Abiodun Oladipo

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Abiodun Oladipo

Abiodun Oladipo

@dipoabs

Governance & Inclusive Institutions Analyst. I am passionate about governance reforms. |Federalist

Nigeria Katılım Şubat 2012
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Abiodun Oladipo
Abiodun Oladipo@dipoabs·
"The Awolowo-led elite approach power as an instrument to reduce, if not end, inequality, rather than as an instrument used by the elite to maintain inequality. This is why the motto of the Action Group was 'Freedom for all, life more abundant'."--Prof. Wale Adebanwi
Abiodun Oladipo tweet media
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Abiodun Oladipo
Abiodun Oladipo@dipoabs·
@AyoBankole You really don't know Obj. Whatever he does, it's for self-interest. His daughter, Iyabo Obasanjo, is contesting for governorship under APC. His hide ans seek relationship with Atiku and El-Rufai should tell you the kind of person Obj is.
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Ayò-Bánkólé Akíntújoyè
OBJ having to wear the PBAT Adire and praise PBAT and his mentee governor yesterday is a personal win for BAT sha. On all fronts. I can imagine what moment of victory and laughter must be going through BAT's head. OBJ showed him SHEGE as president and did everything to make BAT fail, both as governor and even as presidential candidate. And every single time, he defeated OBJ like a cat with nine lives. This one is a lesson in history everyone should never forget, irrespective of your political leanings. Even for BAT himself. Lesson of resilience. And that tables turn. No condition is permanent and you no be God.
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Abiodun Oladipo
Abiodun Oladipo@dipoabs·
This is a masterpiece! But the question is, can the situation be redeemed or we should negotiate a new system.
Gimba Kakanda@gimbakakanda

Why Couldn’t Nigeria Build What Iran Built Under Sanctions? Aside from the obvious fact that Iran is not just an old country but one of the world’s oldest continuous civilisational states, with a deep cultural memory and a durable sense of historical self, the real difference may be simpler: when pressure comes, Iran can still fall back on an idea of itself as a nation, while Nigeria too often falls back on its fragments. Iran itself is ethnically diverse, but it has preserved a rich political and cultural continuity stretching back to the Achaemenian period, and modern sanctions against it have been layered on for decades, from the post-1979 rupture with the United States to the far tighter multilateral restrictions of the nuclear era. Nigeria, by contrast, has still not fully agreed to be a nation in the emotional sense. What we have often done instead is elevate a hierarchy of competing loyalties: place of origin, ethnic group, faith, and only then the republic. We magnify these attachments when convenient and weaponise them when useful. Even the language of national belonging is frequently conditional, activated less by shared civic purpose than by the proximity of one’s own section of the country to power. A few years ago, I was in London with friends from different Nigerian ethnic backgrounds when the subject of patriotism came up. A British friend asked what Nigeria meant to us, and the answers around the table were tellingly different. I told him then that loyalty to the Nigerian state is, for many people, rarely a first instinct. For many, it comes after loyalty to community, religion, or ethnicity. That may sound harsh, but it is not wholly detached from what survey evidence has found: Nigerians often express tolerance for diversity and many say there is more that unites them than divides them, yet experiences of ethnic discrimination weaken national belonging, and groups that feel excluded from central power are more likely to prioritise ethnic identity over national identity. True to that sentiment, the most vocal patriot at that table that day happened to share an ethnic, religious, and regional affinity with the president of the day. So we teased him that his nationalism was animated by the feeling that the Nigerian state had become legible to him through the man in charge. He was patriotic, yes, but in the way many of us are patriotic: when the centre feels familiar, when power sounds like our language, prays like us, or comes from our own corner of the map. We singled out another friend at the table as almost constitutionally incapable of that kind of patriotism, not because he was deficient in civic sense, but because he came from a bloc whose relationship with the Nigerian centre had long been defined by frustration, ambition, and failed bids for national power. For such a person, national identity can feel less like a common inheritance than a waiting room for other people’s victories. That, too, is part of our problem: too many of us experience Nigeria not as a shared home, but as an arena in which our “public” must capture the state before the state becomes ours. That is why sanctions do not produce the same political psychology everywhere. In countries with a strong civic core, external pressure can trigger a rally-round-the-flag effect, however temporary. This is because the people recognise the flag as theirs. In a country where national identity is thin, pressure does not necessarily produce cohesion; it can intensify competition among internal factions, each of them calculating survival and advantage through narrower loyalties. 1/2

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Abiodun Oladipo
Abiodun Oladipo@dipoabs·
It's so bad for the UN that no major news media has reported anything from them in respect of the war. Where is the voice of Antonio Gutteres in this pandemonium the world has been thrown into?
Olufemi AWOYEMI@OlufemiAwoyemi

