Context

The Bitcoin chart in 2026:

@SJosephBurns I'm loving your gifs on various trading aspects. Incredible. 😆

@SJosephBurns I am not successful yet, probably new. Till now from what I have learned - Risk management and discipline. Know where your invalidation is and respect it.

Question for successful traders only: What is your best advice for new traders still blowing accounts? ⬇️

@CryptoCred The question is what time frame are we looking at for these 3 steps before execution. Is it D1 -> 4h -> 1h or 4h -> 15m -> 5m or both and in same fashion for HTFs above D1?

New traders get told that they have to have specific 'setups' So they spend all day back-testing some random price pattern and shove a couple of indicators in there for good measure, and then fire risk into the book as soon as it 'triggers' In reality the vast majority of your returns as a crypto trader most likely won't be set up-driven but rather regime-driven Most of the time the market does mostly nothing And if you try to force your set ups in the wrong regime, then you'll just get bad results (e.g. momentum trading breakouts in a choppy market) So I think the first useful port of call is at least some broad sense of what type of regime the market is in This doesn't need to be complicated: you can just look at the chart, use some basic moving averages or even common sense to get an understanding of trending, mean-reverting, momentum, catalyst-based, volatility compression/expansion etc (complexity can be layered in later if required) Each regime should then have specific playbooks or set ups associated with it For example if the market is trending then you might adjust to trade shallower pullbacks, lower time frames, faster moving averages, less drastic momentum resets etc. That same so-called set up would get you absolutely cooked in a choppy market In other words the super TLDR is that the correct hierarchy is: 1. Regime is the first filter 2. Setup is tied to the regime 3. Execution nuances As a practical example: The current regime is technically defined as "soul-crushing dogshit" so the correct setup is to develop a nicotine and video game addiction Hope this helps

@SJosephBurns Sam Bankman Fried

Write a cryptocurrency horror story in THREE words or less. ⬇️

@SJosephBurns Very Nice, love it.

When someone asks me what a stop loss is I show them this.

@Tradermayne No Trick. I don't think this time he can just announce and back out (of an ongoing war).

Remember 1 year ago when Trump announced all the tariffs? Liberation day. Wonder what trick he's got up his sleeve this year.

@solidintel_x Nothing confirmed here. Talks "MAY" take place, in "COMING DAYS". Neither the meeting, nor the date or time is confirmed.

INTEL: PAKISTAN CONFIRMS IRAN-US TALKS MAY TAKE PLACE IN ISLAMABAD IN THE COMING DAYS

@SJosephBurns Cannot agree more. But first it will need longer enough time to accept the fact that trading is a long haul And then the timer for "It will take longer than you expect" starts.

Trading success takes longer than you expect, then happens at a bigger scale than you can imagine.

@TraderMotif Agree. Instead, I have been learning a lot from chats with AI (that is if I frame the questions properly).

I’ve been spending less time on here because quite frankly it’s been nothing but hot garbage. Doom posting everywhere. Rubbish takes. AI slop and just overall extremely negative commentary. Not something I want to consume or be a part of anymore. I learn absolutely nothing being on here anymore. It’s just -ev to be scrolling this garbage app.

Weekly AO bear divergence on ES, sticky inflation, weak jobs & oil-driven geopolitical risk Not calling a crash, but the confluence is hard to ignore. Risk-reward tilts bearish. Watching for weekly confirmation. 📉 #ES #SP500 #trading #BTC

Accept the Noise The market is messy. Sometimes it will hit your stop and then go your way. That isn't a sign you need a wider stop. It’s a sign that, that specific trade was part of the statistical probability of losing.

Closing a "bad" trade is more profitable for our psychology than accidentally winning a "hope" trade.

Best way to manage a trade is no interference, especially mentally. Once entry, SL and TP are set, there’s nothing else to do. Step away, do something productive, and accept whatever outcome the market gives. That’s the beauty of trading.

Trading is a business. Early on, the goal is to understand its intricacies by doing. Keep risk minimal, take trades to learn, build data on your system, review it, fix gaps, and only then think about going big.

Back on X after a few months off. Took time to recharge and rethink direction. Pivoted to TradFi a month ago. Not leaving crypto, just not married to it anymore. Exploring all markets I can access in 2026.

@solidintel_x $BTC treasury next or Buyback of $TSLA

INTEL: Tesla is holding the largest cash balance in its history, with $42.24B on its balance sheet

@Cointelegraph Probably a sign that all the selling in crypto have not left the market, but parked for future opportunities.

🔥 BIG: Total stablecoin market cap hits an all-time high of $310B.

So true, this is exactly where we are. Feels like the early days of any developing financial sector: chaos, uncertainty, and bad actors taking advantage of people trying to make money. Being right and making money is tough, but absolutely doable.

@donalt So did u trade that PA back then, or left the screen for a few months?

This recent price action is peak 2018 Throws me back, I didn't think we'd get this again