Armando

@jackdmurph @anishmoonka If that was the case, betting on red on roullette would hit for sure after black. But the odds stay the same every spin.

@anishmoonka I know that. I’m not saying we would become extinct at year 14,000. I’m saying that given a 1/14,000 chance it’s likely that we would go extinct at some point in the next 14,000 years - or at least way sooner than a million years.

We live on a planet with 1.3 billion habitable years left. We've had rockets for 69 of those years. In that time, the cost of reaching orbit dropped from $54,500 per kilogram to $2,720, and SpaceX is targeting under $100 with Starship. If they hit that number, getting to space becomes 545 times cheaper in a single lifetime. 329 orbital launches happened in 2025. Almost one a day. The space economy crossed $626 billion last year and should hit a trillion by 2034. SpaceX just filed for an IPO targeting a $2 trillion valuation, worth more than every airline on Earth combined. Starship, their fully reusable rocket (both stages fly back and land), can lift 150 tons to orbit. The entire International Space Station weighs 420 tons. Three flights could put the whole thing up there. The engineering side of this is solved. What remains is a survival problem. Researchers published a paper in Scientific Reports calculating the natural extinction rate for humans, how often we'd get wiped out by asteroid strikes, supervolcanoes, the stuff we can't control. Less than a 1-in-14,000 chance in any given year. At that rate, we'd survive millions of years, more than enough to spread across the solar system. Toby Ord, a philosopher at Oxford who spent a decade studying how civilizations end, puts the odds of a civilization-ending catastrophe before 2100 at 1-in-6. The threats aren't from space. Nuclear war. Viruses engineered in labs that could spread before anyone understands what hit them. AI systems are smart enough to act on goals we never gave them. All things we built ourselves. A 2017 NASA paper made this case: we have a roughly 50-year window to lock in spacefaring infrastructure before resources run thin and energy costs make a restart nearly impossible. We're 9 years into that window. Given enough time, the math takes this to 100%. The only question that matters is whether we make it through the next few decades without blowing our shot.

Otis but the beat is Pound Cake

How that 3am alarm for EU mfs feels like #UFC317

“Fuck around and get your body traced tryna test me cause niggas that I’m with like to draw when it’s sketchy”

when ur 8 drinks deep and they start playing 2000s white women music

MY TOWN 🗽🏀 youtu.be/lIxThTF_vzI?si…

Daylyt x Az Chike on a Monday Morning!

nigga looks like the merchant from resident evil 4

how do you hear these and not believe this his best project

NEYMAR REALLY HIT AN OLÍMPICO. 🤯🤯🤯 (via @TNTSportsBR)

8 Years Ago helpin niggas understand Kendrick. 🤞🏾 I prepared alotta niggas for 2024. 🤷🏾‍♂️

THE WARRIORS was released 46 years ago this month. Acclaimed as one of the great 1970s NYC movies, and a true cult classic, the story of how it was made involved real gangs, vomiting extras and a future star who didn't make the cut. Can you dig it? 1/46

PUSHA T "MIKE TYSON BLOW TO THE FACE" PRODUCED BY PHARRELL NEW SNIPPET 🚨

Seeing Mahomes get sacked twice in a row before throwing a pick 6

Solo By Future x.com/FUTUREMEDIASON…

what I was expecting

Joey Bada$$ sending a few shots towards Kendrick Lamar is a sign that the game is in a healthy and competitive place: back in 2013 when Joey was 18 he released this track at Kendrick in response to Control

We created the sound cloud wave wit this 💪🏾😤

‘HYAENA’ is Travis Scott’s BEST intro.