The geopolitical intelligence takeaway from this entire episode is that the non-retaliation demanded by Trump in this X post x.com/reuters/status… unlocked more fully than any individual answer can, the synthesised geopolitical context that rationalises the conclusion that the world has changed forever. In our analysis @proshare, we conclude that we are not observing a temporary disruption to a functioning international order that will self-correct when this conflict concludes (if and when it does). We are observing a structural demonstration that the international order, as constituted, cannot self-correct when its principal enforcer is the aggressor. The implications compound over time. Every state that observes this conflict and draws the lesson that sovereign security requires either nuclear capability or great-power patronage will behave differently in the next decade. Every state that observes the ineffectiveness of the UN, the ICC, the ICJ, and multilateral condemnation will invest less in those institutions and more in unilateral capacity. Nigeria's foreign policy, regional security partnerships, defence investment decisions, and capital market exposure to geopolitical risk all need to be calibrated against an international environment that is structurally more dangerous and institutionally less reliable than the one in which Nigeria's current strategic frameworks were developed. That is not a commentary on the rights and wrongs of the war in Iran. It is the most important directional intelligence signal that this conflict has produced for African decision-makers. It is a real mess. The particular quality of this mess is that it was not accidental. It is the predictable terminal expression of a set of structural contradictions that were present in the international system from its founding but were obscured for decades by American economic dominance, the discipline of Cold War bipolarity, and the genuine, if uneven, distribution of public goods that the US-led order provided to enough states to sustain consent. What has changed is not that the United States has become more aggressive. American foreign policy has always contained the capacity for this. What has changed is that the legitimising architecture has been progressively stripped away. The Iraq War in 2003 was the first major demonstration that the UN authorisation requirement was optional when Washington decided the stakes were high enough. Gaza from 2023 onward was the demonstration that even a plausible genocide finding from the International Court of Justice produces no enforcement consequence when the United States shields the perpetrator. The Iran operation in 2026 is the logical conclusion of that sequence. Each episode removed one more layer of restraint and demonstrated that the consequences of removal were bearable. The cumulative lesson absorbed by every government watching this sequence is not that international law does not matter. It is that international law matters precisely to the degree that the state invoking it has the power to enforce it against you. For states without that power, law is a vocabulary for condemnation, not a mechanism for protection. For Nigeria and for Africa more broadly, that lesson lands in a specific and uncomfortable place. The continent spent the post-independence decades building its foreign policy around the institutions and norms of an international order that is now demonstrably failing its own stated tests. The African Union's founding commitment to non-interference and sovereign equality, ECOWAS's security architecture, and Nigeria's own historically principled foreign policy positioning on non-alignment and multilateralism were all calibrated to an international environment that no longer fully exists. Cue the AES. The strategic implication is not that Nigeria should abandon multilateralism or adopt an aggressive unilateral posture. It is that the country's decision-makers need to think far more seriously than they currently do about building the kind of regional institutional capacity, economic sovereignty, and defence architecture that does not depend on the functioning of a global order that has just demonstrated it cannot function when it is most needed. That is a generation's worth of strategic work. And the window for beginning it, while the lesson is still vivid and before the next crisis makes it urgent rather than important, is exactly now.📌

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Abiodun Oladipo
Abiodun Oladipo@dipoabs·
@samuel_6369 @Anlugbua_Ibadan Because they length how to be ruthless from their masters while the children may have been refined based on their education and exposure to global good practices.
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ibadan mesi ogo ☂️
ibadan mesi ogo ☂️@samuel_6369·
@Anlugbua_Ibadan Hmmmmm Why do you say this anlugbua Upbringing or what Past examples have shown that the children of our leaders are not quite different from there parent
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ANLUGBUA
ANLUGBUA@Anlugbua_Ibadan·
You are worried about the wrong ones. I feel the children will do better than the indoctrinated young folks who are stooges and proteges supporting these politicians. Don’t be scared of ST, Wike’s children. You see that Gbenga, Femi, Chidi, Bashir, Hakeem and Mbong who are around them waiting to be given a chance for serving ehn! Lol! Those Seguns and Ahmads they will slaughter your children!
Jesse Jagz Abaga@Jessejagz

We will be doing our children a grave disservice if we let the offspring of these wicked politicians rule over them.

