Noel

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Noel

Noel

@cosmicseamonkey

East Coast living, but West Coast soul. Sea Monkey, Space Junkie. Snickerdoodle Connoisseur. Cowboys & Seahawks. Prefers the company of dogs over humans. 🐾

In an Ocean of Stars... Katılım Şubat 2016
135 Takip Edilen16 Takipçiler
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
We will be LIVE TRADING with @ForexIke as our guest trader today. We will live trade, talk about his journey / how he came to trade the way he does, and any questions you all have for him drop them in the live chat! If we get 150+ live viewers I will give away $80 live on stream. All you gotta do is: - like / retweet this tweet - join in on the stream and listen for your X usernmae to be announced. If you aren't on stream we will just move onto the next random winner until someone claims it Tune in here: youtube.com/watch?v=NGB-s2…
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Noel
Noel@cosmicseamonkey·
@MichaelPatak Love the fact that you also gave traders the CHOICE. Game changers all around!
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Topstep
Topstep@Topstep·
🎉 FREE Trading Combine! Got your attention? Following @Topstep pays off, literally. We’re giving five traders a FREE 50K Trading Combine. Entering is easy: 1. Follow @Topstep 2. Repost this tweet 3. Reply with #TopstepCombine Tune into @TopstepTV Monday morning to hear who the winners are! Ends August 11, 2025 at 8am CT. Let’s GO! No purchase necessary. Open to U.S. Residents only, restrictions apply. Winners chosen at random. Full rules: bit.ly/4l8qEDt
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Noel
Noel@cosmicseamonkey·
@ac_trades Patience always pays in the Pack! Each and every day.
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
Cashflow extracted and executed live for the free live trade session of Mondays! We broke below market open and in the analysis Scenario #3 was the trade. > we broke BELOW market open and because we are shaping to be more bullish than bearish = cashflow shorts > when we broke below market open the P12 mid had a 90% probability of being hit! June ended up being a solid month after a poor start. Lets own July!
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Austin Clark@AC_Trades

GOOD MORNING! Analysis: Currently we have an in statistic low of day at 1800 with an out of stat HOD @ 0535. Combined with this we have current stats below price: - midnight open - P12 mid - 4 bearish levels Today is a unique day with midnight open retracements where there IS a high probability of retracement yet there isn't enough room for price to move to make it worth it putting on risk. I target 0.12% price movement to midnight but where price currently is I couldn't even get 0.1% so here is what I am planning on doing... Trade Ideas Scenario #1 - This would be the move I would put the most risk on -> break down to retrace all stats below and reject the P12 mid -> then we break back above P12 high (22,915.75) where I will long Scenario #2 - We leave all the stats below and start breaking above P12 high (22,915.75) and I will be patient waiting for a pullback once we break Q1 high (0600-0830) for longs Scenario #3 - If I miss both 1 and 2 oppertunities I will wait for market open to look for a market open break that compliments the highest probable movement of the daily candle which is if we leave this out of stat HOD made @ 0530 I can then long above targeting those highs. If we make a new HOD at market open it will be cahflow targets long instead of extended targets. Own this day and week.

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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
So it looks like scenario #2 was the setup and we executed LIVE in the free live trade session with The Pack! We are doing a bootcamp coming up in July hosted by my good friend @Matthewwmickey1 where we teach all of this. Instead of accepting anyone and everyone, the ONLY way to get access to what we do / our live trade streams daily is going through the bootcamp. > Join the discord > join the waitlist > See realistic expectations in trading combined with objective logic behind trading We owned the day, lets move onto tomorrow 🤟
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Austin Clark@AC_Trades

Good Morning! Analysis: We have a really good in stat LOD @ 1800 with a break above the P12 high as we speak. The closest footprint to price is at 22,043.75. This is giving every signature of a face ripper to the upside. Stats below price: > Midnight Open > P12 mid > Open prices 1-7am Given that we are making an out of statistic high with an IN statistic low > as long as we stay above the P12 high (22,013.75) I will be hands off on any sort of mean reversion / midnight open retracement trade Trade Ideas: Scenario #1 - We break back inside P12 where then I will take bearish distribution for 0.12% Scenario #2 - We stay extending above P12 > We break Q1 high (0600-0830) & I will look for a bullish distribution for 0.12% to the upside Scenario #3 - Market open sets up and we leave an out of statistic high > price breaks above market open > I take a cashflow target to the upside to make an in stat high of day

