John Appleseed

16.8K posts

John Appleseed

John Appleseed

@datdudepp

Healthcare should never be financially crippling

Katılım Aralık 2013
994 Takip Edilen130 Takipçiler
Ramp Capital
Ramp Capital@RampCapitalLLC·
Need someone to confirm I'm not crazy. I want to buy one of these horse racing games where you deal out cards, then roll 4x to scratch the first 4 horses then continue rolling until one horse advances past the finish line. What I can't figure out is why many of the boards I look at don't use the true odds of dice rolls to make each number equally probable to finish. For example, the board below has the following number of rolls that would be required for each number to win: 2 = 3 rolls 3 = 6 rolls 4 = 8 rolls 5 = 11 rolls 6 = 14 rolls 7 = 17 rolls 8 = 14 rolls 9 = 11 rolls 10 = 8 rolls 11 = 6 rolls 12 = 3 rolls If you are to take the true odds of dice probabilities you would see there are this many ways to roll that dice combination: 2 = 1 way 3 = 2 ways 4 = 3 ways 5 = 4 ways 6 = 5 ways 7 = 6 ways 8 = 5 ways 9 = 4 ways 10 = 3 ways 11 = 2 ways 12 = 1 way Which is why when you play craps at the casino, the 4s and 10s pay out 2:1, because there are 3 ways to roll a 4 or 10 and 6 ways to roll a 7, true odds. So using the horse racing board combination that shows you need 3 rolls to win on a 2 or a 12 means that every number above should be multiplied by 3 to make every number equal to finishing at the same probability or true odds. 2 = 3 rolls 3 = 6 rolls 4 = 9 rolls 5 = 12 rolls 6 = 15 rolls 7 = 18 rolls 8 = 15 rolls 9 = 12 rolls 10 = 9 rolls 11 = 6 rolls 12 = 3 rolls Therefore, if you are holding a 2, 3, 11 or 12 card in your hand you are getting the true probability at a 3x multiplier but holding a 4 through 10 will give you much higher probability of that horse winning because each one needs 1 less roll to finish than what the true odds should be. In summary, please confirm I am not crazy and also find me a board that has true odds across the board. Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
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Awful Announcing
Awful Announcing@awfulannouncing·
Aaron Rodgers ropes Stephen A. Smith into an odd victory lap over COVID-19 views at ESPN's Seaport studios
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Patrick Webb
Patrick Webb@Patrickwebb·
Here’s the interview with the man who allegedly shot the video from the house that exploded in Arlington, Virginia.
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@TBrown_80 Philly fans. That’s all that needs to be said. No one respects them and for good reason
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Terry Brown™️
Terry Brown™️@TBrown_80·
So I see Eagles fans (just using them as an example) saying that the Niners treated last Sunday’s contest as “their Super Bowl” and downplaying the result. So, is the result meaningless because your team lost? Is it a coping mechanism?
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Terry Brown™️
Terry Brown™️@TBrown_80·
I’ve seen this quite a bit lately: fans of losing teams downplaying the joy that fans of winning teams. For starters, I’ve been on the record that sports are dumb and we’re rooting for laundry. We’d be better off focusing on other things. However…
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@DanWolken He’s right tho. Finebaum is awful. I have no idea how he got this famous.
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@thepatwalls You probably aren’t intending this, but this comes across as condescending to Tampa (and any other city you deem as lesser than the cities you mentioned). Like you somehow discovered this diamond in the rough and can pretty it up for your startup buddies.
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Pat Walls
Pat Walls@thepatwalls·
I never thought I’d live in a place like Tampa Florida. In my 20s, I lived in the “coastal elite” cities: NYC, SF, LA, etc. But 3 years ago, I chased a girl all the way down to Florida. And I never left. At first, I planned on it being temporary. I was antsy to get back to the “big city” once Kristen finished her residency. But slowly, this place started to grow on me. And I could see myself living here forever. It’s so cheap. It’s summer all year round. But not douchey like Miami. I play tennis every day. I have a 100 lb dog. Life is good here. But… there is one problem: it's lacking a startup community. I know there are a ton of founders and builders here, but it’s a bit disjointed, right? So one of my goals over the next decade is to have a small part in changing that. I’m going to start using my platform to spread the word about Tampa. And cover more local businesses on the YouTube channel. I want to start a community of Tampa-based founders/creators/builders. I think this place could be the next Austin TX, and I wanna be a part of that come up. If you're in Tampa / St. Pete and building something, I'd love to connect. Let's build something dope out here.
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Nick Tuell
Nick Tuell@NickTuell·
@LanceMcAlister GOOD Jake Browning is the answer Utilizing all TEs is key Chase 1on1 can’t be beat, ever Mixon is a playmaker BAD defense allowed 392yrds and 28pts Money Mac needs to tighten screws UGLY Wide Receivers shouldn’t be throwing
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LanceMcAlister
LanceMcAlister@LanceMcAlister·
Having a night to sleep on it, what's your biggest takeaway from the #Bengals game?
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HonestMath.com
HonestMath.com@honest_math·
Yes. Unfortunately, traits useful for re-evaluation in these circumstances—introspection, conscientiousness, general decency—tend to be conspicuously absent in folks that sell financial products indiscriminately. Perhaps the most persistent correlation in all of finance.
David McKnight@mcknightandco

