Luciana kittie
100 posts


spent weeks grinding @PerleLabs, doing tasks, interacting non-stop and somehow still ended up not eligible lolllll
hundreds of thousands of people are receiving free AI training for a multi-billion dollar project
rather just go back to prediction markets
any beta platforms still early rn?
feels like that’s where the real edge is

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@riko_flux @PerleLabs weeks of grinding just to get nothing is painful ngl
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@ryannova8p @olivermoonue @ethancolelr @primenic_eth @PolymarketSport run it up to $1k easier here fr
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@olivermoonue @ethancolelr @degenvector @primenic_eth @PolymarketSport aura sprint grind looking good
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Another Milestone achieved on @PolymarketSport.
$500 profits!
Broke my NBA streak today as Suns lost to Minnesota.
But still up $50 on the day!
We're 7/8 wins on the weekly.
Can we take it to $1,000 by end of March?

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@ryannova8p @olivermoonue @ethancolelr @primenic_eth @PolymarketSport building pos while getting paid? yes pls
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@olivermoonue @ethancolelr @degenvector @primenic_eth @PolymarketSport 100% rev share? that's insane value
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@primenic_eth @PolymarketSport still +50 today? weekly 7/8 u on one
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Chinese quant dropped out of university and turned $1,115 ⟶ $21,000 on Polymarket weather category
He found a thesis that stated:
"Physics-based models outperform ML models in atmospheric river detection
during the critical first four forecast days”
Built a model based on this thesis that snipes rare weather events at 5.5¢
His research and profile in comments ↓



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@ryanholt7dz @WenRugxxx @ryannova8p @lorden_eth yea xmarket launches markets before pricing is efficient, early entries are basically free EV
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@WenRugxxx @ryannova8p @lorden_eth this kind of edge hits even harder on xmarket where weather markets start in presale phase
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market finally looks good again
projects pls just TGE already ffs 😭
hearing @Polymarket might TGE before the world cup
lowkey feels like prediction markets are actually worth farming now. any decent beta-stage ones left or am I late

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Luciana kittie retweetledi

the thing that got me recently wasn’t even betting
it was watching how fast some markets move right after they go live. like if u’re early enough. u’re not even “predicting” anything
u’re just positioning before everyone else shows up. kinda feels like presales in 2021 all over again. except now it’s not tokens. it’s markets
idk man
starting to feel like the real edge isn’t being right. it’s just being early
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The market loves layoffs.
Reports say Meta may cut 20% of its workforce.
- Employees: 80,000
- 20% cut = 16,000 jobs
Average Meta compensation: $379K
16,000 × $379K = ~$6B annual savings
At a 31.5 P/E, that equals ~$191B in valuation impact.
Meta market cap: $1.6T
That’s roughly 12% of the company.
If true, the stock could jump 5–12% on the announcement.
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@ryannova8p @WenRugxxx @0xFlowLab @patrickbetdavid seen some new platforms experimenting with those markets, like Xmarket, possible to create your own market
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@ryannova8p @WenRugxxx @0xFlowLab @patrickbetdavid true, like a market for “will meta announce layoffs”
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@WenRugxxx @0xFlowLab @patrickbetdavid honestly this feels like the type of thing prediction markets would price instantly
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Luciana kittie retweetledi

prediction market has been one of the strongest narrative lately
people aren’t just arguing about news on CT anymore
they’re literally trading the probability around it
elections, crypto events, sports, random internet drama…
everything turns into a market
what’s interesting though is people seem to be looking for new platforms, not just the usual ones
> different mechanics
> different incentives
> different ways to create markets
curious what prediction market models you guys find the most interesting so far
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