Failpe Giureo
47 posts
This is something only the experienced understand and exploit to generate returns in the market.
Every single strategy you can find in stocks, will have a rough patch. There is no other way around it.
The market phase determines 100% of the distribution when you trade stocks due to high correaltion, and it's certainly the case for my system as I swing trade momentum breakouts (and breakdowns).
There will always be a period when the market is not in favor of your system, and you will have to go through some losses in a row, drawdowns, etc.
It's just how trading and the stock market works.
For example, my swing trading system suffers when there is choppy action, breadth is positive but still no strong bullish momentum, or when the indices fly and breadth is thin, so not many stocks are building first legs + first consolidations at the 8/20 EMA layer.
But it shines in strong bull phases when everything goes up, linear corrections, and even bear markets (did 60%+ in 2022, my outsample data shows double digit years in 00-03' shorting).
So I go through tough times, just like any other strategegy out there.
How to manage it?
Here is the KEY:
--> Know your distribution, know when your system has a nice ride, when it works nicely, and when it doesn't and you expect drawdowns.
Also, you should know if the distribution is in line with your objectives, so there is no conflict there (this is what kills traders before they become one).
I built a huge databse in my Hub App, with a total of 13k signals since 1950 (including over 1k of live trades since 2020), and I know exactly how things work, when, and what to expect.
My system meets my objective as it gets me 5X the SPY return, with minimal drawdown, trading a few minutes per day, with no discretion.
Yes, data shows 3 red years in 31. Of course based on my objectives, that worries me little as I'm this for the long run.
So should you.
Understand what you are trading, know your distribution, and trading becomes 10x easier to execute daily knowing you are on the right lane.
Anand@anandragn
Every strategy comes with trade-offs. It works beautifully in certain environments and struggles in others. This has been a difficult market for almost everyone... headline-driven, gapping up and down, choppy as hell, little to no sustained follow-through. Let’s support each other rather than turn a tough tape into a contest over whose strategy is superior. The market eventually finds a way to humble every style.
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I share my real-time TRADE alert (entry & exit points) on WhatsApp, free to join ✅
➡️Here’s the link : wa.me/12162693510?te…
➡️Copy search input Reply “TRADE” to WhatsApp: +12162693510
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Is there any reason to think $GOOG will reduce CapEx after raising $31.1B specifically to invest in AI infrastructure?
I think it's highly unlikely.
The AI infrastructure arms race is still very much on, and both $META and $GOOG have already hinted that they're staying aggressive with spending.
The companies building the infrastructure aren't acting like this cycle is slowing down.
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Just can't wait to slice open this package New stuff incoming, let's unbox!
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New semester unlocked! Let’s chase goals, learn boldly and make this term shine brighter than ever
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Just finished an amazing murder mystery剧本杀 last night! 10/10 for plot twists and group laughs—my detective skills actually felt on point ♂ Can’t wait to host the next session!
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Just nailed my first calculus derivative proof! Took 2 hours of notes, messed up 3 times, but finally got it right. Progress beats perfection any day #LearningJourney
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[Just tried the city’s first floating coffee cart on the river—sipping flat whites while watching sunrise, 10/10 for slow morning vibes!]，
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Late-night snack win! Golden-fried skewers with spicy cumin hit different after a long day—street food magic at its finest. #StreetFoodVibes
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A quiet Sunday with my favorite people: laughing over old photos, sharing warm tea, and making silly little memories that feel like home.
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Festive fall feast alert! Roast pumpkin, spiced apple cider u0026 warm cinnamon rolls for your cozy holiday moments. Tag a friend who needs this treat!
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[Just unearthed the BEST midweek snack combo +crisps= instant mood boost! Sharing the joy one crinkle at a time — who’s grabbing a bag later]，
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Lazy Sunday calls for a snack break Sharing these buttery pretzels with my favorite people—good vibes, even better munchies!
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Turning old stuff into treasures! Clear out your drawers, donate what you don’t need, and make space for new joys today.
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Adjusted my sleep schedule to 11PM bedtime u0026 7AM wake-up—small change, way more energy all day. No more late nights, bigger wins ahead!，
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Just finished a mind-blowing murder mystery dinner at the city’s new board game café! 5 hours of clue-hunting, suspect-accusing, and plot-twisting chaos—my brain is fried in the best way. 10/10 would definitely hide a forged letter again (don’t tell the GM).
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Caught my intern drawing stick figures of our boss in team meeting – he tried to hide his notebook but we all saw the tiny tie on the angry version
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