Milk Road AI@MilkRoadAI
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A 24 year old who got fired from OpenAI just turned 225 million dollars into 5.5 billion dollars in under twelve months by betting on something the entire Wall Street AI trade completely missed.
Leopold Aschenbrenner ran safety research at OpenAI until the company let him go.
He then wrote a 165 page essay arguing that AGI was arriving faster than any investor understood, and that the people who would win were not the ones who owned the best AI model.
They were the ones who owned the electricity.
That thesis became a hedge fund called Situational Awareness LP, and his Q4 2025 SEC filing reveals one of the most concentrated bets in modern financial history.
His largest single position is an 875 million dollar stake in Bloom Energy, a fuel cell company that generates power directly at the data center site, bypassing the power grid entirely.
One of our analysts at Milk Road called this exact play two months ago, took a massive position in Bloom Energy, and it is already up over 40 percent.
After Bloom announced a 2.8 gigawatt fuel cell deal with Oracle this week, the stock surged 15 percent in a single after-hours session and that 875 million dollar position is now worth close to 2 billion dollars.
His other major positions follow the same electricity-first logic, 700 million dollars in CoreWeave, a massive short on Infosys betting that AI coding agents destroy the outsourced IT business, Intel call options printing multiples on a 53 percent run
And a 10 percent stake in Core Scientific, a Bitcoin miner converting its power infrastructure into AI data center hosting.
The entire Wall Street AI trade was piled into model companies and chip companies.
Aschenbrenner looked at the same thesis and concluded the real bottleneck was whether the power grid could deliver enough electricity to run the models.
He was right, and the returns are public record.
Our analysts are finding the next plays before they make headlines.
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