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efnbsbun

@efnbsbun

lwop Katılım Kasım 2011
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David Krueger 🦥 ⏸️ ⏹️ ⏪
"The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue [...] and Fable goes back into general release." My hope is that the Admin (and the rest of the world) learn what deep learning researchers have known for a decade: AI is broken and we don't know how to fix it.
David Sacks@DavidSacks

I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true: — As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable. — Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.) — A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused. — In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.” — In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety. — In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community. — The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority. — Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.

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efnbsbun retweetledi
David Krueger 🦥 ⏸️ ⏹️ ⏪
No, the lesson is not: "try to fix government before the singularity" instead of: "try to fix AI before the singularity" The lesson is: For the love of God, stop the singularity so we have some time to figure shit out! Stop AI. Now. Everywhere. Or risk losing everything.
Nathan Calvin@_NathanCalvin

Some quick takes: (1) Wow things are getting real. (2) The government's order focusing on prohibiting transfer to foreign nationals (even e.g. those living in the US, our close allies who help evaluate model safety in the UK, individuals who work at frontier labs like Anthropic) seems remarkably destructive, though is partially a result of the government using older legal authorities that were not designed for this kind of technology. (3) If you believe (as I do) that AI has profound ramifications for national security, then assuming the government will sit back and do nothing and tolerate explanations like "well jailbreaking is a hard technical problem" for cyber capabilities that used to be the crown jewels of the NSA, is not tenable. If this is how the government reacts to the current level of system capabilities in 2026, how do you expect them to react to whatever is possible in 2028? However, it is extremely important that the authorities that the government uses are legible, transparent, have opportunities for appeal, and are narrowly targeted. Those legal authorities do not currently exist, and in their absence, the government will reach for metaphorical sledgehammers instead of scalpels. (4) For that reason, it's extremely important that we create regulatory structures that are transparent and give recourse in the event that the government is overstepping or acting in an arbitrary manner. The alternative to passing such laws is not no regulation, it is regulation left primarily to national security authorities that are increasingly and evidently not fit for purpose.

