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$BTC chart update.
A speculative idea. Not financial advice.

CAPT. PARA8OLIC TOBLERONE@CaptToblerone
$BTC chart update.
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Something interesting is happening with $BTC...
Most of us are familiar with Bitcoin’s clinical market cycles. Historically, bear markets last about 365 days, and by that metric we’re roughly 1/3 in.
What’s different this time is speed. Price is dropping faster than usual, 1.25x. Since BTC topped in October, earlier than past cycles, it’s reasonable to expect the bottom to arrive earlier too.
My base case: we bottom in August, not Q4. That’s why I’m planning to accumulate between June, August.
Part of this is intuition, but the structure supports it.
Cycles appear to be shortening. As institutional demand grows, it will increasingly absorb miner and OG selling pressure. When that balance shifts, BTC may start behaving less like a boom-bust asset and more like a traditional risk asset, closer to the S&P 500’s cycle profile.
Based on drawdown math, we’re likely 22–30% from the bottom. Historically, smart money builds spot positions in the -40% to -60% range. I don’t expect a -70% drawdown this cycle.
I think we’re 20% away from the bear market low, with the bottom forming in Q3.
Using the 365-day model, there are 200 days left to a formal bottom. That gives us two paths:
• slow sideways chop with a gradual bleed, or
• a faster dump that ends the bear cycle early
I am betting that we bottom sooner. So I am buying at
69K.
65K.
60K.
55K.
50K.
45K.
Don't cry because its over, smile because it happened.
Note: In regards to massive swing longs, you will know when I am long.

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Assets added to the roadmap today: Seeker (SKR), FIGHT (FIGHT)
coinbase.com/blog/increasin…
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It's time - Whitelist holders, your turn now
Mint, swap, sell, buy, or try to talk to your Dino
The herd is already gathering (link below)
Rarity post coming later
opensea.io/collection/din…
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RASKALZ will be moving to @AbstractChain! 🟢
Ryu, Kyo, and Rei—are ready to lead the way into the world of Abstract! By choosing Abstract, we’re setting the stage for an even richer, more seamless experience for the RASKALZ!
We’re here to align our vision of building an immersive and consumer-centric experience by highlighting the outcasts & rebels on the chain that is built for consumers, by consumers
Turn your notifications on, it's time to smash the chains & break the mold on Abstract! 💀
*All of the Whitelist Spots that we have given out in the past will still be valid going forward

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CHONKY CAPYS LOADING
PROGRESS: ~80%
██████▒▒
GET READY
LIKE, RT, SHARE & POST WALLET FOR CHONKYBARAS WL
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You look up and it's there. Angel or Alien, you can't tell, but it's undeniably Based.
The gates of Area 18 are wide open for @basedangelsbtc.
Drop your Ordinals wallet for GTD WL below.

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Welcome to The Great Abduction. A large-scale collection of unique, hand-drawn, multi-layered Ordinals inscribed on Rare Sats. Follow, Like, RT, and drop your Ordinals wallet for WL if you're ready to Face the Conspiracy.
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GM #Ordinals! 🐑🔥
Black Herdz, the community for those who break from the ordinary 💤
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