CptLightyear

3.7K posts

CptLightyear

CptLightyear

@cptlightyear17

there seems to be no sign of intelligent life on this account

Katılım Haziran 2023
15 Takip Edilen358 Takipçiler
Moody
Moody@MoodyWriter13·
One of the better discoveries I’ve had and exactly the kind of company I aim to find, businesses nobody else is talking about, was Furuya Metal. Nevertheless, the article only received 18 likes. Today, every article about Sivers gets 10x that amount, even if there have already been 2,000 articles written about it before. Conviction for most people comes from seeing everyone else do the same. We’re herd animals after all. Currently, the newest "bottleneck" (I dislike that term and don't consider it a bottleneck) for AI data centers is power semiconductors. I’ve written two pieces on this topic: one on GaN in relation to robotics and the other on SiC indirectly through Furuya Metal. Back when I wrote about Furuya, I didn’t really talk about SiC. I wanted to keep the article relatively short. But every single SiC wafer starts its life as a bulk SiC crystal grown inside an iridium crucible. Furuya operates in an oligopoly here and holds roughly 30% market share. Every new SiC crystal growth furnace requires at least one iridium crucible (costing around $50,000–200,000 depending on size). These crucibles also have a limited lifespan (typically 50–200 cycles), creating recurring replacement demand. Iridium itself is extremely rare, with very limited annual production. Furuya has long-term contracts with raw material suppliers and is also the market leader in recycling. That means the company benefits twice from rising demand: through higher volumes and higher prices. The market is already extremely tight, which is pushing prices up further. At the time, I found the company very attractive. Today, after a +134% move, the risk/reward profile is completely different. Everyone has to make that decision for themselves. I am not buying at these levels.
Moody@MoodyWriter13

Furuya Metal (7826.T) is the quiet champion of iridium and ruthenium, with process and purity know-how few can match. As AI drives ever-higher semiconductor efficiency, that edge matters more and management aims to nearly triple revenue by 2030. Link below ->

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bubble boi
bubble boi@bubbleboi·
You would think if something is an “AI Bottleneck” they wouldn’t have negative EBITDA.
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CptLightyear
CptLightyear@cptlightyear17·
telling people they are fucked when the music stops
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Casey Craig
Casey Craig@caseycraig·
“I’m buying spot Anthropic on the Solana blockchain” has to be one of the funniest phrases I’ve heard this week. There is nothing spot about this. Brother you are 4 layers of financial abstraction and broker crime away from touching an actual Anthropic share certificate. Your “spot” position is a tokenized receipt for possible future economic exposure to a Cayman SPV that owns shares in another Delaware SPV that maybe owns rights to future equity pending transfer approval. You are approximately Anthropic-adjacent at best
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ocr
ocr@onchainrapist·
niggas will see a raging stock market and say some shit like “scary” what you so afraid of lil nigga?
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Timewaster
Timewaster@spngbobinmypnts·
@bubbleboi How many analyst on Wall Street can actually explain a Mach zehnder interferometer?
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BREEZE☁️
BREEZE☁️@breezebreeze_·
@MartinShkreli What does going to jail for white collar crime have to do with saying nigga?
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Aporia
Aporia@0xaporia·
thank god the iran/oil/macro experts cleared their schedules to walk us through the hantavirus situation, what would we do without them
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Gigabear🧸
Gigabear🧸@2170cell·
When I see a bubble forming, I look for beta then underperform
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Kyle
Kyle@zeroxkyle·
anon do you own nvda intc sndk 000660 mu 005930 docn lite cohr aaoi tsem asml smh cien aehr soi sive nok besi aixa awx q camt 8046 558 1815 5801 3110 4004 6777 3037 6834 6315 268a 285a 6515 2327 3167 7769 2383 4063 no? WELCOME TO THE PERMANENT UNDERCLASS BUDDY
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Alex Kehr
Alex Kehr@alexkehr·
it’s pretty wild that VCs poured billions into web3 and the category didn’t produce one breakout company
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Robert Leshner
Robert Leshner@rleshner·
My crypto friends are all trading Korean stocks at 11pm on a Sunday
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Bruce
Bruce@bruce_barrett·
Think about it.
Bruce tweet media
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Hunter SPX Thompson ❎
Hunter SPX Thompson ❎@CoorsLightCEO·
Get ready to learn chaebol governance , fintwit
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