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Ayò-Bánkólé Akíntújoyè
This tweet again reminds me of Kunle Afolayan's unfortunate comments about Funke Akindele. Another entitled and self absorbed public statement that should never have been made. It is entitlement mentality to believe that a good movie production returns has to be yours 100% for it to make sense, or that those grossing 2bn are doing anything strange or undercutting themselves simply because they chose to collaborate. It's a small bucket mentality rather than a big market mindset. We need big production collaborations funded by main distribution and production chains like Filmhouse Group to collaborate with solid stare like Funke for us to do big numbers. It's also silly entitlement to have an opinion on anyone's style of marketing, just because they're not in line with yours or because their numbers are bigger than yours. Collaboration often means you get less share or don't own IP 100%. But it enables bigger spending and reach, bigger income and bigger share of wallet. People like him should be talking to Funke and other producers about how to grow the market to 10bn movie grosses, so even a 5% share will be 500m, not to be boasting and talking down on those grossing billions, just to push a continuous fragmented market with your 250m numbers.
Ayò-Bánkólé Akíntújoyè@AyoBankole

I will never pity people who rose on the back of people's enterprise and then defame them for it. Papa Ajasco had always been the IP of WAP way before he appeared on TV. He could have started a skit series, his own show, or 300 other things, but no, he chose to blame his employer who paid him for work done & signed a willing contract. Many of his generation have pivoted or even relocated. This is a terrible entitlement mentality that should be condemned.

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ANLUGBUA
ANLUGBUA@Anlugbua_Ibadan·
It’s just internet bro. A place where people that don’t really matter in life posture like they are all part of what they aren’t. The personas of these people is all a facade. It is interesting when you read from someone who is struggling in real life, a person of no substance speak like a stakeholder that can impact something 😄. But it is what it is. The creation of Social media is like the effect of a rainfall, it sends the pigeon in with the rooster.
Emma ik Umeh (Tcee )🇳🇬@emmaikumeh

Now that the dust has settled, some of us can now speak out. The truth of the matter is that sometimes when we say these things, some people actually think we say things for fun or something. No, we say it to help people learn, especially from experience. I have noticed too much noise and aggression on here, wailing about the Lagos State Commissioner for Information. I personally believe that it is the APC supporters who actually make some of these people popular, because how will someone who said there are not enough buses and who is now calling the attention of the State Government to this suddenly become a point of vociferous defence of the Government? I have said it on many occasions, these people who you defend no really send una. If you don't have a personal relationship with some of them, all these defences sometimes are not necessary. They will throw you under the bus. This is why I keep saying that as a people, even if you want to support someone, be bold enough to tell them where there are gaps, and if you cannot, do not gag those who speak the truth to power. Take it as feedback, where necessary. Now, the Lagos State Commissioner of Information has disowned all you defenders and said they never asked you to do all those things you did. You're now angry. But this isn't the first time something like this has happened. A whole lot of times. These people have always told you via their actions and inactions say dem no really send una yet you all keep doing the same thing. That was how you people ran a campaign against the SA on Tourism, calling for his sack. How far? The guy is still doing his job, nobody sacked him. The same way y'all screamed about that NYSC lady everywhere, you even made her quite popular. How far? She's enjoying and living her life. Let me reiterate my point, it is not everything you APC boys and girls need to jump on at first instance, and want to criminalize every action you don't agree with, especially when they raise genuine societal issues. At the end of the day, you are pawns. I hope you realize in time. Some of us have made the same mistakes, we speak from experience. You'll be shocked that those who either criticize or abuse the Government more are enjoying access and perks more than those of you sleeping and waking online doing defensive work no one sent you to do. Be human, address issues from a point of empathy and reason. Like I told some friends, if you say you are angry that BRT buses got burnt, no problem. Acknowledged the sufferings being presently faced and reference where we were coming from regarding the destruction of BRT buses, and remind citizens that it is our resources that are used for this purchase and won't be good destroying them while imploring Government to get more buses. When you give a balanced perspective, people will react more reasonably to you because you've shown valid concern. But no, every time you denigrate and insult and input bigotry into the conversation. Those at the top don't do bigotry when they do business or share money or loot our common patrimony. I just want to speak sense today. Use your head. Even the people who will form the next Government will still not send you. Have you seen Sanwo Olu? Don't you see the way he enjoys himself? Don't you look at the people he mingles with? How many times have they granted audience to you people who spend day and night defending them? If anything happens to you today, ask yourself, who will come through for you? Who will speak up for you? Always remember you are human first before your political party or learnings.

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Abiodun Oladipo
Abiodun Oladipo@dipoabs·
There is nothing in life that will make me speak against anybody making demand on their government even if the administration is headed by my father. We shouldn't be constraining citizens' right to demand services from their government in the name of supporting an administration.
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Abiodun Oladipo
Abiodun Oladipo@dipoabs·
Yes, you can be excused if you change your ideological disposition but if your talking point was the character of your opponent, your integrity will be questioned if you change camp.
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