Daniel Matthews
4.9K posts
Daniel Matthews
@deadtoothbrush
Flat and uninspiring member of @bwbastards podcast
Berlin, Germany Katılım Ekim 2020
461 Takip Edilen412 Takipçiler
@DrewPavlou They're drunk on attention. Look at her! She's totally getting off on it
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Former Australian of the Year Grace Tame chants “From Gadigal to Gaza, Globalize the Intifada”
Gadigal is the Indigenous place name for Sydney, so she’s calling for “Intifada” in Sydney two months after Islamic terrorists massacred dozens of Australian Jews at Bondi Beach.
This is a direct call for communal violence against Australian Jews just two months after a jihadist terrorist attack.
Evil person.
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Mahir episode 2 is finally done. Now i can get back to playing haha! @Stoneshard
youtu.be/iHuRoVdZFws?si…
YouTube
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@deadtoothbrush It’s better to wait until we release the demo. Then go for it!
Until then, we’d prefer if you didn’t post videos or stream the playtest 🧐
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We hope you have nothing going on this weekend, so how about taking Space Scum for a spin? 👉👈
Space Scum | Wishlist on Steam@solesurvivorgms
Our first-ever playtest starts this weekend! If you’re into Battle Brothers, Wartales, or other turn-based RPGs, consider signing up and helping us shape the game. Sign up: forms.gle/NUqh1Ay7pxEf7L…
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
Because truly, who ARE these Pokémon?! (We had to shut up about this for so long!)
GIF
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
Well well well. It is time for our biweekly pilgrimage to this spam infested dystopia to tell you that ANOTHER SHORT STORY HAS DROPPED and it has THREE guests in it! Meet the Bastardsonas of @FKTH and @thedragonDM, wherever you get yer pods for yer ears!
WE ARE UTTERLY JAZZED!
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"We're totally compromised!"
Colony Entrance map set is available at link in bio! 🌙
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
17 days left! I would really like the support by sharing, liking etc. EVEN BETTER, support the campaign! :D
Thank you for looking!
kickstarter.com/projects/spiri…
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@DaveShapi Funny all the points you mention against them is how I feel about your predictions.
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I finally got around to reviewing this paper and it's as bad as I thought it would be.
1. Zero data or evidence. Just "we guessed right in the past, so trust me bro" even though they provide no evidence that they guessed right in the past. So, that's their grounding.
2. They used their imagination to repeatedly ask "what happens next" based on.... well their imagination. No empirical data, theory, evidence, or scientific consensus. (Note, this by a group of people who have already convinced themselves that they alone possess the prognostic capability to know exactly how as-yet uninvented technology will play out)
3. They pull back at the end saying "We're not saying we're dead no matter what, only that we might be, and we want serious debate" okay sure.
4. The primary mechanism they propose is something that a lot of us have already discussed (myself included, which I dubbed TRC or Terminal Race Condition). Which, BTW, I first published a video about on June 13, 2023 - almost a full 2 years ago. So this is nothing new for us AI folks, but I'm sure they didn't cite me.
5. They make up plausible sounding, but totally fictional concepts like "neuralese recurrence and memory" (this is dangerous handwaving meant to confuse uninitiated - this is complete snakeoil)
6. In all of their thought experiments, they never even acknowledge diminishing returns or negative feedback loops. They instead just assume infinite acceleration with no bottlenecks, market corrections or other pushbacks. For instance, they fail to contemplate that corporate adoption is critical for the investment required for infinite acceleration. They also fail to contemplate that military adoption (and that acquisition processes) also have tight quality controls. They just totally ignore these kinds of constraints.
7. They do acknowledge that some oversight might be attempted, but hand-wave it away as inevitably doomed. This sort of "nod and shrug" is the most attention they pay to anything that would totally shoot a hole in their "theory" (I use the word loosely, this paper amounts to a thought experiment that I'd have posted on YouTube, and is not as well thought through). The only constraint they explicitly acknowledge is computing constraints.
8. Interestingly, I actually think they are too conservative on their "superhuman coders". They say that's coming in 2027. I say it's coming later this year.
