Abiodun Oladipo
12.8K posts

Abiodun Oladipo
@dipoabs
Governance & Inclusive Institutions Analyst. I am passionate about governance reforms. |Federalist




This is an elite mindset, Natasha. 100k can do so many poor people selling stuff in the market a lot of good. When they say Indians have lesser people in poverty than Nigeria, it's not because they have a large number of persons that are wealthy, it's because they have very large number of persons in micro schemes that are being empowered in this manner just to make sure these persons in the bottom rung of the ladder do not collapse totally. Truth is, this category is actually in hundreds of millions over there. You'll be shocked what these category of persons can turnover from 100k in a month and I can tell you that if every politician like Akin is doing this, Nigeria will leave the extreme poverty zone in no distant time. However, I'm proud of how mature, very sensitive and sensible you've become over time.

The geopolitical intelligence takeaway from this entire episode is that the non-retaliation demanded by Trump in this X post x.com/reuters/status… unlocked more fully than any individual answer can, the synthesised geopolitical context that rationalises the conclusion that the world has changed forever. In our analysis @proshare, we conclude that we are not observing a temporary disruption to a functioning international order that will self-correct when this conflict concludes (if and when it does). We are observing a structural demonstration that the international order, as constituted, cannot self-correct when its principal enforcer is the aggressor. The implications compound over time. Every state that observes this conflict and draws the lesson that sovereign security requires either nuclear capability or great-power patronage will behave differently in the next decade. Every state that observes the ineffectiveness of the UN, the ICC, the ICJ, and multilateral condemnation will invest less in those institutions and more in unilateral capacity. Nigeria's foreign policy, regional security partnerships, defence investment decisions, and capital market exposure to geopolitical risk all need to be calibrated against an international environment that is structurally more dangerous and institutionally less reliable than the one in which Nigeria's current strategic frameworks were developed. That is not a commentary on the rights and wrongs of the war in Iran. It is the most important directional intelligence signal that this conflict has produced for African decision-makers. It is a real mess. The particular quality of this mess is that it was not accidental. It is the predictable terminal expression of a set of structural contradictions that were present in the international system from its founding but were obscured for decades by American economic dominance, the discipline of Cold War bipolarity, and the genuine, if uneven, distribution of public goods that the US-led order provided to enough states to sustain consent. What has changed is not that the United States has become more aggressive. American foreign policy has always contained the capacity for this. What has changed is that the legitimising architecture has been progressively stripped away. The Iraq War in 2003 was the first major demonstration that the UN authorisation requirement was optional when Washington decided the stakes were high enough. Gaza from 2023 onward was the demonstration that even a plausible genocide finding from the International Court of Justice produces no enforcement consequence when the United States shields the perpetrator. The Iran operation in 2026 is the logical conclusion of that sequence. Each episode removed one more layer of restraint and demonstrated that the consequences of removal were bearable. The cumulative lesson absorbed by every government watching this sequence is not that international law does not matter. It is that international law matters precisely to the degree that the state invoking it has the power to enforce it against you. For states without that power, law is a vocabulary for condemnation, not a mechanism for protection. For Nigeria and for Africa more broadly, that lesson lands in a specific and uncomfortable place. The continent spent the post-independence decades building its foreign policy around the institutions and norms of an international order that is now demonstrably failing its own stated tests. The African Union's founding commitment to non-interference and sovereign equality, ECOWAS's security architecture, and Nigeria's own historically principled foreign policy positioning on non-alignment and multilateralism were all calibrated to an international environment that no longer fully exists. Cue the AES. The strategic implication is not that Nigeria should abandon multilateralism or adopt an aggressive unilateral posture. It is that the country's decision-makers need to think far more seriously than they currently do about building the kind of regional institutional capacity, economic sovereignty, and defence architecture that does not depend on the functioning of a global order that has just demonstrated it cannot function when it is most needed. That is a generation's worth of strategic work. And the window for beginning it, while the lesson is still vivid and before the next crisis makes it urgent rather than important, is exactly now.📌



We will be doing our children a grave disservice if we let the offspring of these wicked politicians rule over them.

