Fabian Burkhardt retweetledi
For more on why you should treat regime functionalism more often as a research question, rather than a generic assumption, see our book:
a.co/d/0hEkKvyv
English
Fabian Burkhardt
1.8K posts
Fabian Burkhardt
@fa_burkhardt
Russia & executive power, elites, digital authoritarianism | @laenderanalysen, Russian Analytical Digest | @faburkhardt.bsky.social | Own views
Deutschland Katılım Mart 2010
3K Takip Edilen6.1K Takipçiler
Fabian Burkhardt retweetledi
Great new report out with granular data on nationalization processes in wartime Russia. They very appropriately do not assume regime functionalism (i.e., 'this is all about Putin staying in power') but actually test it along with other possible explanations for the pattern.
Mikhail Komin@komin_mikhail
A new Cedar analysis maps wave of wartime nationalisation in RU. Its findings reinforce point I’ve argued for some time: this process reflects the heterogeneity of Russian elites, and as a result its limited controllability, including from the Kremlin. 1/ cedarus.io/research/asset…
English
Thank you for the endorsement! This was truly a team effort, and I'm glad our assessments align. 👇
Mikhail Komin@komin_mikhail
A new Cedar analysis maps wave of wartime nationalisation in RU. Its findings reinforce point I’ve argued for some time: this process reflects the heterogeneity of Russian elites, and as a result its limited controllability, including from the Kremlin. 1/ cedarus.io/research/asset…
English
@Ni_Zakharov I don't believe in the diversionary war theory, but the rallies are certainly a welcome bonus. It will also be interesting to see if the war with Iran and the resulting oil windfall yield some relief in terms of trust ratings.
English
@fa_burkhardt Looks like a good time to start another war to keep that rally around the flag going
English
State-controlled pollster VTsIOM has just published Putin's lowest trust rating (open question!) since the full-scale invasion. This is not terrible for Putin so far, but it is getting closer to the all-time low 2021-08. No connection to the incidental video of Putin coughing.
English
main trends from 2016 to 2026. The direct question obviously yields a very different result: 77.5% of respondents say that they trust Putin (all caveats regarding state-controlled VTsIOM and surveys in authoritarian Russia with war censorship and repression apply).
English
No conspiracy needed to explain why VTsIOM published the data now. In 2019, they changed from publishing weekly data to monthly data, but it will be crucial to watch if they stop publishing it altogether when things turn really bad. It is still useful to take a closer look at the
English
Here is a link to the full report of our Russian Elites Lab, in which we tracked criminal cases against deputy ministers. Another report exclusively focused on criminal charges against Russian officials will follow soon. cedarus.io/research/how-p…
English
The arrest of former Russian Deputy Minister of Defence Ruslan Tsalikov is significant because of his close ties to Shoigu. This is already the fourth former deputy of Shoigu to be arrested. However, it also sheds light on the broader increase in elite repression since 2024.
Ben Tavener@BBCBenTavener
Business weekly Vedomosti leads on a different story: the arrest of Ruslan Tsalikov, a former first deputy defence minister, whom the paper describes as “one of the closest comrades of [former defence minister] Sergei Shoigu…” “It’s the first time a former military official of this rank has been accused of creating an organised criminal group,” it reports. The 69-year-old stands accused of embezzling public funds, money laundering and large-scale bribe-taking. Tsalikov is not, however, the first ally of Sergei Shoigu – sacked by Vladimir Putin as defence minister in 2024 in favour of Andrei Belousov and moved to the Security Council – to be accused of corruption. It appears he could be the latest “victim” in the ongoing purge of Shoigu associates from Russia’s security ranks. “Of all of the military head’s [Shoigu’s] deputies, Tsalikov was the closest,” the paper quotes a former colleague as saying, noting Tsalikov gave evidence against another deputy defence minister who also came under fire for corruption: Timur Ivanov was later convicted and sent to prison for 13 years.
English
Fabian Burkhardt retweetledi
“When Russia says they’re ‘deporting’ someone, they’re not deporting them back to Ukraine.”
My story on how Putin’s latest attempt to force Russian passports on Ukrainians paves the way for more war crimes in the occupied territories. meduza.io/en/feature/202… @meduza_en
English
since Putin's 2000 presidential campaign).
Reporting on these yet to be confirmed developments in the redistribution of responsibilities from Kozak to Kirienko: vedomosti.ru/politics/artic…
English
he formally retained his position in the presidential administration. But as a decades-long Putin confidant, Kozak's fate will send an important signal to the elite about how Putin deals with (former) close associates (Kozak has been a key team member
English
Kirienko's empire in the presidential administration to grow: As usual, formal structural changes will follow earlier informal power shifts. Kirienko has already dealt with post-Soviet space (especially the occupied territories) and foreign policy, including hybrid interference.
English
@ionmarandici @CSS_ETHZurich I really enjoyed your analysis, thanks for the contribution, Ion!
English
Fabian Burkhardt retweetledi
@fa_burkhardt and I have a new open access paper out in @democ_journal: "Digital ballots, partisan bias: digital authoritarianism and support for internet voting in Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine".
…online-com.emedien.ub.uni-muenchen.de/doi/full/10.10…
English
Fantastic opportunities at this emerging powerhouse of Eastern Europe politics' research
Fabian Burkhardt@fa_burkhardt
📢*Four* academic jobs 📢 in political science and related disciplines with a focus on Eastern Europe in our growing Department of Politics at the Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies. Two postdoc and two doctoral positions, deadline 28 March 2025.
English
Link to the postdoc positions:
leibniz-ios.de/en/vacancies-a…
Link to the Ph.D. positions:
leibniz-ios.de/en/vacancies-a…
English
📢*Four* academic jobs 📢 in political science and related disciplines with a focus on Eastern Europe in our growing Department of Politics at the Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies.
Two postdoc and two doctoral positions, deadline 28 March 2025.
English
@mark4harrison @RussAnalDigest @warwicknewsroom @cage_warwick @warwickecon @BritishAcademy_ Thank you for your insightful contribution. And I highly recommend the related book!
English
My short essay "Russia's Arc of Secrecy in the Twenty-First Century" appears in the new issue of @RussAnalDigest -- thanks to @fa_burkhardt for his help
css.ethz.ch/content/dam/et… @warwicknewsroom @cage_warwick @warwickecon @BritishAcademy_
English