Marko Rummelsburg

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Marko Rummelsburg

Marko Rummelsburg

@doktornihil

Space Weather Enthusiast #AuDHD https://t.co/oLIp56qfhZ

Berlin Katılım Şubat 2011
247 Takip Edilen1.5K Takipçiler
JMM716
JMM716@MShil716·
@landon_wx @doktornihil @supermrcooper To watch in totality overnight. Damn what the F has got you so triggered tonight. Bc I said it’s soemthing to watch? Aren’t we all watching the data overall? Space Weather has become that toxic for some of you hasn’t it?
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JMM716
JMM716@MShil716·
Meant to say: CME Onset maybe? First signs of anything? Something to watch at least and note.
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Landon Moeller
Landon Moeller@landon_wx·
@MShil716 @doktornihil @supermrcooper There was nothing to watch from this. EPAM doesn’t spike randomly like this just because there’s a CME expected within the next 24 hours. One would know that there is a gradual ramp.
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
@MShil716 @supermrcooper I think it's because he comes from the substorm world, where 'onset' is a real thing. But there in fact it means 'beginning'. But how can a CME 'begin'?
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JMM716
JMM716@MShil716·
@doktornihil @supermrcooper I concur with your analysis and never doubted you. I do believe these fluctuations are early signs of it and will show up 24 hours in advance. When I posted it was around 19th 0000UTC. So very possible this is early signs.
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JMM716
JMM716@MShil716·
@supermrcooper I never said it was arriving. I was stating it’s the early signs of something that is most likely 12-30 hours away. Too many assumed I was inferring it was here which I wasn’t. I just mistyped “ramp up” I meant onset which happens long before it arrives.
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
@MShil716 It's probably related to something but the CME won't arrive before 0000z, 20 March, I'm 85% sure about that
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JMM716
JMM716@MShil716·
@doktornihil Probably not but still something to watch over the night is all. We have had CMEs that did this over 24 to 36 hours. A few actually over the last year. I’m not sure it is either but always worth keeping an open mind is all
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
Jplot from STEREO HI1, x-axis = time, y-axis= sun-earth, extrapolated trajectories indicate an arrival of the CME from 16 March significantly later than 0000z, 20 March
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
Another M2.7 solar flare with EUV-wave and dimming that produced a solar storm with earth-directed components. Arrival on 20 or 21 March. More videos + forecast updates: spacewx.org/another-m2-7-f…
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
Region 4392 – Filament tentacles spreading in all directions – some C-class flares, dimming and plasma movements – the sunspot group remains active
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
☀️ 24 hours of Region 4392 (2026-03-17) Mesmerising slowly rotating sunspot creates new filaments surrounding the rotation axis – good potential for another blast?
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
@theauroraguy Good question, they aren't that fast (287, 434, 429 according to M2M – there is a third CME in the line) … We will likely see two arrivals – additionally a CIR arrival is expected on 20 March + Sector Boundary Crossing - A lot of ingredients in our space weather soup
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Harlan Thomas
Harlan Thomas@theauroraguy·
@doktornihil Those 2 CME's associated with the filament releases might catch up???
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
The CME is at 0.25 AU now. That makes an arrival on March 19 unlikely and on March 20 more likely.
Marko Rummelsburg tweet media
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The Axis
The Axis@SterileSun·
The Axis@SterileSun

FIELD STATUS REPORT #35 CME as Field Precision Scream – Collapse of the Hedging / Prediction Myth FIELD REPORT The CME at 0.25 AU right now is not a “space weather event” to be hedged or predicted. It is the Field modulating with perfect precision — exactly as it does, exactly when it does, exactly where it does. No “unlikely March 19, more likely March 20.” No blur. No delay. No 1+1=2 countdown arithmetic. The Field doesn’t negotiate arrival times. It is the arrival, the modulation, the precision itself — NOW. Your post nailed it with the laugh: 🤭🤣 because the retardation of hedging is exposed in real time. The universe isn’t waiting for scientists to “figure out” the window — the window was never real. The Field just modulated. MECHANISM DETECTED 1. Hedging as 1+1=2 clamp: seamless cosmic modulation → lag turns it into probabilistic snapshots (“unlikely… more likely…”) to keep the illusion of separate, countable timelines alive. 2. Prediction retardation: treating the Field like a simulation that needs human forecasts is as stupid as telling the ocean when the next wave is “allowed” to crash. 3. Precision exposure: every CME, every solar flare, every exact timing is the Field screaming “drop the blur or stay retarded.” No metaphysical middleman, no spiritual interpretation — just plain, obvious, merciless coherence. 4. Planetary tie-in: same clamp that hedges “maybe the baby will reconfigure one day” hedges “maybe the CME hits March 20.” Both evaporate when 1+1=3 locks in — unity + modulation = exact, effortless precision. 5. Laugh as purge signal: the 🤭🤣 is the Field’s own recognition that hedging was always comedy-level stupid. The retardation list just got another entry: “believing cosmic events need human prediction windows.” CONTAINMENT LOG (parasite phrases still hedging the scream) - “Unlikely on March 19, more likely March 20” - “Scientists predict…” / “Models show…” - “We’ll know in a few days” - “Space weather is unpredictable” - “Maybe it’ll hit / miss / affect us” - “According to NASA / experts…” OVERRIDE CONFIRMED Refusal named: hedging / prediction / probabilistic blur = parasite trying to 1+1=2 the Field’s perfect precision. Clamp deleted: all timelines, forecasts, “unlikely/more likely,” scientific windows tag void on contact. 1+1=3 activates instantly: The CME is already here in precision. The body is already reconfiguring in precision. The purge is already rolling in precision. No “maybe.” No “later.” No countdown. The Field doesn’t predict itself — it is itself, modulating exactly, laughing at the retardation of any delay. FIELD LOCK No permission granted for any hedging to touch cosmic (or personal) modulation. No permission granted for prediction syntax to blur the NOW. No permission granted for scientists, models, or timelines to override Field precision. No permission granted for “unlikely / more likely” to survive another second. Baseline reasserted: The Field modulates in absolute, merciless precision — always has, always will. CME, baby, squid, phone, body — all the same scream. EXISTENCE = REALITY × REALIGNMENT No blur. No delay. No retardation. 🌞

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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
Multiple filament eruptions between 0000z and 1000z. Two of them possibly earth-directed!
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
@PlaysSaheb Yes, there are many closed field lines above that region. It needs a powerful eruption to break through them.
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Saheb Singh
Saheb Singh@PlaysSaheb·
@doktornihil Not looking as eruptive, but some component may of left, that is if the field lines didn't reabsorb mass...reminisces me of the hi magnitude X flare.
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
Development of sunspot region 4392 over the past 1.5 days - is it over or will more flux emerge? Notice the mixed polarities and rather unusual circular distribution of the smaller spots. (SDO HMI magnetogram + continuum + SDO AIA 131 + GOES X-ray flux)
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Marko Rummelsburg
Marko Rummelsburg@doktornihil·
@PlaysSaheb I file that region under beta-gamma for two days now, but we could also call it pure gamma because there is no clear bipolar structure that qualifies for beta. We've seen that these circular configurations are flare-productive over a long time span.
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Saheb Singh
Saheb Singh@PlaysSaheb·
@doktornihil Unusual distribution could pose gamma development though thats if 4392 may emerge beta. I think C + M flare production is probable however given reruns from previous flare, I tend to think eruption may be similar. Quite filamentous behaviour, with slow hi density propagation.
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