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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
We commonly hear "marry live price action" to whatever your outlook on trading is. My personal outlook? Objective, measurable statistics. Repeatable movements that happen MORE than not & when to spot the VARIANCE (times the stats do not play out) while anticipating the times price respects stats. I'll be sharing everything in this thread with live examples:
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
I’m so sick of seeing people say BS reasons why you’re struggling as a trader The amount of trades you take per day is not why you are unprofitable The timeframe you are on is not the reason you are unprofitable The instrument you trade is not the reason you are unprofitable Blaming a time frame, trades per day, etc is just casting the blame onto something / someone else instead of accepting you are simply undisciplined. I can’t tell you how many times I hear people say “yea I’m gonna limit myself to 1 trade a day that will fix my discipline” So you’re gonna restrict your growth and reps the market gives you because of an arbitrary number? John Rambo said it best - “it’s just a fuc**** trade” Stop being a baby and attack your issue head on instead of blaming a timeframe or trade frequency or an instrument
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
WE STARTING THE WEEK OF STRONG BABY!!!! Called live this morning with my good friend @Matthewwmickey1 on stage FOR FREE in the discord for our Free Monday live trade sessions :) Too blessed to be stressed man. Pack Freaking Trade Group 🤟
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
I can't begin to explain to you all how we all trade the same stuff and everything is within the same movements I sat on a 3-hour phone call today with @YKywala , we have had many disagreements in the past around trading philosophy, risk, etc. I wanted to hop on a call to SEE his perspective in price and see where the alignment/misalignment is with what we both see The result? We each laugh, discovering we trade, execute, and capture the SAME moves the SAME way. The only difference is how we made these moves our OWN through doing the same thing every day. THIS is where edge is made. THIS is why it is even called edge. The "edge" of a blade isn't sharpened the first time it hits the stone. Its through continuous effort. This industry is hard enough; don't make it harder by choosing to act as if you have the golden ticket. The weight alone that ego holds is too much to hold combined with executing daily. Odds are...you most likely are trading the same thing that you criticize. When you frame yourself in that mindset, it makes it 10x harder to ACCEPT losing positions, and losing is 100% certain. You don't have to learn and be an expert on 100s of strategies, but put your ego aside and learn someone else's perspective. You will be very shocked at what you may find.
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
Here is a visual representation of why I personally think THE WORST advice anyone could give you yet you see praised all over social media is when you are taking losses "size down" Your risk management should come from your process not your PNL. You only make it exponentially harder to grow your account when you cut your risk after losing. You THEN have to win twice as much to be right back to where you were prior to "sizing down" Think about this next time you have a red day. Your risk management should take care of the law of large numbers, not on the fly risk adjustments
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
I see alot of people complain about how toxic the trading X space is. You all are using it all wrong. Use the hate, trolling, etc to your advantage not disadvantage. Make that fuel you to be an even better version of yourself. Then surround yourself with killers. I had an idiot try telling me statistics will lose edge and this is a fad. Instead of losing an ounce of sleep, I doubled down and month over month I have improved dramatically as a risk manager than I ever would without the fuel of people doubting me. You can see even from December VS January of my performance has dramatically improved in terms of less frequency of trades, larger profits, and less exposure in the markets. I truly live and breath what I tell people everyday, "Never let anyone tell you that YOU can't do something they have never done themselves" The only person you NEED to prove is the man/woman in the mirror, BUT use the fuel of negativity and toxicity in your favor instead of feeding to the broke-minded BS that makes you 0 money. 2025 is personal.
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
WELP hahahaha in a matter of 1 single candle it took out every single statistic it was suppose to today No trade for me personally but still extremely cool to see how even on a high-impact news day where everyone thinks this stuff is so dangerous we were able to see how it respects statistics perfectly
Austin Clark tweet media
Austin Clark@AC_Trades

Setting up for another great potential setup for me Stats above price: > Midnight > Opening hours 1-7 > 0625-0630 Range left open > Bullish probability levels We are currently positioned perfectly in a bullish footprint so once I get bullish distribution I will scale into longs for 0.12% targets

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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
BEAUTY one minute TP today haha called live infront of 80 people for free on the Monday stream 🤟 Once we came down and took those probability levels I had everything I needed to execute the high risk setup I set out for myself that I wrote down for you all earlier this morning :)
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Austin Clark@AC_Trades

Good Morning! This morning we are setting up for a potential killer setup for me personally Far extended below: > Midnight Open > 1930-2030 Range > Opening prices 1-3 > Chuck Norris Zone My Trade plan for today - Will scale into longs at light risk if I get bullish distribution anywhere near here *What I would LOVE to see happen* - scale into higher risk longs if we dump down taking out the bearish probability levels below, opening prices 4-7, THEN get bullish distribution with price being below all statistics Either way 1930-2030 is left open going into NY & this is something I love giving importance to as its a very high probability by end of day retracing.

