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$MU Micron Technology (MU) Q2 FY2026 Earnings Preview
atlaspeakresearch.com/report/c804c4
Micron enters Q2 FY2026 reporting with the Street sitting roughly $500M above the company’s revenue guidance midpoint and $0.17 above EPS guidance midpoint — a reflection of strong buy-side conviction that management’s conservative guide cadence will yield another beat. The more consequential debate is not Q2 itself but the extraordinary ramp the consensus implies beyond it: Street models project revenue climbing from $19.2B in Q2 to $24.6B in Q4 FY26, with full-year FY26 EPS of $34.79. That trajectory implies Micron is exiting FY26 on an annualized revenue run-rate above $100B and approaching peak margins simultaneously.
The setup is constructive. HBM demand is structurally oversubscribed, all CY2026 HBM supply is fully contracted, HBM4 is on schedule for a Q2 CY2026 volume ramp, and conventional DRAM profitability is improving sharply alongside the AI-driven mix shift. Management raised FY2026 CapEx to ~$20B (from ~$18B) to meet demand pull-forward — a bullish signal. At 9.8x NTM P/E, the stock does not look expensive on earnings power, but the bar for anything less than a substantial beat-and-raise is very high given 47 of 52 analysts already rate Buy, the stock is up ~52% YTD, and IV at 74.6% prices ~7.5% options move. This report frames the key variables, consensus positioning, and what to listen for when Micron reports.
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@TheValueist I share my real-time stocks alert (entry & exit points) on WhatsApp, free to join ✅
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