Ultimately, this paper is the same tripe that Doomers have been pushing for a while, and I myself was guilty until I took the white pill.
Overall, this paper reads like "We've tried nothing and we're all out of ideas." It also makes the baseline assumption that "fast AI is dangerous AI" and completely ignores the null hypothesis: that superintelligent AI isn't actually a problem. They are operating entirely from the assumption, without basis, that "AI will inevitably become superintelligent, and that's bad."
Link to my Terminal Race Condition video below (because receipts).
Guys, we've been over this before. It's time to move the argument forward.
Daniel Kokotajlo@DKokotajlo
"How, exactly, could AI take over by 2027?" Introducing AI 2027: a deeply-researched scenario forecast I wrote alongside @slatestarcodex, @eli_lifland, and @thlarsen
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
🎙️VIDEO GAME DEMO🎙️
If you need a voice for that mischievous merchant, reluctant hero, or first victim in a horror game, please reach out!
✉️: sethmahonva@gmail.com
🌐: sethmahon.com
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
Can't gatekeep this tool anymore...
Who wants to test it out? I'll DM a link
Augis@thisaugis
Abstract 3D was supposed to drop last month… But had a bunch of other things to release first 🥵 Good news: it’s almost here, and it’s looking 🔥
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
It’s not pseudo science anymore, what many of us hard core users have been seeing and feeling on here is actually true.
X is not a transparent town square, it’s the new propaganda machine, wielded by the whims of the richest person on the planet, what could possibly go wrong?
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
It’s funny that everyone’s freaking out about a 3% chance of a city-level asteroid in 7 years meanwhile there’s a much greater chance of some kind of AI enabled disaster like bio or cyber terrorism or frankly even mass surveillance by then and everyone’s like oh well
Collin Rugg@CollinRugg
NEW: NASA has increased the chance a major asteroid smashes into Earth in 2032, now giving it a 3.1% chance, up from 2.6% last week. NASA says the odds the asteroid hits Earth is 1 in 32. It is big enough to wipe out an entire city. The large cities with the highest risk are Bogotá, Abidjan, Lagos, Khartoum, Mumbai, Kolkata and Dhaka. According to experts, the 177-foot diameter asteroid would release 8 megatons of energy on impact, 500 times the energy released by the atomic bomb that destroyed Hiroshima. NASA has successfully tested asteroid deflection technologies. China will also be testing its own technology on a small asteroid in 2027. "This is not a crisis at this point in time. This is not the dinosaur killer. This is not the planet killer. This is at most dangerous for a city," said the head of the European Space Agency's planetary defense office, Richard Moissl.
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
If you need a reminder of what Russia did to Ukraine. Use this post to educate people that needs a reminder on the matter.
TLDR: Russia invaded Ukraine violating international law, and started a war.
GeoConfirmed@GeoConfirmed
GeoConfirmed UKR - Misinformation by President Trump. While we typically refrain from political commentary, President Donald Trump's recent statement regarding the war in Ukraine is so egregious that we feel compelled to respond. Several claims made by President Trump have already been debunked. We've included responses from Grok AI for each claim, demonstrating that even Grok refutes the misinformation spread by the president. In this thread, we will provide geolocated footage as a reminder to everyone that Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, marking the beginning of this war. 1) The United States has not spent $350 billion on this war, nor has it outspent Europe by $200 billion. In fact, European contributions have surpassed those of the US. Moreover, a significant portion of the American military aid (around 90% !) is spend in the US, reinvesting in the US economy. statista.com/statistics/149… eeas.europa.eu/delegations/un… ifw-kiel.de/publications/n… csis.org/analysis/where… (Grok: x.com/i/grok/share/9…) 2) President Zelensky did not claim that half the American money sent to Ukraine is "missing". He stated that half of the promised funds had not been received, which is a crucial distinction. csis.org/analysis/where… politifact.com/factchecks/202… edition.cnn.com/2025/02/19/pol… (Grok: x.com/i/grok/share/x…) 3) Ukrainian constitution prohibits elections during wartime, a measure designed to protect the democratic process from foreign interference, particularly