sinzz
54 posts


Pretty standard correction, with likely more upside ahead.
The first test of resistance doesn't trigger a breakout.
However, I'd prefer to see $69K hold as support on #bitcoin.

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$ETH 4H
Price approaching the upper supply band again.
If this area rejects, I expect a move back into the mid liquidity pocket where buyers previously stepped in.
That becomes the higher-risk long area.
If momentum carries through supply and we hold above it, structure shifts and continuation becomes likely.
For now it’s still reacting level to level.

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$BTC 4H
Price pushing into overhead supply.
If sellers defend this zone, I’m watching for a rotation back toward the mid-range level first.
That area becomes the higher-risk long if buyers absorb.
Lose that level and the path likely opens toward deeper demand below.
Structure is still level-to-level until supply is reclaimed.

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@GordonGekko Size doesn’t change structure.
40x long sitting with liquidation at 66,192.
That level now matters.
If we trade into it → forced unwind fuel.
If it holds → squeeze continuation.
Liquidity first.
Direction second.

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Agreed, event flow is driving short-term direction.
BTC holding range despite headlines.
That tells you positioning isn’t fully unwound yet.
If we get a panic move on US open,
I’m watching for a sweep of the range lows / prior week low.
Liquidity grab first.
Then looking for reclaim to position long.
No sweep, no trade.

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During these times, events are moving markets more than technical analysis.
It's clear that the markets are waiting for the US markets to open later today.
#Bitcoin didn't drop, as of yet.
If it does, then I'm looking for a panic sweep of the lows to get myself positioned into a long.

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I'm glad to see more strength coming from $ETH.
I still think that this is a must-have in anyone's portfolio, as the markets are undervaluing Ethereum enormously.
Anyways, from a technical standpoint I'd like to see a breakout above 0.0325 BTC in order to clearly see a continuation of the uptrend.
On the larger scale: yes, we've been in an uptrend on $ETH vs. $BTC already since April.
The markets are just looking for a higher low.

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Extreme fear only matters if structure supports it.
Sentiment is stretched.
Positioning is defensive.
Historically, when fear is elevated and price is holding higher time frame demand, those are accumulation conditions not distribution.
I’m not blindly buying headlines.
But I’m watching how BTC behaves at demand.
Fear creates opportunity.
Structure confirms it.
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