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@d13mccarthy

(Mug) thoroughbred punter and keen strategist. Love a cheeky futures play.

Sydney, New South Wales Katılım Haziran 2015
442 Takip Edilen853 Takipçiler
DM
DM@d13mccarthy·
@davepband It’s just means to an end. And for the non technical I’m sure they get quite the kick!
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David Pfundt
David Pfundt@davepband·
Wrestling with a moral dilemma - Do vibe coders have a right to be proud of their outputs? 🤔
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@BenAsgariRacing @Nic_Ashman Thankfully we have plentiful G1 options to choose from. In reality the food tastes better from a restaurant than a buffet.
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Ben Asgari
Ben Asgari@BenAsgariRacing·
@Nic_Ashman Whether or not it’s the soft option, it’s the option that robs the sport of a clash it desperately wants/needs.
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Nic Ashman
Nic Ashman@Nic_Ashman·
Staggered at feedback suggesting this is the soft option They had 3 options and chose the one with the most prizemoney They have chosen the one that requires an unbeaten horse to go 400m further than she’s ever gone before They had a soft option called the Queen of the turf!
Chris Waller Racing@cwallerracing

** Autumn Glow **

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DM@d13mccarthy·
Zahra butchered Planet Red there
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DM@d13mccarthy·
Pembrey $26. What a price
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@TRBHorseRacing Any views on Pembrey heading into the slipper after Saturday?
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Daniel O'Sullivan
Daniel O'Sullivan@TRBHorseRacing·
🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊 - Top 5 winners from Caulfield & Randwick 14/3/26: ⭐️ Jigsaw – 101.7: His remarkable career resurgence rolled on with a fifth straight win, producing his best of the sequence on Saturday with a dominant 3.5 length victory at Caulfield rated 101.7. He showed strong sustained speed, running fast overall time while still finishing above standard over the final 200m. The current run of form closely mirrors the purple patch he produced three years ago between late 2022 and April 2023, when he won five of six, including a career peak of 102.5 in the Group 2 WFA Australia Stakes, alongside other wins rated 100.4 and 99.5. 🙌 Lazzura – 101: Her Group 1 Coolmore Classic win was well earned in a fast, high-pressure 1500m test that produced a new peak rating of 101, slightly above her previous best of 100. It is the second year in a row she has struck on this program after winning the Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes over the same Rosehill 1500m twelve months earlier. 🎯 Vauban – 101: He won the Sky High Stakes race for the second year in a row when first-up, returning a 101 this year after a 102 last year, although the race on Saturday was run at a steadier tempo than the more genuinely run contest he faced last year. The win also continued the outstanding record of Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott with staying types resuming over longer distances. Since 1 August 2022, runners from their stable starting in the top four of the market first-up over 1800m or further have produced 14 wins from 34 starts (41% strike rate) for a remarkable +116% profit on turnover. Vauban’s Australian peak remains the 103 he produced winning the Group 1 Metropolitan over 2400m last spring. This return suggests he is on track to match or improve on that figure this preparation. 📈 Birdman – 99.8: He continued his upward trajectory this campaign after winning the Group 2 Blamey Stakes last start with a 98.5 rating, improving again to a new peak of 99.8 when easily winning the Group 2 WFA Peter Young Stakes. Ben Melham positioned him perfectly early, sitting just over two lengths off the leader at the 800m, much closer than his usual pattern of settling four to seven lengths back. There was plenty to like about the way he travelled strongly up to Light Infantry Man approaching the 300m, while others around him were already under pressure. When asked to extend, he quickly put the race away and was still strong through the line. It may not be the last peak we see from him this preparation. 💎 Flying For Fun – 99.5: She ended last preparation with a 96.5 rated win over 1100m at Rosehill, a career peak at the time, and continued that upward trajectory here. Off the back of a strong recent trial, she returned with another win at the same track and trip, running 99.5 for a clear new peak. The margin over Mal Coupe was only 0.4 lengths, but she carried 4.5kg more relative to WFA, which makes her performance much stronger on weight-adjusted terms. If she can sustain ratings in this range, it won't be her last success at Group level.
Daniel O'Sullivan tweet media
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Dave Stanley
Dave Stanley@daveystan1·
Just spoke to @zpurton. Plane is fully booked for him to get to Sydney at this stage for Saturday’s Golden Slipper. Even the world’s best need someone to cancel a ticket! If he can’t get any luck at the bookings we will see him Champs Day 1! @SkyRacingAU @adrianscig
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@davecama She was so brave DC. Hope she pulls up well.
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DC
DC@davecama·
What a run by Miss Chanel yesterday! Racing in both Sydney and Melbourne within a week and nearly got the chocolates… one tough filly !!
DC tweet media
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DM@d13mccarthy·
Good to see they upgraded the jock on Pembrey after last start disaster
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@Page1991Adam Someone needs to run second to AG
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Adam Page
Adam Page@Page1991Adam·
Okay…she is indeed a rocket Sheza Alibi. Nothing went right early but she made a mess of them. Baby Winx has competition.
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@ShaunBeirne @rtralphy @J_Walter23 Would Australian punters bet into a single tote at 112%? I think there’s a chance fixed odds punters might
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Shaun Beirne
Shaun Beirne@ShaunBeirne·
@rtralphy @J_Walter23 To be fair the current state of the Totes is enhanced by the World Pool across most the pools. Betting into tote pools has always been nuanced since the start of tote betting, there is some game theory involved. Strong totes have a place.
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Shaun Beirne
Shaun Beirne@ShaunBeirne·
World Pool "issues" are much more about the rebate. In HK any bet over HKD10,000 (AUD1800) receives a 10% rebate. Rebates likely higher for large syndicates. The effect? At 10% rebate the implied odds AG1.1>1.22, Tempted 1.4>1.55, Observer 1.6>1.77 1/2
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@J_Walter23 Champion horse nominating really does influence this more than the mega stables. If you’re running for second before Monday rolls around, look elsewhere for a G1
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John Walter
John Walter@J_Walter23·
No knock on Uncle Chris whatsoever. He’s not the problem, he’s the outcome of the current settings. 8 of 11 noms in WFA race tells you the system is concentrating too much power, and unless that is addressed, Sydney racing contents to get thinner and less competitive
John Walter tweet media
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DM@d13mccarthy·
Closer To Free around the $9 mark is crazy talk. Typically winners of the C&G Prelude start much shorter. Only improvement to come. BET
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Racing Previews
Racing Previews@Racing_Previews·
All-in favourites scratched on vets advice/ stable identified injury this season. Cox Plate - Sir Delius $2.80 Melbourne Cup - Sir Delius $4.50 Magic Millions 2yo - Warwoven $1.80 Blue Diamond - Big Sky $4.60 💸💸💸
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@NoverreMan The salmon is obvious now
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@TrentC_Racing Exhibit A of how some people can eek out a profit betting on horse racing
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@Jackson_Oldham1 I assume what he means is they are all targeting the same winning post
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DM@d13mccarthy·
@J_Walter23 You just aren’t betting on the right props!
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John Walter
John Walter@J_Walter23·
Dead set .... This Superbowl putting me to sleep #FireUp
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Andrew Hawkins
Andrew Hawkins@AndrewNJHawkins·
Happy retirement to 2022 Victoria Derby winner Manzoice 👏🏼
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DM@d13mccarthy·
No chance Ninja was winning there #dismissed
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