The CAF Appeal Board decided that in application of Article 84 of the Regulations of the CAF Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), the Senegal National Team is declared to have forfeited the Final Match of the TotalEnergies CAF Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) Morocco 2025 (“the Match”), with the result of the Match being recorded as 3–0 in favour of the Fédération Royale Marocaine de Football (FRMF). cafonline.com/news/caf-appea…


I will never pity people who rose on the back of people's enterprise and then defame them for it. Papa Ajasco had always been the IP of WAP way before he appeared on TV. He could have started a skit series, his own show, or 300 other things, but no, he chose to blame his employer who paid him for work done & signed a willing contract. Many of his generation have pivoted or even relocated. This is a terrible entitlement mentality that should be condemned.

Would like to read a study on the Nigerian messianic complex: the need to crown a new messiah every three market days. VDM, Rita, now Ella.

Now that the dust has settled, some of us can now speak out. The truth of the matter is that sometimes when we say these things, some people actually think we say things for fun or something. No, we say it to help people learn, especially from experience. I have noticed too much noise and aggression on here, wailing about the Lagos State Commissioner for Information. I personally believe that it is the APC supporters who actually make some of these people popular, because how will someone who said there are not enough buses and who is now calling the attention of the State Government to this suddenly become a point of vociferous defence of the Government? I have said it on many occasions, these people who you defend no really send una. If you don't have a personal relationship with some of them, all these defences sometimes are not necessary. They will throw you under the bus. This is why I keep saying that as a people, even if you want to support someone, be bold enough to tell them where there are gaps, and if you cannot, do not gag those who speak the truth to power. Take it as feedback, where necessary. Now, the Lagos State Commissioner of Information has disowned all you defenders and said they never asked you to do all those things you did. You're now angry. But this isn't the first time something like this has happened. A whole lot of times. These people have always told you via their actions and inactions say dem no really send una yet you all keep doing the same thing. That was how you people ran a campaign against the SA on Tourism, calling for his sack. How far? The guy is still doing his job, nobody sacked him. The same way y'all screamed about that NYSC lady everywhere, you even made her quite popular. How far? She's enjoying and living her life. Let me reiterate my point, it is not everything you APC boys and girls need to jump on at first instance, and want to criminalize every action you don't agree with, especially when they raise genuine societal issues. At the end of the day, you are pawns. I hope you realize in time. Some of us have made the same mistakes, we speak from experience. You'll be shocked that those who either criticize or abuse the Government more are enjoying access and perks more than those of you sleeping and waking online doing defensive work no one sent you to do. Be human, address issues from a point of empathy and reason. Like I told some friends, if you say you are angry that BRT buses got burnt, no problem. Acknowledged the sufferings being presently faced and reference where we were coming from regarding the destruction of BRT buses, and remind citizens that it is our resources that are used for this purchase and won't be good destroying them while imploring Government to get more buses. When you give a balanced perspective, people will react more reasonably to you because you've shown valid concern. But no, every time you denigrate and insult and input bigotry into the conversation. Those at the top don't do bigotry when they do business or share money or loot our common patrimony. I just want to speak sense today. Use your head. Even the people who will form the next Government will still not send you. Have you seen Sanwo Olu? Don't you see the way he enjoys himself? Don't you look at the people he mingles with? How many times have they granted audience to you people who spend day and night defending them? If anything happens to you today, ask yourself, who will come through for you? Who will speak up for you? Always remember you are human first before your political party or learnings.

This is pathetic

Egbon, you stand for absolutely nothing and you are just as dangerous as any other terrorist. You in fact seem to benefit from the dysfunction. After all, of what relevance would you be in a sane society. Like I said, you stand for absolutely nothing. Just radicalism and noise. Shame!!!


Fuel price hike: We incur cost from 47 government agencies, says Dangote Refinery David Bird, managing director (MD) of the Dangote Refinery, says the refinery incurs costs from 47 government agencies, adding some form of fees to the final pump price of petrol in the country. Speaking during the a press conference in Lagos on Monday, Bird said the Federal Government of Nigeria still treats the refinery as the customer of last resort, suggesting that the best crude oil grades are sold to interantional buyers. thecable.ng/fuel-price-hik…

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My son is in primary 2 and his school fees in a year is over 2million naira. People want quality education but don’t want to pay the commensurate value for it.

Them: how do you expect quality education when teachers are poorly paid. Me: I agree. Teachers can’t give quality education if they are paid poorly. Me: if you want teachers to be paid well and to get quality education, you have to pay good money for school fees, except government subsidises it. Them: I don’t agree. You can get good and quality education without paying high fees. Some of you walk around out confused thinkings


