Daan Crypto Trades

Educational Thread Overview 📚 Below, you can find all my educational threads about subjects like Profit Taking, Risk Management and others. 👇

$BTC Rejected further from the horizontal and Daily 200MA/EMA retest. As mentioned before, the low $80Ks region is the level BTC needs to break through for continuation higher. Otherwise this is just another lower high in this downtrend that started last year.

$ETH Breaking down after failing to break that $2.4K area. But as it's early in the week it can be good to keep watching closely here. Often you get some retest to try and break back within the structure. If successful, this will likely test 2.4K again I'm assuming. If not, and we see a bearish retest, I'll be expecting <$2K levels again. Likely comes down to what $BTC ends up doing as usual.

$BTC Closed the $78K CME gap from 2 weeks ago which was sitting below. But it now opened a new one this weekend at ~$79K above. Besides that one, there's also the gap at $84K and $67K.

$BTC Has held on to the lower bound of its Rainbow regression chart (which has been adjusted several times already). Regardless, I like to look back on this every now and then as I know it's still something people tend to look at. The lower bound now sits at ~$70K and has supported price during this recent move up. Good to note though that last bear market, price has traded below it for a few months before retaking it.

$BTC Important retest for the bulls here at the bull market support band. Another weekly close at it for now, but to confirm a proper breakout you'd need to see a bounce now. If this ends up falling back below that $75K-$76K area and closes there on the weekly, then this was just a big deviation/dead cat bounce in my eyes.

$BTC.D Was on a monster run for almost 3 years when it came to a halt last year. This is when $ETH/BTC put in a bottom around 0.0175 and traded up to 0.043, taking back a good amount of market dominance together with other alts. But since that rally, the momentum on most ALT/BTC pairs has stalled, and BTC is slowly gaining the momentum again relative to alts. For risk appetite in alts to truly return, you need a better market environment and more momentum. Most of the speculating is now happening in stocks and commodities since 2025 and that's what's hurting alts the most. That and predatory tokenomics of course.

$BTC Traded down slightly this weekend and would be opening up with a new CME gap like this. But generally, when price is as close as it is, we tend to see that gap close on Sunday or early in the week. Not much action going on besides that.

Sometimes subtle changes in your trading strategy can have big impacts. For many it's as simple as giving their stop losses more room or sizing a little bit smaller. This gives more room for error and makes it less likely that you get wicked out on some "random" stop hunt. For many, this feels counter-intuitive if they want to make more money. But obviously if your win rate goes up considerably because of it, you will usually yield a better return in the end, even if your position sizing is smaller. Emotionally you'll have a much better time managing the position as well.

$BTC Has been stringing along some weeks of decent performance recently. But we are entering the slow months during the summer soon. Generally we don't see a lot of price action for Bitcoin during these months with some exceptions aside (usually bear market years). But what we do tend to see is random narratives pop up, usually out of boredom from the rest of the market. My approach is still to be nimble for 2026 as I am not expecting any mega trend in either direction. Will just be focused on capitalizing on action along the way and accumulating primarily BTC over many months as low as possible. My last buys were in the $60Ks and $70Ks and I've halted spot buys for now. Not in a rush whatsoever. Playing the long game (years) here.

$DXY Breaking back above its Daily 200MA/EMA and looks to be going for that ~100 level again. That area has capped the dollar index for over a year, and a break above would likely result in a larger move up on this I assume.

$BTC There's some liquidity clusters right above and below price, primarily the $78K area is an area that's worth watching. Besides that, zooming out further we got the ~$92K & ~$98K levels above and the ~$71K & ~$65K levels below. The longer price compresses around this $80K region, the more liquidity will be building up on both sides which should result in a larger more aggressive move at some point. Depending on which side gives in of course.

Being aware of the current market structure of the assets you're trading is extremely useful. It helps you determine whether you should primarily be focussing on longs or shorts. It also helps you measure out your targets. Something in a raging bull market? Likely for corrections to be quick and short. So you want to be more careful with shorts and don't sit in them for too long. And vice versa the other way around obviously. Lastly, it's good to understand market structures can be different per timeframe. An asset can be uptrending on a 15 minute, 4 hour & daily timeframe, but it might be down trending on the weekly and monthly timeframe. Determining all that will help you during your execution.

$ETH/BTC Rolling over and making new news for the year. This is paired with $BTC.D rising and overall ALT/BTC weakness for the most part. A few exceptions there the past few weeks though with some runners. But generally, the market is still pretty risk off for most alts as $BTC is consolidating near resistance.

$BTC Fighting around this resistance where the November low and Daily 200MA/EMA meet. Primary level to clear for further continuation. If it can’t break higher, this will just hang around the $75K-$80K area for a while.

$ETH Still struggling with this $2.4K resistance. Going to be some decision time soon either way, as price is compressing and trend lines are narrowing in on each other.

$BTC Closed the gap from this most recent weekend on Tuesday. But we are still left with 3 gaps on the chart.

$BTC Retesting the Bull Market Support band after the break above last week. Needs to maintain this area to keep the party going in the weeks ahead.

$ETH Stuck within this tight $2250-$2380 range for the past month. Keep an eye on either side of these levels to see when a break occurs. Good chance the next 10%+ candle follows in that direction after price has been compressed for this long.

$BTC Hanging on to that ~$79.4K level which marked the previous highs in April. Pivotal level here in the short term. The 4H 200MA/EMA are coming in below and will be catching up to price quickly too.

$BTC vs $SPX has gained +25% from the recent bottom but has been stalling the past couple of weeks. At least BTC isn't underperforming anymore as it did so heavily since the Summer of 2025.