Dkumar Sinha

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Dkumar Sinha

Dkumar Sinha

@dkumar_sinha

Follow HG ARV & Relative value Investing Style || D-RVG style || Not a GAAP/Momentum/Value Investor || DYOR before investing.

PUNE Katılım Ocak 2024
354 Takip Edilen60 Takipçiler
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#YATHARTH Time to trim YTHARTH HOSPITAL: 1) If short term prices reaches to 840/885/898 and/or 2) weekly RSI reaches to 70-75.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#YATHARTH 03.05.2026 CMP: 820 FY27 RV value: 1.1 [ Assuming 31.2x FY27E P/E for YATHARTH]. Fair value lands near ₹891. FY27 PEG =0.75
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#YATHARTH Time to trim YTHARTH HOSPITAL: 1) If short term prices reaches to 840/885/898 and/or 2) weekly RSI reaches to 70-75.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
Dt. 2nd Feb 2026  updated  RV (Relative Value) #1. SkyGold: 1.45 #2. V2Retail: 1.4 #3. Capri Global: 1.4 #4. PNGIL: 1.4 #5. IndiaShelter: 1.35 #6. Manorma industry: 1.35 #7.Kalyan jewellers,  Yatharth, SBFC, BlackBuck: 1.3 #11. Jeena Sikho: 1.25. #12. VintageCoffee, Timex: 1.2
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#EIEL 01.05.2026 Water & wastewater: ~₹1,170 crore ₹411 crore Aurangabad (Bihar) 20 MLD STP under AMRUT‑2.0. ~₹972 crore water‑infrastructure projects in Pune & Nashik under SBM‑U 2.0.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#EIEL 01.05.2026 EIEL own Gujarat water/wastewater order worth ₹113.51 crore (ex‑GST), with 24‑month EPC and 10‑year O&M, as per LoA dated 29 April 2026, disclosed on 1 May 2026. Total wastewater order book: 2553 + 173 = 2726 CR Contd...
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#BESS Order by NTPC in March, 2026 1) Pace Digitek (PACEDIGITK) – ~₹494.54 crore NTPC BESS EPC (Nabinagar). 2) Enviro Infra Engineers (EIEL) – ₹664.33 crore NTPC BESS EPC (Kudgi & Ramagundam). 3) GR Infraprojects (GRINFRA) – ₹413.37 crore NTPC BESS EPC (Mouda). Contd...
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#EIEL 01.05.2026 EIEL’s O&M order book is >₹1,100 crore, mainly from 5‑year O&M on STPs, sewerage, TTPs, and CETPs won under municipal and urban‑development schemes. EIEL’s BESS order book is ₹1,070 crore (~$130 million) for four NTPC‑awarded BESS projects with930 MWh total
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
Enviro Infra Engineers (EIEL) Guidance: Management guides revenue of ₹1,800–2,000 crore by FY27E and ₹2,500–2,800 crore by FY28E, with Energy/BESS as the key growth driver. Contd...
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#SJLogistics #SME 28.04.2026 CMP: 329 RV value: 1.76 --> Undervalued. Looking good and preparing for 348/365 in short term. DONT SELL EARLY...
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#1: SJ Logistics PE: 6.5 PB: 1.6 1y F PEG: 0.25 RV value: 2 ROE: 31.9%, ROCE: 36.6% (strong profitability). I follow HG ARP (High Growth At Reasonable Price) and RV (Relative Value) investing style.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
Dropping my top SME picks (where I'm loaded up!) by this weekend (Mar 29). Massive potential ahead—don't sleep on these! 🚀💥
