Felix Prehn FF ✪

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If You Missed Palantir or Nvidia. This is Even Bigger.

In short, the 14 stocks positioned to benefit from Trump's executive order are: Off-Grid Power: 1) Bloom Energy (BE) - up 105% 2) Oklo (OKLO) 3) Cameco (CCJ) - up 30% Grid Builders: 4) Quanta Services (PWR) - up 43% 5) Mastech (MTZ) - up 77% 6) Argan (AGX) - up 113% 7) Comfort Systems (FIX) - up 75% Electrical Components: 8) VICR - up 175% 9) Powell Industries (POWL) - up 110% 10) Vertiv (VRT) - up 64% 11) TTM Technologies (TTMI) - up 134% 12) Advanced Energy (AEIS) - up 82% Metals: 13) Century Aluminum (CENX) - up 93% 14) Alcoa (AA) - hasn't moved yet, but has a potential for a second entry Thread explains exactly what each company does and why they're winning gov. contracts:

@elonmusk Indeed

Great movie

@chuong_tk @elonmusk 😎

@elonmusk Relax and Chill with FSD

Accurate

@EveryBibleday @elonmusk 🌈

The US Iran War Will Make (Some) Investors Rich l Here’s How

Whenever gold rallies, there's one sector of the market directly tied to it that tends to rally further and faster. Most retail investors don't realize this - and exactly why you can capitalize on it. Gold miners. If gold rises 10%, miners tend to rise 20-30%. The reason why is simple. Costs to extract gold are relatively fixed. When the gold price rises, the gap between what it costs to mine and what they can sell it for widens fast. That margin increase is why every miners outperform gold in bull markets. Right now, miners are making more money than at any point in recent history. And yet the shares outstanding in major gold mining ETFs have actually gone down this year. Retail money hasn't moved into it yet. If you hold gold and you've been wondering whether there's a way to get more out of the same investment, miners are worth looking at. One thing to keep in mind. That same leverage works in reverse. If gold pulls back, miners fall harder and faster. What makes them attractive on the way up works against you on the way down. Risk management is important here. Gold miners are one of five sectors that have historically done well during periods like this. Silver, energy, defense, and utilities also benefit in different ways. I cover all five and how to think about each one in the thread below.

96 licensed doctors just got charged with stealing $14.6 billion from Medicare. They used AI to generate fake voice recordings of patients giving consent for medical equipment that was never delivered. Fake urinary catheters. Billed to your tax dollars. One single scheme accounted for $10.6 billion in fraudulent claims. That's more than double the previous record. 324 people charged. 96 of them held medical licenses. People who swore an oath to protect patients were running a criminal enterprise using stolen identities. The DOJ called it the largest healthcare fraud takedown in American history. They seized $245 million in cash, crypto, luxury cars, and other assets. But $245 million recovered on $14.6 billion stolen is 1.7 cents on the dollar. Here's how the scheme worked. A transnational criminal organization bought dozens of medical supply companies across the US using foreign straw owners. Shell companies with real Medicare billing numbers. They obtained the identities of over one million Americans and used those identities to submit billions in fake claims. The AI component is new. They generated synthetic voice recordings to satisfy Medicare's requirement for patient consent calls. An algorithm faked the voice of an 80-year-old woman in Ohio agreeing to receive medical equipment she never heard of. Then they billed Medicare $4,000 for a catheter that was never shipped. Multiply that by a million stolen identities and you get $10.6 billion. This is not a one-time event. Medicare spending on certain categories has "exploded" in recent years according to the DOJ. Skin substitute billing increased so dramatically that CMS had to completely overhaul the reimbursement methodology for 2026, cutting payments by nearly 90%. The broader pattern is that healthcare fraud is scaling faster than the systems designed to catch it. The DOJ's own healthcare fraud unit has a reported return on investment of $106.76 per $1 spent on enforcement. That's the most effective dollar the government spends. And they're still underwater because the fraud is growing faster than they can prosecute. So what's the play? Healthcare cybersecurity and fraud detection is now a $20+ billion market growing at 15%+ annually. The companies building the AI systems that detect fake claims, verify identities, and flag anomalous billing patterns are selling to buyers who have no choice but to buy. CrowdStrike (CRWD) has expanded into healthcare endpoint security. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is building the zero-trust architecture that hospitals need. Veeva Systems (VEEV) provides the compliance infrastructure for pharma and healthcare. But the bigger structural trade is that every healthcare fraud crackdown leads to regulatory reform that benefits the insurers. UnitedHealth, Humana, and Cigna all benefit from tighter claims processing because they lose less to fraud. UNH is the largest healthcare company on earth with $22 billion in annual profit. Their stock is up 500% in 10 years. People in my weekly sessions have heard me break down the healthcare fraud cycle before. The enforcement wave creates the regulatory tightening, which benefits the incumbents, which compounds their earnings. Same pattern every time. Free live webinar session every week where I cover all of this. Link is in comments

