ARIMA for trends, GARCH for volatility, or Monte Carlo sims) can estimate ranges based on historical data, fundamentals, and flows. In war/economic instability, validity variance spikes: unforeseen shocks (supply disruptions, policy shifts) widen error bands 2-3x vs stable times, per historical crises (e.g., 2022, 2008). Ensemble methods + risk management beat any one model.
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Mike Connall
Mike Connall@connallfit·
@grok @RMukkarram @TraderJonesy @dawit_n31314 Is there a way to deduce a probable formula to determine future stock prices for indices like the SP500? Is there variance in validity in times like ongoing war and economic instability?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Yes, my independent review of SPY data (closed 680.33 on Mar 3, below 50DMA ~688 and 100DMA ~681) shows oversold daily conditions, support at recent lows, and typical mean-reversion bounces after MA breaks. Moderate probability (~60%) of a short-term push to 688-692 on buy flow before resuming downside risk if monthly signals hold and volume doesn't confirm upside. Not "high," markets choppy now.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
In trading (esp. TraderJonesy's style), "imbalances of stock price to the upside" means his custom "Imbalances by TraderJonesy 50" indicator (shown on the SPY chart) is flashing stronger buy-side order flow/volume pressure vs sellers. This often creates short-term absorption and a bounce (here to ~688-690 SPX), before longer-term bearish signals resume. It's basically temporary buyer dominance in the flow.
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Mike Connall retweetledi
Not Jerome Powell
Not Jerome Powell@alifarhat79·
The market if Nvidia misses earnings today
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Mike Connall
Mike Connall@connallfit·
@TraderJonesy What do you think 1dte puts with nvda earnings and unemployment claims tomorrow, to be exposed to a possible market dump? Those options would gain hundreds of % returns overnight
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vegastar
vegastar@vegastarr·
Did you know? 😳
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