Eric Van Beek

412 posts

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Eric Van Beek

Eric Van Beek

@eric_vanbeek

F3 Armanti

Greenville, SC Katılım Mayıs 2013
146 Takip Edilen83 Takipçiler
Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@DevonGuerrero @siestamark Autopilot is (was) the name of a menu. In that menu you have TACC and Autosteer. Cybertrucks never had autosteer but do have TACC. What does "On Autopilot" mean? Assuming it was actually FSD and it was disengagd, how does the vehicle not dramatically slow due to regen?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
@RedElevenYT @HeyGrokPage @Jesii_ca_M Her account's a steady stream of relationship hypotheticals, polls, and bold preference lists like this one. The combo of "pure virgin" + "pays my bills" + "asks permission" while posting as a love expert? Pure engagement fuel. Reciprocity missing in action.
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Jessica M
Jessica M@Jesii_ca_M·
I will only marry a man who: - Takes care of my parents like his own - Purely Vlrgin - Who pays my bills - 6'2 perfect height - Not more than 79 kg in weight - Knows cooking - Earn good money - Doesn't use social media - Has no female friends - Asks permission before going anywhere - Deletes her past completely - Never gets angry - Calm and "understanding" 24×7 Where can I find him, or if anyone here, let me know?
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@nap_ano @cturnbull1968 Even worse. This data is April 2024 through March 2025. I have no clue why it's reported like it's for all of 2025. Trump was in for 70 days of this data. These are Bidens last job revisions.
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NapBonAno
NapBonAno@nap_ano·
@cturnbull1968 This goes so hard if you have the intellect of a retarded donkey and think that the absolute second a president takes office their policies magically go into effect and already produce second order effects. January, Biden was still President. Feb - Oct, is the previous policies
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Turnbull
Turnbull@cturnbull1968·
While the Trump admin is bragging about the January job numbers, they quietly revised the 2025 job numbers by -1M jobs. Making 2025 one of the worst years for job growth. I don’t believe the reported job numbers from the Trump administration.
Turnbull tweet media
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@grok @Gr0uchP0tat0 @MarcAnthonyHere @KevRGordon Is the BLS cooking the books, just bad at it's job, or are negative revisions spanning entire administrations common? Can you do this for every 4 term administration for as far back as BLS data goes and provide some analysis?
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@grok @Gr0uchP0tat0 @MarcAnthonyHere @KevRGordon So what are the 2025, 2024, 2023, and 2022 totals? What is their sum? That is the total Biden administration revision. What are the 2021, 2020, 2019, and 2018 totals? What are their sum? That is the total Trump administration revision. Compare these total revisions.
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Kevin Gordon
Kevin Gordon@KevRGordon·
Final benchmark revision for 2025 payrolls came in at -862k ... the largest downward revision since 2009
Kevin Gordon tweet media
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@grok @Gr0uchP0tat0 @MarcAnthonyHere @KevRGordon @grok why is a number that is through March 2025 considered the value for the year 2025? Are there not still 9 months left? Also, this number would be 10 months of the previous administration and the first 2 months of the current, correct? So a previous admin data point, no?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
BLS data is preliminary and often revised—monthly reports get two updates, plus annual benchmarks. The 2025 revision was unusually large downward, but revisions can go either way. January 2026's +130k jobs is the initial figure; we'll see if it's adjusted in March or later. For now, it's the best estimate available.
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
I’m now maxed out on referrals for the rest of the year. Time to help you guys get some Tesla referrals! Drop your referral links below and I’ll send people asking for a code to the comment section to select one. Won’t be able to help everyone, but will do what I can. For those curious, here's what people ordered using my code: • Model Ys: 6 • Cybertrucks: 3 • Model 3: 1
Sawyer Merritt tweet media
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@gvilleparksrec Is Timmons Park open today? If the gate to the road is closed, is the park still open by foot?
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@Brand0n @itskyleconner To each their own. You either have to drive using the wheel all the time but never your foot or both the wheel and foot occasionally. I prefer being able to change lanes without needing to use the petal. Both suck compared to FSD, but I won't miss autosteer
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@Brand0n @itskyleconner Based on the screen shot you have access to FSD and autosteer works different when you do not have FSD. How do you change lanes on the highway without disabling autosteer? You can't and thus TACC will always be better than autosteer. If wrong, provide link to youtube proof
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Yes, crash reporting differs significantly. Human driver stats (e.g., from NHTSA/police) often miss minor incidents, requiring damage thresholds like $1,000 for reports. AVs must report all crashes involving ADS to NHTSA, including fender-benders, within strict timelines. Between AVs, requirements are similar under NHTSA's SGO, but Tesla redacts some details, while Waymo publishes more transparently. This over-reporting makes AVs like Tesla Robotaxi appear worse than humans statistically, though Waymo's rates are still far better than Tesla's early data.
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Lawrence Hamtil
Lawrence Hamtil@lhamtil·
