Orbion

MY PREDICTIONS FOR THE NEXT 3 YEARS 2026: Iran war escalates through Q3 2026: Oil stays above $130 for 6 months 2026: S&P falls to 5,200, BTC to $55,000 2026: Fed prints money under a new name 2026: First G7 country enters technical recession 2026: Dollar loses reserve currency status debate goes mainstream 2027: Iran ceasefire 2027: Oil falls back to $90 2027: Fed pivots hard - 4 cuts in 12 months 2027: S&P recovers to 6,500 2027: Bitcoin bottoms in Q1, doubles by Q4 2027: Real estate crashes in 3 major US cities 2027: AI boom starts showing up in GDP numbers 2027: Gold stays above $3,000 2028: Bitcoin above $400,000 2028: S&P at 9,000 2028: people who held through 2026 make generational wealth 2028: Fed balance sheet hits $15 trillion It always plays out this way Bookmark this Come back in 2028

people who got wrecked in 2022 and never came back love telling you it's a gambling addiction it's not projection, they're just helping the less time you spend on crypto, the less time you'll want to spend on crypto they know this from personal experience meanwhile the wallets they said were gambling are up 10x but sure, let it go

WE'VE BEEN HERE BEFORE Every bear market has this moment. Prices recover 20-30% off the lows. Sentiment shifts. People start saying the bottom is in. New money enters. Then it rolls over. 2018 had multiple 30-40% counter trend rallies before the real bottom. 2022 had the same. Every cycle did. The difference between a counter trend rally and a new bull market is only visible in hindsight. Trade the range. Take the setups. Don't increase your size. The people who got destroyed in every previous bear market weren't wrong about the direction long term. They were wrong about how early they were. Don't be early. Be right.

BTC is about to dump 13-19% Bitcoin has never closed 3 consecutive months in green during corrections Bookmark this Come back in June

If your tax rate is 33% TAX RATE TODAY is the first day you made profit January, February, March - that's the government's cut April 1st is when you actually start keeping what you earn This is how to avoid 100% of taxes (hypothetically ofc)

You can delegate thinking to Claud but you can’t delegate understanding

I WISH SOMEONE TOLD ME THIS AT 20 1. Your body is a leveraged asset. Sleep, no drugs, exercise. Boring advice. 2. Prestige is a trap. The most miserable people I know are the ones who optimized for what sounded impressive at 22. Choose the life you want at 40, then reverse-engineer from there. 3. Ideas are worthless. Execution on boring problems is where all the money is. The best businesses in the world are solving problems everyone dismissed as unexciting. 4. Your peer group is your ceiling. Spend time with people who've done what you want to do. The comfort of staying around people at your level is extremely expensive long term. 5. Nobody is coming to give you permission. The gap between where you are and where you want to be is entirely filled with decisions you've been avoiding. 6. Sales is the only skill that compounds across everything. Business, relationships, negotiation, leadership. If you can't convince people, you can't build anything. 7. The right question before entering any field is: what does winning actually look like here? Most people spend a decade in a game before they realize the prize isn't worth it. 8. You have more time than you think and less than you feel.

THE REASON MOST PEOPLE NEVER GET RICH IS NOT WHAT YOU THINK Every time you switch to new niche, new asset class, new business model - you reset the compound interest to zero The wealthiest people have been building the same thing for 10+ years Not because they got lucky with the pick Because they stayed long enough for compounding to become violent Year 1-3: feels like nothing is working Year 4-6: slow progress, easy to quit Year 7-9: something shifts Year 10: you can't believe you almost stopped The asset doesn't matter as much as the duration Time + focus = the most unfair advantage that exists

THE MARKET WILL CHARGE YOU TUITION WHETHER YOU ENROLL OR NOT Medical school: $500K MBA: $200K Law school: $300K You study for years. You pay for the credential. Nobody questions it. But somehow trading is supposed to be different. You're supposed to open Coinbase in May and be profitable by September. That's not how this works. The traders making real money now paid their tuition years ago. Bad entries. Blown positions. Strategies that looked right and weren't. Capital that disappeared and taught them something no article ever could. Years where nothing happens. Then weeks where years happen. That's not luck. That's compounding. Skills compound. Experience compounds. Capital compounds. The only question is whether you're still in the game when the compounding kicks in. Most people aren't. They quit during the tuition phase. That's the entire edge.

MY PREDICTIONS FOR THE NEXT 3 DECADES 2020s: Dollar loses reserve currency status 2020s: US debt crosses $50 trillion 2020s: Nation-state Bitcoin adoption becomes standard policy 2020s: AI replaces 50% of white-collar work 2020s: First major war fought with autonomous weapons 2020s: Traditional banking system requires restructuring 2020s: Gold above $10,000 2020s: Bitcoin above $1,000,000 2030s: New monetary system 2030s: UBI pilots in 15+ countries as employment collapses 2030s: AI productivity creates wealth transfer 2030s: Climate infrastructure becomes the biggest capex cycle ever 2030s: China and US reach uneasy tech partition 2030s: First city built entirely by autonomous systems 2030s: Real estate in legacy cities collapses 2030s: New cities built from scratch outperform everything 2040s: Two classes: who own productive AI and who don't 2040s: Nation-states lose relevance to network states 2040s: Human lifespan extension becomes a financial product 2040s: The people who held BTC through the 2026 crash are the wealthiest generation alive 2040s: The people who didn't invest through 3 decades of debasement have nothing The cycle always plays out this way Bookmark this Come back in 2050

CRYPTO IS PAYING THE PRICE FOR YEARS OF SCAMS It feels toxic right now. Most people are rotating into AI. Companies are liquidating crypto exposure. The industry feels uninvestable. That feeling is the signal. I felt the same thing in 2019 and 2022. Almost quit and went back to TradFi. Those were the years I made the most money. Here's what nobody is saying: There is less capital looking at crypto than at any point in recent history. That's not a reason to leave. That's the setup. When Bitcoin reprices rapidly and it will - the concentration of upside in a small number of assets makes it easier to generate massive returns than when capital was everywhere and everything was crowded. Less competition. More asymmetry. Cleaner trades. For the ones building right now: Top companies in the space are hiring because nobody wants to enter the field. That's the most accessible the industry has ever been. The people who stay through the apathy always win the cycle. The people who leave always come back too late. Don't undervalue your time.