lashira base.eth | (❖,❖)
2.1K posts






🚨 Krisis Ekonomi Disebabkan AI? Menurut Arthur Hayes, kejatuhan harga Bitcoin dari $126K ke $60K menjadi sinyal ekonomi global tidak beres: 1. Sinyal Kehancuran Nasdaq (kuning) vs Bitcoin (putih) Biasanya, Bitcoin bergerak seirama dengan Nasdaq. Tapi sejak Oktober 2025, bitcoin terjun bebas sementara Nasdaq masih sideways. Ini merupakan sinyal awal ekonomi, khususnya kredit dan deflasi, karena bitcoin adalah aset yang sangat sensitif terhadap likuiditas. 2. AI vs Pekerja Kantor Dulu kita melihat era revolusi industri khususnya di pabrik (manufaktur). Manusia digantikan mesin agar menghasilkan output yang efisien. Saat ini yang terancam adalah pekerja kantoran, seperti bidang administrasi, marketing/sales, akuntan, dan semacamnya. 3. Penyebab Krisis Ekonomi Jika banyak pekerjaan kantoran digantikan AI, maka ini berdampak besar di Ekonomi, khususnya kredit (utang). Ingat krisis 2008? Jika pekerja mengalami gelombang PHK dan tidak mampu bayar cicilan utangnya (kartu kredit, KPR, kendaraan), maka dampaknya membunuh bank secara cepat. Asumsikan ada 20% yang terkena PHK dari 72 juta pekerja kantoran, nilai kerugian bisa ditafsir hingga $557 Miliar, dan harga saham perusahaan terancam hingga berujung bangkrut. Ingat awal 2023? Beberapa bank di AS bangkrut, dan tidak semua bisa diselamatkan pemerintah, hanya segelintir bank yang terbesar saja. Sementara ada ribuan bank kecil di AS yang tidak dijamin oleh pemerintah. Siklusnya: Bad credit -> Harga saham jatuh -> Bank run -> Selamat tinggal 4. Indikator Awal Pasar selalu bergerak lebih awal, istilahnya "front running". Sektor software (SaaS) dan kredit privat terkena hantaman keras akhir tahun lalu, bergerak melawan arus Nasdaq. Pola belanja masyarakat juga mulai berubah drastis, lebih mengutamakan kebutuhan pokok daripada keinginan. 5. FED AS Bisa Apa? Pada dasarnya, FED tidak akan menghidupkan printer uangnya jika tidak ada krisis. Di satu sisi, FED harus menyelamatkan bank yang terancam dan membutuhkan pinjaman karena efek kredit deflasi tadi. Bank butuh dana -> Ajukan kredit sebagai jaminan -> Nilai aset NOL (karena yang meminjam adalah pengangguran) -> Pinjaman ditolak -> Pusing berujung bangkrut Lantas apa solusinya? Deflasi kredit adalah musuh besar, ketika banyak bank regional yang runtuh, FED "terpaksa" melakukan QE untuk menyelamatkan ekonomi. "Brrrrrrr" 💵💵💵



🎄✨ Holiday Harvest has officially wrapped! What an incredible 14 days of exploration, celebration, and community building across the Soneium ecosystem. Thank you to everyone who participated and made this initiative truly special. Special shoutout to Startale App (@StartaleGroup) for their exceptional support in powering Holiday Harvest. A massive thank you to all our participating projects for launching together and creating such an amazing experience. All rewards will be distributed today 🎁

Every crypto bro cheering this bill is either on Coinbase’s payroll or can’t read. I read all 278 pages. You’re getting played. I’ve been in crypto since 2012. That’s 14 years of watching governments pretend to be confused while quietly building the cage. Trump promised to make America “the crypto capital of the world.” His party just delivered a surveillance framework that would make the CCP blush. Today I’m launching the Day2026 Bill Tracker. It does one thing: exposes how both parties collaborate to build your digital prison while you cheer. First up: The Senate Digital Asset Market Structure Act. 278 pages of “regulatory clarity” from Senator Tim Scott. Translation: 278 pages of compliance theater that kills everything crypto was built for. Here’s what your favorite influencers won’t tell you because their bags depend on you not knowing: MANDATORY TRADE SURVEILLANCE - Every exchange must implement real-time monitoring. Every. Single. Transaction. The NSA called, they want their playbook back. UNIVERSAL REGISTRATION - Exchanges, brokers, dealers, even “associated persons” must register. Anonymous participation? Dead. Satoshi’s vision? Buried. FULL DISCLOSURE TO THE STATE - Token issuers must hand over source code, transaction history, and tokenomics to regulators. Open source for thee, total transparency for me. MANDATORY GOVERNMENT CUSTODIANS - Your coins must sit with approved custodians. Self-custody for regulated activity? Effectively illegal. Not your keys, not your coins just became federal policy. DEFI IN THE CROSSHAIRS - For the first time ever, DeFi developers face registration requirements. Building permissionless systems now requires permission. Let that sink in. YOUR DATA GOES GLOBAL - Transaction records flow to the SEC, CFTC, and foreign regulators. Your wallet activity shared with central banks worldwide. Bullish, right? WHO ACTUALLY WINS: Coinbase gets a regulatory moat that buries competitors. You think Brian Armstrong is lobbying for YOUR freedom? Chainalysis gets permanent government contracts. Surveillance as a service, funded by your tax dollars. BlackRock and Wall Street get clear on-ramps while DeFi gets strangled in the crib. The SEC and CFTC get expanded empires and fresh revenue streams. You get watched. Tracked. Controlled. But hey, number go up. THE PROCESS: Senators got 48 hours to review 278 pages. Democrats asked for more time. Denied. Because nothing says “deliberative democracy” like speed-running financial surveillance. They call it regulatory clarity. I call it regulatory capture gift-wrapped for the donor class. THE REAL GAME: This is what “bipartisan consensus” means in 2026: both parties racing to build total financial surveillance while fighting about pronouns on cable news. Republicans say they oppose CBDCs. Then they vote for infrastructure that makes CBDCs inevitable. Democrats say they want consumer protection. Then they vote for bills written by the corporations they claim to regulate. Different jerseys. Same owners. THE UNCOMFORTABLE TRUTH: Trump isn’t saving crypto. He’s domesticating it. The goal was never to ban Bitcoin. The goal was to make it legible, trackable, and taxable. Mission accomplished. Every laser-eyed profile pic celebrating this bill is either naive, compromised, or selling you something. WHAT I’M DOING ABOUT IT: Full analysis with threat scores, beneficiary tracking, and talking points: (day2026.com/legislation/se…) Every major bill gets this treatment. PATRIOT Act. TARP. CARES Act. REAL ID. GENIUS Act. Executive orders. All of it. Exposed. THE ANNOUNCEMENT: Neither party will protect your financial freedom. Neither party actually opposes CBDCs. Neither party will stop the technocratic merger of corporate and state power. That’s why I’m exploring a run for US Senate in New Hampshire. Not to join the club. To burn down the velvet rope. The algorithm buries truth. Make it work for us.








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