given Russia's known capabilities in this area... foreignpolicy.com/2023/07/11/ukr… edition.cnn.com/2024/03/30/eur… united24media.com/war-in-ukraine… (Grok: x.com/i/grok/share/i…) 4) President Zelensky is not a dictator, as evidenced by Ukraine's constitutional framework and his commitment to holding elections once hostilities cease. In contrast, it's worth noting that President Putin consistently wins elections in Russia with implausibly high percentages of votes, with opposition that 'falls out of windows", is poisened or jailed, raising questions about the true nature of Russia's electoral process. europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document… oscepa.org/en/news-a-medi… osce.usmission.gov/on-the-russian… japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/03/1… bbc.com/news/world-eur… (Grok: x.com/i/grok/share/a…) 5) President Zelensky has a approval rate above 50% and not 4%. 4% is Russian disinformation. edition.cnn.com/2025/02/19/pol… kiis.com.ua/?lang=eng&cat=… euronews.com/2025/02/19/zel… abcnews.go.com/International/… (Grok: x.com/i/grok/share/I…) 6) There was no NATO expansion to the East, as NATO itself cannot expand. Instead, democratic countries independently decide whether they want to become members of the alliance. The process of joining NATO is voluntary and involves multiple steps, including meeting specific requirements and completing a formal application process. The fact that many of Russia's former neighbors have chosen to seek NATO membership speaks volumes about their perception of Russia and their desire for collective security. The decision of these nations to pursue NATO membership reflects their sovereign right to determine their own foreign policy and security arrangements. It also indicates a preference for the stability and security guarantees that NATO membership offers, rather than remaining under Russian influence. Regarding the famous 'promise': Article 103 of the UN Charter establishes a clear hierarchy in international law. It states that obligations under the UN Charter prevail over obligations under any other international agreement in case of conflict. This supremacy extends beyond just treaties, as it is generally understood to also apply to customary international law. The hierarchy can be summarized as follows: 1) UN Charter obligations 2) Other treaties and customary international law 3) Non-treaty international texts 4) Political promises or commitments 5) Historical claims Russia's invasion of Ukraine clearly violates fundamental principles of the UN Charter, including the prohibition on the use of force against the territorial integrity of another state. Any attempts to justify this action based on lower-ranking considerations like political promises or historical claims are legally irrelevant. euvsdisinfo.eu/report/there-i… nato.int/cps/ra/natohq/… iir.cz/lies-provocati… (Grok: x.com/i/grok/share/f… and x.com/i/grok/share/N… and x.com/i/grok/share/N…) 8) Who initiated this nearly three-year-long war? RUSSIA. As a platform that has analyzed over 50,000 frames/videos related to the conflict, we will remind the president ,with geolocated footage, who started this war: RUSSIA. Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, despite repeatedly denying any plans for invasion in the preceding days. x.com/Mike_Pence/sta… edition.cnn.com/2025/02/19/pol… (Grok: x.com/i/grok/share/m…) --- 24 FEB 2022 - Russian tanks crossing the border from Belarus into Ukraine in Senkivka. 52.106063, 31.780644 4Q4J+C7C Sen'kivka, Chernihiv Oblast, Ukraine Sources: x.com/conflicts/stat… 1/11
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
People: *are rightfully worried about a 3% chance of an asteroid hitting Earth and potentially killing some people*
Meanwhile AI scientists: *give 10-90% chance of AI killing literally everyone on the planet*
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Daniel Matthews retweetledi
Send this to people who claim AI isn't taking artists' jobs.
There is no amount of 'adapting' that will spontaneously generate more work if companies decide they don't want to pay you anymore.
Ed Newton-Rex@ednewtonrex
Extremely stark & revealing chart in the @FT. It shows the change in the number of image creation jobs vs. manual-intensive jobs since popular AI image models arrived. Gen AI competes with the work it's trained on, and the people behind that work. ft.com/content/185e2e…
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@kimmonismus I live in Berlin and have to find a new apartment to rent. Berlin is notoriously hard to rent in, do you have any ideas how I could use Ai to help with this?
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