Derek Moaters

206 posts

Derek Moaters

Derek Moaters

@derekmoaters

New York, USA Katılım Kasım 2022
136 Takip Edilen11 Takipçiler
Hans Niemann
Hans Niemann@HansMokeNiemann·
Everyone's day of judgement comes.
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
@HansMokeNiemann Danny and Erik literally did a 20-minute cope session just over the trailer and the chess mafia "narrative."
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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@JoshNoLook Hello Kramnik, have you ever stopped to consider what you have become? You’re spending your whole life drawing eye movement arrows. Just think about it
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
Nakamura analyzing Petrosian's eye movements: "It looks very weird." Suggests players eyes should be glued to the monitor so "this looks very strange." "Looks very obvious to me." Now contrast that with his eye movements in the clip below.
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Complex Pop Culture
Complex Pop Culture@ComplexPop·
'Melania' is currently the lowest rated movie of all time on IMDb. The film is sitting at 1.1/10 stars with over 17k reviews.
Complex Pop Culture tweet mediaComplex Pop Culture tweet media
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Rep. Jack Kimble
Rep. Jack Kimble@RepJackKimble·
Wow! Seeing the reviews for Melania, I can’t think of another First Lady who had this bad a night at the theatre
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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@JDVance please stop calling yourself a "Christian" you vile being
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JD Vance
JD Vance@JDVance·
When I was in Minneapolis, I heard a number of crazy stories. But near the top of the list: A couple of off duty ICE and CBP officers were going to dinner in Minneapolis. They were doxed and their location revealed, and the restaurant was then mobbed. The officers were locked in the restaurant, and local police refused to respond to their pleas for help (as they've been directed by local authorities). Eventually, their fellow federal agents came to their aid. This is just a taste of what's happening in Minneapolis because state and local officials refuse to cooperate with immigration enforcement. They have created the chaos so they can have moments like yesterday, where someone tragically dies and politicians get to grandstand about the evils of enforcing the border. The solution is staring everyone in the face. I hope authorities in Minneapolis stop this madness.
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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@JoshNoLook Kramnik, do your wife and children know you're chronically online pretending to be an American person just so you can spew hate from multiple accounts instead of one? Do you even realise how embarrassing and sad your life is?
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
I've created a YouTube channel. I'll be reposting the same videos as on X, but *only* on chess fair play. So uploads will be rarer (and less varied). I do have a backlog to catch up on though, so there should be daily uploads for about a week. youtube.com/watch?v=8Ac9BM…
YouTube video
YouTube
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
@CryptoSala This is 8 years ago, pre–chesscom rating inflation. Start of the streak: Nakamura 3002 vs opponent 2512 (+490 Elo).
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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@JoshNoLook just accept that you are past your prime Vladimir Kramnik. don't you recognise how pathetically embarrassing you are by posting these things relentlessly under a clearly fake "American" account? have some shame
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
Quote of the day. "Stockfish suggests. Nakamura selects."
Josh👀 tweet media
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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@JoshNoLook are you stupid or schizophrenic, kramnik? you do realise you are the cause of the trolling...? you sad small man
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
In Danya's 2nd-to-last stream he said the trolling got so bad he had to switch to Russian-only. Nakamura did nothing to stop it. Today he even hid behind "free speech" when asked about his YT editor who self-identifies as an "Antifa terrorist" and posts calls for assassinations
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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@JoshNoLook kramnik - for once in your life, can you please just go take care of your family rather than fester on the internet being salty and bitter that everyone hates you
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
Danny Rensch talks about building the chess content creator ecosystem. Convincing Hikaru Nakamura to stream. Mentions Anna Rudolf, Alexandra Botez, and Levy Rozman. If chesscom built your platform and your career depends on them, the bias is baked in. Be sceptical of their takes
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House of Highlights
House of Highlights@HoHighlights·
One of the most insane gender reveals ever 👏🔥 (via shaiross83/IG)
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
Freestyle tried to speedrun a "World Championship" without the ecosystem: big spend, shaky sponsors, messy leadership, and now crawling to FIDE for legitimacy. Funniest bit: the creator strategy. Did it help at all? Maybe "influencers" aren't that influential.
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
Levy Rozman on CSquared: "I don't care about comments whatsoever." Levy Rozman on Lex: "I love hate comments." Loving the engagement, coping, or just a different Levy Rozman depending on the convo & target audience? #PinOfShame
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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@TomCottonAR Makes sense that this is coming from the idiot who thinks Singapore is in China
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Tom Cotton
Tom Cotton@TomCottonAR·
The videos make clear: the ICE officer was justified and Democratic politicians lied about what happened. Proud to stand with our brave ICE officers against the left-wing mob.
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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@JDVance Please don’t call yourself a Christian you vile animal
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JD Vance
JD Vance@JDVance·
This is preposterous. First of all, she's not waving the officers through and has no right to do so even if she were. She is waving another car through, before the officers approach her car. Second, the officers are not randomly searching her, they are approaching her vehicle because she is violating the law: namely, she is obstructing a lawful enforcement operation. You're not allowed to walk up to or drive up to people who are enforcing the law to make it harder for them to do their jobs. Third, this defense attorney is drawing a meaningless distinction between an ICE officer and a "real police officer." Again, you're not allowed to interrupt a lawful enforcement operation, which is exactly what this woman was doing. Fourth, the officer didn't discharge his weapon to prevent her from fleeing. When he discharged his weapon, she had pointed the vehicle at him and pressed the gas. He discharged his weapon in self defense, and other angles of the video show the woman *clearly* hit the officer with her car while accelerating. The gaslighting is off the charts and I'm having none of it. This guy was doing his job. She tried to stop him from doing his job. When he approached her car, she tried to hit him. A tragedy? Absolutely. But a tragedy that falls on this woman and all of the radicals who teach people that immigration is the one type of law that rioters are allowed to interfere with.
Jenin Younes@JeninYounesEsq