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Starlink
Starlink@Starlink·
Obtenga una conexión a internet rápida y estable para streaming, videollamadas, juegos en línea y más. Haga su pedido en línea en minutos.
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Dan Niles
Dan Niles@DanielTNiles·
Congratulations to @ElonMusk on becoming the world's first trillionaire! A reminder that no matter where you started, immigrant or not, America is truly the country that with hard work, brilliance and some luck, your dreams can come true. Last wk, oil dropped 6% to $85 with 2 yr bond yields down 7 bps. Clearly there is optimism on a deal with Iran finally being reached after dozens of posts since the war began saying a deal is close. As I have said for a long-time, upcoming mid-terms combined with horrible polling numbers is a powerful motivator for the US administration to extricate us from this war. This drove S&P/Nasdaq +0.6%/0.7% last week. Also the market did go up 0.3% on Friday, absorbing the $75B in IPO supply from the $SPCX IPO which was encouraging. The Russell confirmed this weekend that SpaceX, which rose 19% from its IPO price on Friday, will be added to their indexes on June 26th. This should drive nearly $3B in passive inflows with additional inflows from those that will closet index that are benchmarked to the Russell. (I posted about the SpaceX IPO in detail last week for those that want more analysis.) The MSCI indices add should occur in 10 trading days post IPO and the Nasdaq100 in 15 with the announcements of the additions coming earlier. One wrinkle is there is $13.4B based on Friday’s closing price in “green shoe” shares available to be sold by the underwriters over the next 30 days. I posted about my circumspection last Sunday (6/7) into the $AAPL analyst event on Monday given the run-up into the event and the $ORCL earnings on Wednesday given a new CFO that would probably want to set a low bar. Both were even more disappointing than I expected. For $AAPL (down 5.3% last week), only a beta version of Siri with AI will be initially available and only in English and only in the US. Having said that, I think this should be the last of the timeline disappointments which have been ongoing over the past two years. For those of us stuck in the Apple ecosystem due to sunk costs, I believe a foldable form factor (Samsung has had one since 2019!) with an AI enabled Siri (AI available since 2024 for Android users) should drive a tremendous upcycle next year. For that reason, from wherever the near-term bottom is on the stock, I believe it will outperform the S&P from there through year-end and next year. As for $ORCL (down 13.8% last week), capex of $55.7B in FY26 (May) was guided including pre-buys to $90-95B (+66%) in FY27 with $40B of capital raising expected. But revenue guidance was only reaffirmed for FY27 which was the kiss of death for the stock. Investors want to see positive ROI for the hyperscalers if spending is going up. I also believe SpaceX going public focused investors on the fact that there is now an additional player in the AI capex race. SpaceX said they will need to spend hundreds of billions of dollars to reach their goals. As Larry Page said, "I would rather go bankrupt than lose the AI race." The other four major players in the AI LLM race were all down last week ($AMZN -3.0%, $MSFT -6.2%, $GOOGL -2.4%, $META -4.4%.) The Semiconductor Index though was up 9.4% last week which is where the hyperscaler spending above which is growing over 70% in 2026 is all going. I am bullish through year-end for the same reasons I have been citing for a while: 1) S&P earnings are expected to increase 25% this year driven by the advent of Agentic AI which is more than 1996+97+98 combined during the internet buildout, 2) I believe oil prices will come down due to the US exiting the Iran war and 3) new Fed Chairman Warsh is likely to push back against calls to raise rates. Given the upcoming Fed meeting this week which will be Warsh’s first as Chairman, this opinion will be put to the test. All the best in the week ahead.
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efnbsbun retweetledi
António Guterres
António Guterres@antonioguterres·
I strongly condemn today's Israeli strikes on Beirut. The strikes took place despite the ceasefire & at a time when the US & Iran are expected to reach an agreement that will pave the way to a peaceful resolution of this conflict. This conflict is having a devastating impact on the world's economy. I urge all parties to show maximum restraint at this crucial moment & I strongly hope for a successful outcome of the ongoing efforts by the US & Iran.
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Gérard Araud
Gérard Araud@GerardAraud·
Ne refaisons pas la même erreur de Louis XV qui n’a pas compris que l’avenir de la France se jouait en Inde et sur les mers et non dans les plaines d’Allemagne. Le nôtre se décidera dans l’espace et le cyber espace, dans l’air et sur mer et pas dans les plaines de l’est.
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Hank Green
Hank Green@hankgreen·
It’s funny, motocross at the White House is, like, fine with me. But here’s an example of something that is genuinely unforgivable but that a lot of people seem to have moved right past.
Hank Green tweet mediaHank Green tweet mediaHank Green tweet media
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Kevin Butterhof
Kevin Butterhof@KevinButterhof·
@hankgreen Dude, if hundreds of thousands of people died because of USAID cuts there would be actual reporting on the deaths. Some estimate isn’t convincing. Where’s the actual reporting?
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fart butt jr
fart butt jr@fartbuttjr·
@hankgreen Biden spent billions on DEI programs instead of saving starving African children. And you guys cheered it on. Disgusting hypocrisy but not surprising.
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Captain Chaos550
Captain Chaos550@CaptainChaos550·
@hankgreen Because it’s just made up nonsense. I can write a paper that says USAID caused a billion deaths.
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LegacyMediaFail
LegacyMediaFail@LegacyMediaFail·
@hankgreen USAID was just a slush fund for NGOs and a means to funnel money to alphabet agencies for regime change. The fact it actually provided some aid was just the means to protect it from ever being defunded
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Keen 🇺🇸
Keen 🇺🇸@KeenKolo·
@hankgreen There's a lot of information out on what USAID was up to, Mike Benz specifically has incredibly harsh critique of it. If you could debunk issues like that, I might come around. Until then, it's unforgivable what they were up to in the name of "AID."
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Dlight
Dlight@StagifyAI·
@hankgreen There's no shortage of humans. If you can't even feed yourself, we don't need you on planet earth. Thanks Elon!
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mikel ayestaran
mikel ayestaran@mikelayestaran·
Lo mejor que puede hacer Trump es firmar el acuerdo consigo mismo y soplar las velas
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