버뮤다사각지대

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버뮤다사각지대

버뮤다사각지대

@digital365

Ph. D. 사회과학연구자는 어떻게 하품을 할까.

Seoul Korea Katılım Temmuz 2009
1.5K Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
버뮤다사각지대 retweetledi
Ricardo
Ricardo@Ric_RTP·
AI is the first technology in history where more customers makes you POORER. Every tech company in history got cheaper as it scaled. More users meant lower costs per user. That's the entire model. That's why Microsoft prints money. That's why Google prints money. That's why Meta prints money. Software has near-zero marginal cost. Build it once. Sell it a billion times. The 100 millionth user costs basically nothing to serve. This is the single most important rule in tech economics. But AI completely broke it. Every single query costs real compute. Every interaction burns real electricity. Every response depreciates real hardware. There is no "build once, sell forever." There is only "burn money every time someone asks a question." And the numbers prove it: OpenAI hit $20 billion in annualized revenue. Losses? $14 billion. For every dollar they earn, they spend $1.69 delivering it. Their losses TRIPLED as their revenue grew. Not because they're bad at business, but simply because the model itself is broken. Anthropic crossed $30 billion in annualized revenue. Still burning billions. Still not profitable. Still raising tens of billions just to keep the lights on. xAI is burning $1 billion every single month. Perplexity spent 164% of its revenue on compute costs from AWS, They literally spent more on running the AI than they made from selling it. This is not how technology is supposed to work. Google once estimated that adding AI to every search query would require 500,000 A100 servers. The cost of answering a single AI query is 10x MORE than a traditional search result. Traditional software: Serving 1 million users costs roughly the same as serving 100,000. The marginal cost is basically zero. AI: Serving 1 million users can cost 10 times what 100,000 costs. Every new user is a new expense. Every new query is a new dollar burned. This is reverse economics. The more successful you become, the faster you die. And nobody in the industry wants to talk about it because the entire narrative depends on you believing AI companies work like software companies. But they don't. They NEVER will. Software scales to infinity. AI scales to bankruptcy. HSBC ran the numbers on OpenAI specifically. Their conclusion: Even after every funding round, every investment, every deal, OpenAI still faces a $207 BILLION shortfall to reach profitability. The industry response has been to raise prices. ChatGPT went from free to $20 to $200 for the Pro plan. And it's still not enough because the cost of running these models grows FASTER than any price increase consumers will accept. Meanwhile 966 AI startups died in 2024. A 25.6% jump from the year before. AI startups burn cash twice as fast as non-AI tech companies. And the ones building on TOP of OpenAI and Anthropic are in even worse shape. Every wrapper app. Every "AI-powered" SaaS tool. Every startup whose entire product is someone else's model with a different skin on it. They're all margin-negative. Every single one. And these are the companies about to IPO. SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Cerebras. $240 billion in combined raises planned for 2026. They're asking you to invest in an industry where the fundamental unit economics don't work. Where the MORE customers you get, the MORE money you lose. Where no company has figured out how to make the math positive. The dot-com bubble had the same pitch: "Revenue is growing. Profitability comes later." For most of them, later never came. The question isn't whether AI will change the world. It will. The question is whether it can do it without going broke first. And right now, every single number literally says no. How can they become profitable?
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버뮤다사각지대
버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
한때 라이벌이었던 삼성 LG의 현 주소. 결국은 반도체. 그러니 LG는 IMF 때 반도체 사업 강제 매각당한 것이 통탄스러움
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
국힘에서 10명 이상 이탈표 나와야 가결...이후 6월 3일 지선에서 국민투표
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
의사들이 '절대' 하지 않는 수명 단축 습관
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
3000만원짜리 드론에 당한 4500억원짜리 최첨단 항공기
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
새해 첫날과 현충일은 대체 휴일 적용 안됨
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
그래프가 가파르지만, 실은 완만하게 하락하는 중
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
대한민국 속 외국인 가장 많은 지역 미국인은 경기도 평택 중국인은 경기 시흥 일본인은 서울 마포구 베트남인은 경북 경산
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
코스피 사이드카 발동 건수. 2008년 금융 위기를 제외하면 올해가 최고 수준. 그것도 이제 3월인데. 이 추이라면 2008년 넘어설 수도
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
트럼프, 호르무즈 군함 파견에 대한 각국 입장
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버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
무역법 301조를 '슈퍼 301조'라고 하는 것은 미 대통령이 직권으로 보복 조치(고관세 부과 등)를 취할 수 있게 한 초강력 통상 무기이기 때문
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버뮤다사각지대
버뮤다사각지대@digital365·
삼성전자 특허 기밀 유출 사건을 보면, 결국 사람이 문제
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