I'm a former defense attorney and currently a civil liberties attorney with no political dog in this fight. I watched the video at least 10 times from different angles and at different speeds and waited to offer an opinion, which I still reserve the right to change if additional information changes the calculus. It is very clear that the officers instigated the confrontation. The woman initially tried to wave them past her. ICE officers have no authority to search a US citizen or arrest her (unless there's probable cause to believe she's harboring undocumented individuals, not a contention here). A woman surrounded by masked, armed men who have no law enforcement authority over her has every right to try to escape. Video shows her steering wheel is turned to the right, clearly an attempt to leave WITHOUT hitting anyone and steer clear of the officer standing towards the front of her car. That officer had time to step to the side, which is where he was when he shot her. Even a real police officer would not have the right to shoot at her for trying to flee. This is well-established in the case law; deadly force may not be used simply to prevent someone from getting away. Given that the ICE officers had no law enforcement authority to begin with, AND the video footage shows she was trying to escape a perceived threat, not to kill anyone, the crime is all the more inexcusable. I'm praying for the victim's family, especially her children. I'm also praying for all the conservatives who are so unprincipled and lost they're excusing this terrible crime, and gloating over a death that will leave three young children motherless, because of the victim's politics.

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Derek Moaters
Derek Moaters@derekmoaters·
@JoshNoLook kramnik why don't you just use your real account to post this drivel
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
In one of Danya's last streams, he plays in Hikaru's Tuesday Afterparty Arena. He says Nakamura is "playing like a computer," calls a 20/20 streak "crazy," and says Hikaru looked on a different level that day. Worth a closer look, given past bullying. docs.google.com/document/d/1ky…
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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
Eliot's "95% win rate" treats Elo as P(win). But Elo gives expected score: E = P(W) + ½P(D). If draws end streaks, you must use p = P(W). So these win-streaks are far rarer than his numbers. Regardless, he asserts an i.i.d. Bernoulli assumption, not demonstrated, with any data.
Prof. Eliot Jacobson@EliotJacobson

@GMHikaru @VBkramnik PhD mathematician and former math professor here. I am a 2100-2200 rated blitz player on LiChess -- I am quite sure I could get a streak of 100 or more against players rated 1500 or below. As a professional and one of the premier blitz players on the planet, the gap between Hikaru and a 2300 is even larger than between me and a 1500. When you're that much better than your opponents, these streaks are not that hard. In fact, it would be harder to believe Hikaru wouldn't have these streaks. If a streak is defined to have ended with a draw or loss, then Hikaru just needs to count his draws and losses while farming to determine his total number of streaks. If he is 512 ELO higher than an opponent (opponent ELO = 2300), this corresponds to a 95% chance of winning. In this case, on average, one out of every 168.9 streaks will be of length 100 or longer (probability of streak = 0.005921) and one out of every 13 streaks will be 50 wins in a row or longer (probability of streak = 0.07694). With a higher ELO difference, these streaks will become more common. That's what theory says. I followed up this theoretical work by writing a short computer program in C to simulate these results using a random number generator to generate wins or non-wins, with a win set at 95% probability. I ran the program for 10,000,000 (10 million) simulates win-streaks. The distribution followed theory fairly closely. 769776 of the streaks were 50 or longer, or 7.698% (1-in-13). And 57609 of the streaks were 100 wins or longer, for 0.576% (1-in-173). Finally, 295 of the streaks were 200 wins in a row or longer, with the longest win-streak coming in at length 310. I want to finish by saying that this is Freshman-level probability and statistics. There is absolutely nothing complicated about these computations. The computer program I wrote can easily be written by a student with a one-quarter course on coding. The overarching fact is that long win streaks are a normal artifact of ELO farming.

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Josh👀
Josh👀@JoshNoLook·
More history-rewriting from Levy Rozman. Like with Hans Niemann cheating allegations, he's reframing his own coverage of Daniel Naroditsky's passing. Now saying he "pumped the brakes" on accusing Kramnik and "you can't blame him for that." Gaslighting, plain and simple.
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