Cycle Investment Strategy
5.6K posts
Cycle Investment Strategy
@cycle_strategy
Long-term cycle, value, technical analysis; trading & investing || Become a sub: https://t.co/nS75O2uvHb
Hamburg, Germany Katılım Mart 2021
126 Takip Edilen8.7K Takipçiler
Thats why price manipulation is pretty bullish longterm. Let them keep doing it until the market breaks. Remember silver?
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen
@yieldsearcher Hard to plan capex with a 10+ year payback given unprecedented oil price volatility that can drop 10-20% on an X post and a government that is promising much cheaper oil ASAP. Better off just cashflowing existing wells & waiting for more clarity.
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Interview with Howard Seidler in Market Wizards. Getting lucky at the beginning of your trading career is the most expensive thing. You think you know it all, while in reality you know nothing. It’s better to get punched hard early on with a small account. The earlier you get humbled, the better.
100% agreed. I wish I hadn’t gotten that lucky punch right at the start 12 years ago when I began trading. Easily cost me 2 more (unnecessary) years to become profitable.
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New report out for the subs! Check your inbox or the link below! Have a great start to the trading week!
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Entered a new momentum trade! This time no paywall so check it out with the link below. Have a great weekend
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Just entered a new momentum trade. Check your inbox or the link below! You get is already at a better deal thanks to the Iran toll news ;)
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@cycle_strategy If / When this conflict ever resolves, the dollar is going to fall through a trapdoor
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Considering how much better positioned the U.S. has been relative to the RoW since this war kicked off, it’s been impressive to see how much the dollar has still underperformed against that backdrop
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$SII - Sprott Inc. did 10X in 10 years, including dividends, right from 2016 rock bottom in commodities. The last 5X since 2025.
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Over the past two months, $EC has consolidated within a flag on the weekly chart and is currently backtesting its previous breakout area. The volume profile continues to look great, while the RSI also remains in bullish territory — pretty attractive set-up for the long-term! #oil #LatAm
Cycle Investment Strategy@cycle_strategy
$EC grinding higher after breaking out of its flag pattern. Pretty unaffected by oil volatility as investors are beginning to grasp the significance of the broader energy disruption unfolding.
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Be realistic about individual decisions, and delusionally optimistic about how those decisions will compound together over the long run.
Nicholas Fabiano, MD@NTFabiano
Mentally healthy people are often delusionally optimistic.
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Talk to old hands in the industry and they'll tell you how easy it was to spot opportunities back in the day. Companies trading well below what made any sense, more cash on the balance sheet than market cap type of stuff. Even pre-AI, information already spread fast and shifted the source of alpha away from the analyst to execution, so the traders. AI will only accelerate that imo. Being a good trader is more about psychology and risk taking than information.
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$XLE is moving higher once again toward its previous highs following the initial sell-off and subsequent consolidation phase. The positioning data shared earlier today is very constructive and provides the right fuel for the next leg of the rally. #energy
Cycle Investment Strategy@cycle_strategy
The pump in tech stocks into this energy crisis could now be the perfect setup for energy. Hormuz is the most visible oil disruption on earth that still hasn't fully played out in oil prices. The surprising big buffer of global inventories pushed people into the belief that "we are just not that dependent on oil anymore." Why do we keep hearing this exactly on price floors for oil? The joke is the price level this narrative is born at now is above 100 bucks. The strength in Nasdaq and AI was the perfect distraction to chase that instead of being positioned in what started yesterday with the breakout into the second leg higher. Looked into BofA FMS this morning. Fund managers reduced energy exposure further last month. It's on.
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The pump in tech stocks into this energy crisis could now be the perfect setup for energy. Hormuz is the most visible oil disruption on earth that still hasn't fully played out in oil prices. The surprising big buffer of global inventories pushed people into the belief that "we are just not that dependent on oil anymore." Why do we keep hearing this exactly on price floors for oil? The joke is the price level this narrative is born at now is above 100 bucks.
The strength in Nasdaq and AI was the perfect distraction to chase that instead of being positioned in what started yesterday with the breakout into the second leg higher. Looked into BofA FMS this morning. Fund managers reduced energy exposure further last month. It's on.
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