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GM. $ES Plan: Still inside Friday's range. Ceasefire expires tomorrow. Warsh hearing at 10am. Markets technically overbought after a 13-day Nasdaq winning streak. Everything is pointing toward consolidation before the next directional move. Bull side - I want to see the overnight lows tested and defended with aggressive buying. pdNPOC at 7148 is my primary long location. Look below and fail with large buy prints inverting the level. Bear side - sweep of previous week highs with no initiative buying to follow. Stops get hit, sellers step in on the reclaim of VAH. Model 2 short targeting the VAL. Both setups are valid. Neither one gets traded until the market shows me which side is in control. Ceasefire expiring tomorrow could change everything if talks fail today. Stay nimble. GLHF





GM. can make decent arguments for longs and shorts today. Gap down this morning on Iran re-escalating overnight. Market opened the week right back into last week's RTH gap with ATH's just above and a ceasefire expiring Tuesday. Two clean setups on my radar. Bull side — price reclaims the 24hr VAL and holds. That opens a run to the NPOC at 7161 and potentially last week's highs. Also open to see the overnight lows, find aggressive buying, and invert back above the VWAP. Those are my long trigger. Bear side — price fails to reclaim the VAL on the open and sellers defend the retest. Follow through sellside delta with no absorption below the level and I'm looking at shorts targeting the overnight POC and 24hr VWAP. Weekly open at 7100 is the line in the sand. Bulls need to hold it. If they can't this gap down has legs. No setup until the market picks a direction. Mondays after geopolitical weekends are notorious for fakeouts and I'd rather miss the first move than get caught on the wrong side of a headline. GLHF






