If you’re telling people to forgo the 401(k) match and direct all of their retirement savings to IUL, you should re-evaluate your career path.

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Bojan Tunguz
Bojan Tunguz@tunguz·
This is what they took away from us.
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@CincyTherapy If your first thought after that fun ass win was negative, you should probably take a step back and reevaluate
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Cincy Therapy
Cincy Therapy@CincyTherapy·
That loss to the dogshit Steelers looks even worse now
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Paul Dehner Jr.
Paul Dehner Jr.@pauldehnerjr·
And after ALLLLLLLLL that … overtime.
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Andre Perrotta
Andre Perrotta@andreperrotta13·
What an incredibly weak illegal contact call on DJ Turner.
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@SHinyoface @RedditCFB Kentucky took out the second best team in the ACC at Louisville. Louisville is supposedly a top 3 win for FSU, which is a big yikes
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RedditCFB
RedditCFB@RedditCFB·
By all definitions, it’s definitely a playoff-quality resume.
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@CheeseDaddy62 @NicoleAuerbach Yes because deep down, they knew they weren’t truly deserving over Alabama. Alabama (and probably 10 other teams) would be undefeated with FSU’s schedule as well. Says all you need to know
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Nicole Auerbach
Nicole Auerbach@NicoleAuerbach·
FSU athletic director Michael Alford: “The consequences of giving in to a narrative of the moment are destructive, far reaching, and permanent. Not just for Florida State, but college football as a whole. … It is unforgivable.”
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RedditCFB
RedditCFB@RedditCFB·
Michigan’s reaction to seeing they drew Alabama is an all-time reaction 😂
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@RyanDetrick This would have been the perfect year for 8 teams. 7 teams that all had legitimate arguments to be top 4
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Ryan Detrick, CMT
Ryan Detrick, CMT@RyanDetrick·
At least next year if you are good, you are in. Ohio State lost by less than a TD at #1 and it went to the very final drive. FSU has an argument, but they aren't top 4 imo. The Champ has an argument as well. Next year (finally) the true best team will earn it.
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SPG
SPG@SPG9814·
@RedditCFB God these tears are great best 4 teams are in!
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@RedditCFB Like come on, look at FSU’s schedule And tell me where Bama gets tripped up
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John Appleseed
John Appleseed@datdudepp·
@RedditCFB Now do the same with FSU. Clemson, Boston College, Miami, Louisville games all stinkers. So you think FSU would be undefeated with Alabamas schedule? Be honest. Because I’m 10000% sure Bama would be with FSUs schedule and you are too.
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