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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
You don't NEED positive RR, you just need edge. IF you can find something in price that produces a repeatable outcome, ALL you have to do is tailor risk to that repeatable outcome. I never think about a singular trade RR but instead always position myself in positive high-probability (objectively from data not feeling BS) trades that have a positive expectancy. I set out to do the exact opposite of a lot of the famous cliches just to show you all there is ZERO generalizations in trading: - "The Trend is your friend" - intraday the range / mean reversion is statistically more of your friend - "Losers add to Losers" - Objectively speaking building a position in drawdown makes your AVERAGE cost basis better towards an intended target. As long as you ACTUALLY have edge and measured risk, you are building a homerun trade. - "You need the High Time Frame" - I never go outside the M1, everyday from 0800-1100 we retrace to midnight open 68% of the time, retrace the opening prices 1-7am EST 80+% of the time, I don't NEED anything else from a HTF perspective to tell me what I already know is MOST LIKELY going to happen more than not. I just tailor my risk to MANAGE when it doesn't work. None of this is intended to say or even imply how I trade is the best. Its not. I'm not a genius nor do I EVER try to come off as one. My main edge is keeping things simple and respecting what objectively happens in the market more than it doesn't WITHOUT over complicating it. The reason I scream from the rooftops is to hopefully show people on the verge of quitting, thinking this is impossible, or trying to make a model that doesn't click with them showcase there are OTHER ways out here than 1 to making money CONSISTENTLY.
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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
If I treated ATHs any different because its "so sketchy" I would have ROBBED myself of a positive expectancy beautiful little to no drawdown 25 point short STOP LETTING PEOPLE TELL YOU ALL THIS HORSE GARBAGE Statistics have stood the test of time. It doesn't care about your feelings or what your recency bias tells you. Beautiful Beautiful week. If you got anything out of today, remember to just follow your freaking process and stop worrying about losing or being wrong.
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Austin Clark@AC_Trades

Good morning, We have made new ATHs in NQ but the real question is do I care? Nope :) ATHs is nothing special and I stick to the same process that makes me money no matter the news, the macro, the fancy patterns, etc. Today we are obviously overextended everything. No this is not picking tops. Once I get bearish distribution I will scale into shorts for 0.12% targets as long as my 0.12% has plenty of distance before MO 🤟

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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
And thats a wrap BABYYYYYYYY 100+ points collected on $YM 25 points collected on $NQ And its not even market open ALL CALLED LIVE AND EXECUTED infront of 110 people :)
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Austin Clark@AC_Trades

Good Morning! 2 things 1. Captured over 100 points on $YM in the Asia / Pre-NY session. Why is this important? Because thanks to using statistical probabilities in a SIMPLE form, I get to start off trading NY with power. Power to be extremely patient and wait for the setup to come to me VS feel thee "need" to make money. 2. Trade plan for today We currently have an absolutely insane distance between midnight and settlement. Stats for this AM: > 66% probability of retracing 83% of the RTH gap > We are starting to become over extended below all opening hours AND of course midnight > 2 bullish levels above price I currently want to see us dump to oblivion where I would then start scaling into longs for higher risk once bullish distribution is formed. You can see currently we are reacting off this bullish footprint and I would like to see price dig into this area prior to 0800 and form more over extensions to create more motivation to the upside Lets kill it 🤟

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Austin Clark
Austin Clark@AC_Trades·
This trade recap shows me: > Calling price/entries live > being patient for better positioning using statistics > explaining how I manage risk around data > having fun talking a bit of real estate while slamming TPs :) Hope these recap videos are an additional rep you can get on getting an inside look into how I trade 🤟
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Keşfet

@ForexIke @MichaelPatak @Topstep @TopstepTV @ac_trades @YKywala @elonmusk @BarackObama