@TheValueTrade Most people judge after 2-3 red candles instead of after the thesis has actually played out. Patience is one of the biggest edges in this game. I have been following you for a while. Love your posts!
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danielb93
307 posts
danielb93
@danielbres93
Investor | Swing Trader | High Beta, Growth, Thematic Trades | Not financial advise, DYOR
Katılım Ocak 2018
603 Takip Edilen321 Takipçiler
I got hate when
$AMD pulled back
$ONDS pulled back
$NBIS pulled back
$UNH pulled back
$OSCR pulled back (a lot of hate)
Well, you guys have made me even more thick skinned..
Then I get called arrogant when they all reversed and made me a lot of money..
Now when $WYFI reverses and runs I’ll get called arrogant again… but be sure… I will repost it..
If I gave up every time someone questioned a buy, or questioned a pullback I’d be broke..
$WYFI it’s a matter of time… watch
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Sectors relative performance vs $SPY is showing a possible short-term shift in leadership.
Capital is moving away from high-beta growth/tech and into more defensive, cyclical/value sectors - healthcare, staples, utilities, financials, defense & materials.
Software is improving, while space and Bitcoin miners / AI-HPC are showing rebound attempts after recent underperformance.
Robotics still looks weak on relative performance, but it remains on close watch (record VC capital flow into robotics last quarter). $OUST and $SYM are very interesting right now.
What actually caught my eye the most was the sector-wide strength in space last Friday, with $ASTS and $RKLB as top candidates for a reversal (and potential rally).
Not a clean risk-on tape yet. The Us-Iran war escalation is not adding to risk appetite either.
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Space stocks are waking up today.
The whole sector got crushed after the $SPCX IPO/FOMO phase, when a lot of attention and capital moved toward SpaceX and away from the listed space names.
Now that FOMO seems to be cooling.
Most public space names are outperforming $SPCX today, including the $UFO ETF. That makes me think the market may be starting to rotate back into the rest of the space sector.
$RKLB and $ASTS both had real catalysts, which could be the spark.
But honestly, the extreme oversold state across the sector is hard to ignore at this point.
We may be setting up for another space run like the one we saw from the start of 2026 into the SpaceX IPO hype.
I’m not rushing in today. I want to see how this closes and whether we get follow-through on Monday.
Still early, but the setup is starting to look interesting again.
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$RDW is down ~60% from its recent high and is now testing the critical zone - daily 200SMA + 0.236 Fib + ~$10 put wall.
This is the decision zone. If buyers defend $10 and the price starts forming a base, this could be a massive buy opportunity.
I'm not in a rush, watching for confirmation.
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$SLNH is finding support at the ~$1.25 level, where demand is strong.
I expect a choppy price action tomorrow and next while the market is very volatile and unstable.
But no concerns as long as price remains above $1.25. Next resistance levels are at $1.47, $1.68 and ~$1.90.
In general, any real upside above $2 heavily depends on management execution and future catalyst.
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$MU just made the “AI bubble” narrative a lot harder to defend. Demand is accelerating. Many semi's/AI stocks are rising since yesterday AH.
Now the market is waiting for PCE inflation data today at 08:30 ET:
- Core PCE MoM: expected +0.3%, prior +0.2%
- Core PCE YoY: expected +3.4%, prior +3.3%
- Headline PCE MoM: expected +0.5%, prior +0.4%
- Headline PCE YoY: expected +4.0%, prior +3.8%
If PCE comes in-line or cooler than expected, high-growth and tech could see a broad relief rally.
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Market is bleeding red.
The only real green I see is quantum - $IBM $INFQ $QBTS $RGTI ethereum:0x4a220e6096b25eadb88358cb44068a3248254675
Trump signed 2 quantum executive orders:
- Powerful quantum computer by 2028.
- U.S. planning ~$2B in CHIPS incentives across 9 quantum companies.
- Government taking minority equity stakes.
- IBM + DoC backing Anderon, a dedicated quantum wafer foundry, with $1B federal support + $1B IBM cash contribution.
Tech is selling off, but quantum just received something most speculative themes never get:
- Government validation.
- Funding.
- Strategic urgency.
Still high risk. This may be the start of a rotation and the quantum bull run.
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$DGXX pressure is building for the next leg up.
Healthy pullback the 0.5 Fib level (~$5.55) and now in a bullish pennant. Also, this is real decision level as it is also the high of the previous November 2025 rally.
