再也不玩合约了
634 posts
我又来预测了 5月9日BTC8万的时候我预测1个半月内到6万以下 我成功了 我说对了价格 也说对了时间 所以我又来了 现在64000 一个月内会到55000以下 如果成功我改名 熊炒炒 如果失败我改名 大笨熊
$BTC has been trading inside the same log regression channel since 2017. And there's a rhythm here almost nobody is talking about. Every bottom prints at the channel bottom: 2018 → channel bottom (−45%) 2020 COVID → channel bottom (−50%) 2022 → channel bottom (−38.06%) 2026 → channel bottom, in play right now (−38.88%) Four for four. The last two within 1% of each other. But the tops alternate: 2017 → overshoot ABOVE the channel (+171%) 2019 → contained top, inside the channel 2021 → overshoot ABOVE the channel (+167%) 2024–25 → contained top, inside the channel Overshoot. Contained. Overshoot. Contained. The 2024–25 cycle didn't "fail" — it was the contained top in the sequence. Exactly like 2019. And everyone wrote 2019 off too, right before 2021 escaped the channel. Which means: If the alternation holds, the next top is the escape. A +160% overshoot above the channel — the same magnitude as 2017 and 2021 — projects into the $400k–680k region into 2027. And even if that sounds exaggerated: a mere retouch of the channel top from here sends us into the $200k–300k region. That's the conservative case. We're at the channel bottom. The pattern says accumulate here. S/O to @lastcoins for bringing this pattern to my notice.
关于 bitcoin:native 给大家一些思路。以下是上一轮底部走出来的几个结构。我用红圈画了出来。 1.两次头肩底，级别一次比一次大 2.两次威科夫底部，级别一次比一次大 话讲到这里，自己动动手去翻一翻图形，对比以下。5月再比特币7.8万的时候，我认为底部是4.9万，因为我再看那次的跌幅。那么并没有达到我的预期，所以我理解为截取流动性。 所以，这次我的目标为极限55000，但是我不会等到那个位置，这里回踩如果跌破60000，我就会打完我的大部分仓位。 链上数据，形态，周期，价格行为，所有指标都在告诉我，你该动手了。 还是那句话，每个人都会为自己的认知买单，我的计划如此，你不需要指点对错，因为我不会因为你的三言两语改变我的看法，正如我也不会试图说服你。 DYOR，亏了没人会理你，包括我自己。
