Vibecoding is real. The delusion around it is worse.
✦ Shipping is solved. Getting to a working build is cheap now.
✦ Sameness wins demos, not markets. AI can assemble the shell. Taste and intent still decide who wins.
✦ Fast features still break prod. Miss context once and you ship an incident.
✦ The 80% trap is real. AI does the obvious part. The last 20% is edge cases, QA, docs, and support.
✦ The “10 people replaced” startup is a meme. 0.8^10 is not a company.
✦ Sometimes manual is faster. Prompt loops, retries, diffs, and fixes can take longer than doing the work.
✦ Vibecoding is built like a dopamine loop. Constant output makes progress look bigger than it is.
✦ The org problem is bigger than the code problem. Teams need new workflows. Forcing one AI setup on everyone fails fast.
✦ Serious work needs generation, review, context, docs, and prioritization.
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