Expecting tight consolidation between ~$6.40 - $7.60 before a breakout. Could get explosive. Looking to add on any dips to the $6.40 support zone.
As for the story, it's very solid - they have cash, zero long-term debt, sites, GPU-as-a-Service, AI revenue, 10-year agreement with Cerebras.
Six months from now, will look back and realize this was a steal at $6-$7.
NFA.
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@danielbres93 Market is closed this Friday. What happens to OPEX option?
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$SLNH as expected, retested the $1.68 previous resistance.
Now it needs to hold and close above it today. That will be a confirmed flip of resistance to support.
As mentioned, the next resistance is at $1.98.
If today's FOMC meeting won't create broad market selloffs, I expect price to get there.
Options expiration (OPEX) is on Friday, expected to create increased volatility.
But overall, I'm very bullish and liking the price action.
danielb93@danielbres93
$SLNH glad I was wrong about expecting a pullback! Price just rammed through the $1.68 resistance. Right now, well above all daily SMA's (10/20/50/200). We still need to see how tomorrow the Fed rate decision affects the market, but feels like the neoclouds are about to get back to the race. Next expected resistance is at ~1.98, and I'll buy any dip in the meantime. I do expect a retest of the $1.68 just to flip it from resistance to support.
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$RDW at a critical decision level. Price tested the support at ~$13.20, just below the daily 50 SMA.
The huge drawdown happened due to overextended rally, valuation downgrade, $500M ATM overhang and SpaceX rotation.
Loosing this level means the structure will break materially. But, if price holds here and bounces with volume/strength, it could provide a generational swing entry.
I'll be watching very closely.
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$SLNH glad I was wrong about expecting a pullback!
Price just rammed through the $1.68 resistance. Right now, well above all daily SMA's (10/20/50/200).
We still need to see how tomorrow the Fed rate decision affects the market, but feels like the neoclouds are about to get back to the race.
Next expected resistance is at ~1.98, and I'll buy any dip in the meantime. I do expect a retest of the $1.68 just to flip it from resistance to support.
danielb93@danielbres93
$SLNH still liking the chart, but price got rejected by the $1.68 resistance that I mentioned in my last post. I expect a retest of the support at ~$1.47 before another attempt to break that resistance. Neoclouds are going to rally very soon IMO. Especially as CRWV and NBIS enter the Nasdaq 100 effective June 22 (will most likely lift smaller peers).
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$SLNH
On a down day for the NASDAQ, it's pretty much trying to hold gains.
I don't know how to act.
I'm so over-invested in this stock, it's about 40% of my whole portfolio.
That's how much I have riding on this long-term.
Constantly add to it.
Cuz I got no sense.
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$SLNH still liking the chart, but price got rejected by the $1.68 resistance that I mentioned in my last post.
I expect a retest of the support at ~$1.47 before another attempt to break that resistance.
Neoclouds are going to rally very soon IMO. Especially as CRWV and NBIS enter the Nasdaq 100 effective June 22 (will most likely lift smaller peers).
danielb93@danielbres93
$SLNH looking very good today, so far. Price bounced from the daily 50 SMA ($1.44) and is now trying to reclaim the 200 SMA ($1.57). If the daily 200 SMA is reclaimed, next resistance is at $1.68. Watching closely. NFA.
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$MRAM Nice bounce from the daily 50 SMA and breakout from the trend line.
Great swing setup with a TP of at least $42.
Invalidation would be a close below ~$24.60 (or slightly lower, below the 50 SMA).
Real technology moat, history, customers, contracts, and a credible growth roadmap.
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$STTK +18% bounce off the daily 200D SMA.
I usually avoid biotechnology stocks, but this is a really interesting early reversal setup.
Phase 1 SL-325 data was encouraging. Immediately after releasing the data, $75M offering priced at $4. Dilution hit, but financing overhang may now be largely absorbed.
Watching for a clean break and hold above $5.50.
NFA.
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$ASTS hard to tell what will happen from here now that SpaceX is public.
Right now it's close to testing the daily 200 EMA, which acted as a support magnet for a very long time.
Will be watching price action very closely for the next few weeks. IMO we will not see a new ATH in the short-term. But it could give some nice quick swings.
Might see $70 in the very short-term as it will probably be shadowed by SpaceX (along with the whole space sector).
NFA.
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