EQ
747 posts
Good to have vol back & makes our job as lvl to lvl traders easier. 6969-72 is the "bear control below" line as warned in #ES_F. 6950 reclaim was long trigger there. We triggered, hit 69-72 *exact*, sold 6935, 6925 were next, at ~25 now. Bulls must recover 6950. 6913, 6909 below
S&P 500 - $SPX | $SPY Day Trade Idea Upside: SPX 6960c | SPY 693c Downside: SPX 6930p | SPY 690p $VIX Key Level: 15 - If we get 10m continuation, I’m looking for a breakout from yesterday’s high (current resistance) for a move toward long trigger and above. - If we get break of trend with 10m Vomy and we can test bottom of overnight range and short trigger.
When #ES_F is in its daily "elevator down" we only get a squeeze on a reclaim. 6806=support as posted, big battle here now. I posted 6818-22 had to reclaim to squeeze, we back-tested it exact just now and rejected. It must recover to see 6832, 6838, 6854+. 6789, 6781 below 6805
Good lvl to lvl move to start, but there's no volatility, so don't overtrade. 6889-84 was support as posted. It held. 6905-10 was 1st target which I said was big resistance. It hit & dipped. 6884-6910=pure chop/flagging Hold runner from ystd. 6918, 6931 if ES wants more. Dip<84
One way traffic in #ES_F and 0 to do but ride runner. 6838 was support as posted (held exact), with 6842 triggering long. I warned the trend leg was close & we're trending. Targets given were 6868-65 (hit), 6884 (hit), 6899 (hit), 6910-15 (almost) Then 6931, then all time highs
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Last night #ES_F saw a textbook Failed Breakdown - deep 90 point sell, flush of yesterday's 6830 daily low, recovery, longs triggered per newsletter plan. *Every elevator down sell in ES is followed by a squeeze*. Now, just ride runner 6869-65=support. 6884, 6893, 6899 next up
Finally some more volatility in #ES_F and everyday the last week we've seen a morning dip. 6857-59 support as posted at 8am this morning and it just held exact. Bulls will need to reclaim 6868 now to pop to 6877+ then back up the lvls. 57-59 fails, then 6847, 6830 next down
Its been a pinpoint precision range in #ES_F. 6847-6868=the tight coil as posted. 6852-55 reclaims to trigger up the coil. We held ~6847 2x, ran to 6868 and incredible *4x* & now finally expanding downside. 6838 1st support down hit. 47 must reclaim to pop. 6825-30, 6818 below
There's 6842 tagged again as #ES_F continues to build its flag. Almost done. This flag was given 8am & in yesterday's 4pm newsletter: 6811 support (held overnight), 6843 res (here now), 6825 magnet (just held exact). Just hold runner- dont force trades. 6852, 6862, 6877+ above.
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After losing the 6847-51 shelf this morning (then back-testing it), its been 1 way traffic. 6764/6757 support as posted & ES stuck here for 2hrs. Its where we closed Friday, and its a big zone. No rally until we get a major reclaim with vol (6772 likely starts pop) 42, 28 below
S&P 500 - $SPY Analysis Position (Quarterly) Golden Gate open. $SPY 700c 1/16 might work nicely if this speculative flag plays out.
That was quick: Dip trigger was loss of 6712 as posted with 6698, 6688 1st supports. We lost 6712 and got to ~6688. As posted, sell bounces is the regime until we recover breakdown shelves which provides a squeeze. 6712 reclaim pops us to 6726/32. Must recover. 6680, 6673 below
Sell the bounces is the regime until bulls recover breakdown shelves in #ES_F (6798). Last eve we saw a quality Failed Breakdown, we flushed 6734 daily low to 6732, recovered, ran +38 points, then made new lows. No change: 6712=support. 32 must reclaim to see 45+], 66+. Dip<12