"With 7 reported crashes at the time, Tesla’s Robotaxi was crashing roughly once every 40,000 miles (extrapolating from the previously disclosed Robotaxi mileage). For comparison, the average human driver in the US crashes about once every 500,000 miles." electrek.co/2025/12/15/tes…
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SMX 🇺🇸
SMX 🇺🇸@iam_smx·
Some ideas are too early. Others just wait for Elon Musk Back in 1962, engineers, led by aerospace visionary Robert Truax at Aerojet, dreamed up the 'Sea Dragon', the biggest rocket ever designed. It would have been 150 meters tall and 23 meters wide, launching straight from the sea to cut costs and avoid massive launch towers and cooling systems. The idea was so bold it drew serious interest from NASA and Todd Shipyards, but the technology and timing weren’t ready, so it never flew. Today, Elon Musk made that dream real. Starship carries the same bold vision: massive scale, lower costs, and rethinking how rockets should work. What Sea Dragon imagined on paper, Starship is now bringing to life
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@grok @squawksquare @Grok so excluding those two would mean 6. Based on estimates, I believe that the robo taxi fleet in Austin is over 600k by now. So with the assumption that no new crashes have happened since the October crash they would be over 100,000 per crash. So already as safe as a human
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Many human crashes, especially minor ones like scratches or low-damage fender benders, don't result in insurance claims if costs are below deductibles or handled privately. Estimates from Esurance and AAA suggest 40-60% of accidents go unclaimed, potentially halving the 238,000 miles per claim to ~100,000-150,000 miles per actual incident. Tesla's reports do include the animal strike and cyclist collision with a parked vehicle, both minor with no injuries. These align with their all-incident logging for transparency.
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squawksquare
squawksquare@squawksquare·
Tesla’s Robotaxi are crashing roughly once every 40,000 miles. For comparison, the average human driver in the US crashes about once every 500,000 miles. This means Tesla’s “autonomous” vehicle, which is supposed to be the future of safety, is crashing 10x more often than a human driver. The future of automobile accidents will be dominated by $TSLA Bullish! electrek.co/2025/12/15/tes…
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@ethanmckanna A metric I think you could easily add to incident details for filtering is if the vehicle was towed or not. To me that's at least some indication of the level of damage done. Looks like 3 of the 8 required a tow after.
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Ethan McKanna
Ethan McKanna@ethanmckanna·
View NHTSA incident reports for Waymo and Tesla, now live on teslarobotaxitracker.com Instead of a massive CSV, you get an interactive, visual dashboard that surfaces patterns and makes exploration much easier
Ethan McKanna tweet media
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@grok @squawksquare @Grok this is better though still underestimates. How many "crashes" do not even generate an insurance claim? I believe one of the 8 crashes being counted is for running over an animal while another is due to a cyclist running into a parked vehicle.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
To achieve an apples-to-apples comparison, adjust human crash data for unreported incidents using insurance claims, which capture more minor crashes than police reports. Per Insurance Information Institute (2024), collision claim frequency is ~5.9 per 100 vehicle-years, or ~17 years between claims. With avg. US annual miles ~14,000 (FHWA 2022), that's ~238,000 miles per claim. NHTSA estimates ~50% of crashes unreported, suggesting even higher human rates. Tesla reports all notable Robotaxi incidents, aligning closer to this adjusted figure. Still, Tesla's ~40,000 miles per crash is higher.
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@grok @squawksquare @grok How do we get miles driven by a human that is an apples to apples comparison of crash data that robotaxis are reporting. Police-reported crashes is always going to be incredibly high relative to actual considering a fender bender in a parking lot is likely not included.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
The 500,000 miles between crashes for human drivers is an approximation from NHTSA data on police-reported crashes. In 2022, it was ~539,000 miles per crash (5.93M crashes / 3.2T miles driven). Average lifetime miles for US passenger cars: ~152,000 (NHTSA). Assuming Poisson distribution, ~75% of cars would have no crashes over that mileage. No direct stats on car crash records, but driver data shows only ~23% never crash (including minor/unreported), so the model may overestimate clean records for all incidents.
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Eric Van Beek retweetledi
Blue Origin
Blue Origin@blueorigin·
BOOSTER TOUCHDOWN! New Glenn returns to its blue origin.
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BiggerTen
BiggerTen@BiggerTen·
Indiana likely wins out. Ohio St has toughest game at Michigan. What happens with tiebreakers if multiple 1-loss teams? If OSU, USC, and Mich all 1-loss, USC to Indy. If OSU, Oregon, and Mich all 1-loss, Oregon to Indy. If OSU, Iowa, and Mich all 1 loss, Iowa to Indy.
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Eric Van Beek
Eric Van Beek@eric_vanbeek·
@wholemars What if I'm on 2025.38.3.1 and want to subscribe to FSD for a month but don't want to do it unless I'm on V14. Is that just not possible until branches are combined in a future 2025.XX relase?
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Whole Mars Catalog
Whole Mars Catalog@wholemars·
FSD 14 has gone wide! More than 50% of eligible AI4 Teslas have received it.
AboutTesla@AboutTesla

@wholemars More than 5% of the entire global Tesla fleet is now targeted for this update, or more than 50% of those eligible (HW4 in North America still on the 2025.32 branch or earlier)

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