JamesH

@umichvoter Anyone else think the huge gender gap crushes everything and makes most other meta analyses futile?

@mattgreencomedy Social media algorithms are running rings around them. Quite possibly using the polls the companies put out to push messaging and engagement in whatever area they choose.

“This was a massive miss for the polling industry. The worst in years. Can they possibly survive this? What do polls tell us?” - The media this week, probably

@IanDunt Contemplating whether to delete X. It’s just all pervasive and you can’t beat the algorithm. Really don’t want to spend 4 years doom scrolling, but there are so many on here I enjoy interacting with.

This is the darkest morning. For Ukraine. For the US. For all of us.

@acnewsitics Trying to scare black folks who’ve done a hard days work, away from the polls.

Trump: THEY'RE EATING THE BALLOTS!!!

@RonFilipkowski Should the country get out of this a second time, the absolute hammer needs to come down on this illegality. It must end here

This is Trump trying to scare black people away from going to the polls after work.

@adb0wen This is an astute observation - I’d noticed it happening, but hadn’t put my finger on what it was.

UK exit polls: bing bong, here’s the prime minister US exit polls: is it better to be loved or feared? Give your answer to the nearest cubit

4 votes for @KamalaHarris! If you've already voted, make sure your family and friends do the same. IWillVote.com

When you vote today, do it for my cousin Alex, who will never get to vote himself. Alex was killed in his English classroom in Parkland by a gunman with an AR-15. Today, vote for a future free of gun violence.

@ArmandDoma It’s all coded. It feeds into their deep state narrative. The squirrel could be replaced with anything - a shower head, a vaccine, an electric car.

genuinely do Republicans have data showing this squirrel thing is resonating with people? It’s such a baffling thing to focus on right before Election Day

@lewis_goodall Pardon him for what? His conviction is a state crime and he’s not faced the trials for federal crimes yet.

This is very interesting.

iWillVOTE.com Tomorrow’s the deadline, but why not just do it today..?

@ColinAllredTX Let’s go Colin!

Ted Cruz’s team is Ted Cruz. My team is Texas.

@TheRickWilson For a fk ton of money no doubt.

Tony the Pollster has been telling Trump for 2 years there’s no way he could lose.

@R_Scotsman @admcrlsn And predictions. Most likely.

@admcrlsn I vastly prefer Selzer's lack of ego and matter of factness.

This schtick is getting so old

@carlquintanilla I’m not convinced such a gender gap only produces a +4 win for Harris. Especially in a high female turnout election. x.com/fluidinio/stat…

@ryanjreilly It’s telling that Trump has never faced the question that perhaps he should govern with everyone in mind considering he’s never won a popular vote. It’s ALWAYS framed from the point of view of Dems not respecting (less than) half of the country.

High likelihood Trump gets strike three on the popular vote no matter which way the electoral college goes.

@JimmyTwutTwut @GregTSargent True independents are hard to capture and model for in polls. It’s a category completely open to interpretation. If she can come out ahead on a poll where’s she’s behind on indies, it’s a good sign.

Final NPR/Marist poll among likely voters nationally: Harris 51 Trump 47 Up from Harris +2 in the last poll. Indys Trump +5, Harris +11 with women. Harris getting 56% of those who already voted. Young voters breaking Harris/coming home maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/u-s-pres…

@CFBGod69 @GregTSargent It’s not even evenly split in this poll, Trump is +5. Which I find hard to believe.

@GregTSargent See I don’t buy that indies will be evenly split something that selzer poll picked up on.

@IanDunt His rallies are dropping off big time. x.com/atrupar/status…

Any intuition, no matter how baseless. Any anecdote, no matter how unrepresentative. Any polling, no matter how unusual. I'm in the market for emotional reassurance. There'll be plenty of time to face the reality of the world afterwards.

Just for the record, I'm not remotely interested in objective information about US politics for the next 24 hours. I just want people to tell me it's all going to be OK.

@meridithmcgraw They are just regurgitating the top lines heading into the campaign here. They have no real way to know if any of this is true.

Per Trump campaign, how they are viewing the data so far: -Harris in “real trouble” with male voters -Trump performing “historically well” with Black voters -Rural turnout is “through the roof”