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#Rappid valves 24.04.2026 Trimmed my position in Rappid valves today to make some Dry powder. Will add if it comes back to the 250 sub level again.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#5: Rappid valves PE: 21.2 PB: 2.87 1y F PEG: ~0.85–0.95, RV value: 1.16 ROE ~80%, ROCE ≈ 38% (Strong profitability). I follow HG ARP (High Growth At Reasonable Price) and RV (Relative Value) investing style.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#Shailly 24.04.2026 Trimmed my half of the position in Shally Today. long term view still bullish.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#SHAILY #GLP 17.04.2026 FY27 PEG: #SHAILY shows a PEG ratio 0.6 FY27 RV = 1.57 (CMP~1900) RV value: ₹3,000-3,200, using 45x P/E on ₹70-75 EPS. This offers 50-55% upside from ₹1900, premium to peers (25-35x) due to 30%+ CAGR, ROE >25%, and healthcare orders.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#Alpex solar 17.04.2026 Alpex Solar FY27 RV: ₹1,450-1,600/share (vs CMP ₹1,029).
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#ALPEX Solar 17.04.3026 CMP: 1029 PE: 14.2 Key Projections: Rev.: ₹3K Cr (mgmt target; 100% CAGR FY25-27 from ₹1,841 Cr order book) PAT: ₹300-350 Cr (18-25% margins) EPS: ₹13 1YF P/E = ₹1,029 ÷ ₹13 ≈ 8x (deep discount to peers' 25-40x). 1YF PEG =0.3 RV Value: 1.4
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#ALPEX Solar Order book as of 17.04.2026 Latest Order: ₹40.92 crore from MSEDCL for solar water pumps (April 17, 2026). Prior Order Book: ~₹1,800 crore as of January 2026. Estimated Total: ~₹1,841 crore (adding recent order; assumes minimal net change since Jan)
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#EFCIL 17.04.2026 Added more in EFCIL. Short term Risk : Reward :: 30pt. : 40-50pt.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
Part 2:: Danis Pauls' RV (Relative Value) #1. SBFC: 1.28. #2. EFCIL: 1.27.  #3. Capri Global: 1.21. #4. Yatharth: 1.19.  #5. Timex: 1.18.  #6. IndiaShelter: 1.17. #7. PNGIL: 1.09. All Undervalued.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#0RIANA power 17.04.2026 Trimmed one lot today. CMP : 2189 FY26 P/E = 27x FY27 earnings growth guidance = 50% 1Y FY27 P/E ≈ 18x 1‑year forward FY27 PEG: 0.4 RV=1.1 => Little Undervalued.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#4: Oriana Power PE: 21 PB: 6.6 1y F PEG: 0.11 RV value: 1.2 ROE ≈ 48%, ROCE ≈ 43% (Strong profitability). I follow HG ARP (High Growth At Reasonable Price) and RV (Relative Value) investing style.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#SJLogistics #SME 16.04.2026 Trimmed one lot today to make some dry powder. CMP: 328 RV value: 1.76 --> Undervalued. Next short term Target 365/400. DONT SELL EARLY...loads of STEAM still left !!!
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#GRINFRA Key risks:: ✓Execution slippage. ✓HighInput‑cost inflation(steel, bitumen,Fuel) ✓Margin compression from aggressive, low‑return bidding. ✓Lumpy order‑book conversion vs FY calendar; working‑capital strain ✓Slower asset monetization and regulatory/financing headwind
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#GRINFRA #BESS #EPC 15.04.2026 Business model: GR Infra's core segments: 1). EPC: Roads, rails, power (~93% revenue). 2). BOT/HAM: Toll/annuity roads. 3). Manufacturing: Bitumen, paints, barriers (6.63%, ₹520 Cr FY25). 4). Emerging: Logistics, ropeways. Business.
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#GRINFRA Financial Modelling:: FY26 PE: 7.7 If expected EPS growth = 20% FY27 PE = 6.7x FY27 PEG = 0.33 If expected EPS growth = 25% FY27 PE = 6.4x FY27 PEG = 0.25 RV value: 1.4 --> Undervalued
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Dkumar Sinha
Dkumar Sinha@dkumar_sinha·
#GRINFRA #BESS FY27 Targets Order Inflow: ~₹20,000 Cr (down from earlier ₹30,000 Cr external talk). RevGrowth:10–15%YoY(off FY26 base); EBITDA margins 10–12% BESS order (₹488 Cr,jan26) executn is slated for FY27,with commisng targeted by Q3FY27 via EPC mode at Mouda STPS
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