Eric Theis

23 posts

Eric Theis

Eric Theis

@ertheis

Partner @ Bling Capital - I build cool things and invest in great companies Former Software Engineer at Flexport, Barefoot Networks

San Francisco Katılım Ocak 2022
97 Takip Edilen144 Takipçiler
Eric Theis retweetledi
Scott Stevenson
Scott Stevenson@scottastevenson·
It’s time to expose a huge scam in AI startups: Contracted ARR The reason many AI startups are crushing revenue records is because they are using a dishonest metric The biggest funds in the world are supporting this and misleading journalists for PR coverage. The setup: Company signs 3-year enterprise deals. Year 1 is discounted (say $1M), Year 2 steps up ($2M), Year 3 is full price ($3M). They report $3M as “ARR” — even though they’re only collecting $1M right now. The worst part: The customer has an opt-out option at 12 months! It’s not actually a 3 year contract. In the chart below, by Q5 the company is trumpeting ~$100M “ARR” to press, while actual cash-generating, in-effect ARR is ~$35M. That’s ~3x inflation. On top of this, enterprise AI companies are bundling full-time “forward deployed engineers” into deals massively reducing margins, sometimes producing Year 1 negative margins. At some point customers are going to start triggering their opt-out clauses or aggressively negotiating down Year 3 pricing. And a wave of enterprise AI companies may collapse.
Scott Stevenson tweet media
English
166
143
1.5K
956.5K
Eric Theis
Eric Theis@ertheis·
@scottastevenson It doesn’t come up anymore because Spellbook would no longer be QSBS eligible even if it did have a US-based topco
English
1
0
1
27
Scott Stevenson
Scott Stevenson@scottastevenson·
This does have material downsides for Canadian founders and employees: 1. No lifetime capital gains exemption—first $1.25m tax free. Can be very meaningful for team members in an exit. 2. No access to millions in subsidies from SR&ED, IRAP, etc. — can be a lifeline especially if doing deep tech. Being a Canadian corp has never been brought up as an issue when fundraising at Spellbook. 10 years ago I saw it come up, but not any longer. Perhaps the data is lagging?
Garry Tan@garrytan

We're not saying Canadians should leave Canada. There are lots of reasons to build great companies in Canada, and there are lots of great YC and non-YC startups that thrive and are making the Canadian tech scene great. Where you are incorporated increases your access to capital. That's it. There's no drama here, and the clout farmers who are trying to make it drama: you know who you are, I see you, and you should stop.

English
26
5
169
34.8K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Scott Stevenson
Scott Stevenson@scottastevenson·
Excited to share that @Dropbox has chosen Spellbook as its AI contract review platform. Their legal team will use Spellbook to review and negotiate contracts faster and with greater consistency, so they can keep the company moving at lightning speed, with confidence. And yes, we have a Dropbox integration.
Scott Stevenson tweet media
English
11
15
108
36.1K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Span
Span@Span_App·
We’re proud to announce that we've raised $25M to help engineering teams navigate AI transformation with clarity. AI has reshaped how software gets built, but leaders still lack the tools to understand what's really happening. How to separate hype from reality. How to understand AI's true impact on quality, velocity, and team architecture. Span gives engineering teams the missing layer of context and understanding. The participation of over 100 CTOs, CPOs, founders, funds, and operators reflects just how deeply what we're doing resonates across the industry. 📽️ Watch the announcement below.
English
21
19
98
66.9K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Scott Stevenson
Scott Stevenson@scottastevenson·
Spellbook has raised a $50m Series B led by @rabois at @khoslaventures. Since 2022 we've grown rapidly to 4,000 law firm and in-house legal customers including Nestlé, eBay and Kennedys. We aim to be the best way to draft and review agreements with AI—Cursor for contracts 🧵
English
75
50
625
172.2K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Bling Capital
Bling Capital@blingcapital·
We just dropped the next post in our Navigating Diligence series: Nail the 'Hair-on-Fire Problem' + 10x Better Solution This is the first (and, we think, most important) exercise in our diligence playbook. 📘 blog.blingcap.com/hair-on-fire-a… 🧵 What’s inside:
English
1
1
4
1.4K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Sunflower Capital
Sunflower Capital@seedtosunflower·
We’re excited to announce Sunflower Capital Funds I and II. Sunflower is a $250m fund that partners at the earliest stage with companies building foundations for modern enterprises, critical industries, and the physical world.
Sunflower Capital tweet media
English
131
134
631
107.9K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Scott Stevenson
Scott Stevenson@scottastevenson·
Meet Spellbook Associate: The first AI Agent for law Two years ago we launched the first GenAI copilot for lawyers. We had no idea it would now be used by 2,500+ legal teams! Today we're launching the first full-fledged agent that can break down legal projects into plans, execute work across multiple documents and apps, review its work and re-plan as needed. More below👇
English
36
78
706
209K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Benjamin Ling
Benjamin Ling@bling0·
Honored to be part of the 2024 Forbes Midas Seed List. Thanks to the @blingcapital team and the Bling Capital Product Council, our LPs, and also our CEOs for the opportunity! ♥️ forbes.com/lists/midas-se…
Benjamin Ling tweet media
English
30
9
182
31.1K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Scott Stevenson
Scott Stevenson@scottastevenson·
We're thrilled to announce that @SpellbookLegal has raised a $20m Series A financing, led by @inovia. In 2014 my musical instrument company got a legal bill that nearly zeroed our bank account. In 2019 we launched Rally to help lawyers draft more efficiently using document automation. In 2022 we launched Spellbook as the first generative AI copilot for lawyers. In 2023 we assisted 1700+ legal teams with nearly 1 million contracts! We're excited to deploy this capital towards building the most trusted AI assistant for transactional lawyers. We have some huge new breakthroughs coming this year—which we'll start to show at @LegalweekShow next week! Thank you to our incredible team, customers and investors for joining our mission to help lawyers escape transaction drudgery—ultimately delivering more value to the end clients of legal services, and helping lawyers focus on doing more of the strategic work they love. Special thanks to our legal counsel at LaBarge Weinstein (@LWConnect) and the opposing counsel team at Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt LLP (@Osler_Law) and Inovia Capital who helped us close this deal in record time.
Scott Stevenson tweet media
English
65
52
619
127.1K
Eric Theis retweetledi
Bling Capital
Bling Capital@blingcapital·
Announcing the @BlingCapital blog, focused on company building and fundraising Our first post on fundraising: “How to size a market in 30 minutes” to learn the essentials to get your market sizing right blog.blingcap.com/2023/02/13/How…
English
0
17
38
10.5K
Eric Theis
Eric Theis@ertheis·
This is hugely important for any business, not just marketplaces. These customers who stick around “forever” are the ones who find long-term enduring value in your product, and have theoretically infinite LTV If you truly have a layer cake, your churn rate goes down as you grow!
Olivia Moore@omooretweets

Will your marketplace soar or sputter out? It may depend on one critical metric that many startups ignore. Here's how to figure out if you have a "layer cake" or a "leaky bucket" ⬇️

English
0
0
1
0
Eric Theis
Eric Theis@ertheis·
The most retentive users in your cohorts are typically your “ideal” customers. You should be optimizing for and targeting these customers, not signups generally.
English
0
0
0
0