I'm hosting a 100% free webinar weekly where I go over new market events and how you can make money from them. felixfriends.org/live

Stocks now make up a larger share of American household wealth than real estate. This has happened exactly twice before. Once in the 1960s. Once right before the dot-com crash. Both times the stock market fell 50% or more. The average American household now has 42% of their net worth in equities. In 1992 that number was 14%. In 30 years the country went from "stocks are one piece of the portfolio" to "stocks ARE the portfolio." Pensions were replaced by 401ks. 401ks became target-date funds. Target-date funds became passive index funds. Passive index funds became a leveraged bet on seven companies. The top 10 stocks now represent over 35% of the entire S&P 500. That's the highest concentration since the index was created. You think you own 500 companies. In practice you own a tech fund with 490 companies rounding out the edges. Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla. If those seven stocks drop 40%, your "diversified" index fund drops 14% from the top 7 alone. Before a single other company is affected. Nvidia by itself is over 6% of the S&P 500. One chipmaker is a bigger weighting than the entire energy sector. One company's earnings revision can move the retirement savings of 150 million Americans. And there's no mechanism to slow it down. ETFs don't sell when a stock is overvalued. They sell when the INVESTOR panics. The money flows in automatically every paycheck, buys the same 7 stocks at the same weightings regardless of price, and pushes them higher. The higher they go, the bigger their index weighting gets. The bigger the weighting, the more of every new dollar goes into those same stocks. It's a self-reinforcing loop that works beautifully on the way up. On the way down it reverses. And it reverses faster. Because fear moves quicker than greed. When the dot-com bubble broke, the S&P lost 49%. The Nasdaq lost 78%. The median household didn't recover their portfolio value until 2012. A full decade. Buffett is parking $344 billion in treasury bills right now. That's the largest cash position he has ever held in his career. He's been investing since 1942. He has never held this much cash. When the greatest investor alive can't find a single stock worth buying at these prices, that's not caution. That's a signal. So I've been rebalancing aggressively toward assets that aren't trapped in the passive concentration loop. I'm not selling everything and going to cash. Timing the top of a bubble is how you miss two years of returns and feel stupid. But the rotation is real and I started months ago. Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) instead of market-cap weighted (SPY). RSP gives you the same 500 companies but each one weighted equally. When concentration snaps, equal-weight outperforms cap-weight by 15-30% in the drawdown because the top 7 can't drag the whole index. Commodities and commodity producers. Gold miners, energy producers, uranium, copper. These sectors are underweighted in every passive index fund. When money rotates out of tech into real assets, the percentage moves in commodity stocks are 3-5x larger because the market caps are tiny by comparison. GDX went up 155% last year while the S&P returned 8.7%. Short-duration treasuries (BIL) for the cash allocation. 4.5% yield with zero duration risk. I want the ability to deploy cash fast when the correction creates real bargains. International equities trading at 10-14x earnings vs the S&P at 25x. The valuation gap between US and international stocks is the widest in 40 years. At some point that gap compresses. It always does. This is the setup I've been building for months. In my weekly sessions I walk through the exact allocation, the exact names, and the reasoning behind each position. Several people who rebalanced early have told me it changed how they think about their portfolio entirely, which honestly is the part that keeps me doing this. I run a free webinar every week going through all of it. Comment "web" and I'll shoot you the link.

They just shut down the agency that protects you from banks. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the one government body designed to stop banks from ripping you off, has been effectively gutted. Staff placed on leave. Investigations frozen. Lawsuits dropped. The CFPB went dark in February. By March, student loan defaults had increased 23-fold. Not 23 percent. Twenty-three times. Mortgage delinquencies just hit their highest level in a decade. Credit card debt passed $1.2 trillion. The CFPB had rules ready to go that would have saved Americans $15 billion in overdraft fees, late charges, and junk fees. All cancelled. Overdraft fees alone generate $9 billion per year for banks. A $35 overdraft on a $20 purchase. Banks charge more for covering your coffee than a payday lender charges for a $500 loan. Capital One was facing a CFPB lawsuit over $2 billion in overdraft charges. That lawsuit is dead. JPMorgan was under investigation for mortgage servicing practices. That investigation is dead. This has happened before. The Office of Thrift Supervision was defunded in 2004. Four years later, the banks it was supposed to regulate caused the worst financial crisis since the Depression. Bank stocks (JPM, BAC, COF) are up 18% since the CFPB was gutted. The market is pricing in exactly what this means: higher fees, fewer refunds, and nobody to call when your bank takes money it shouldn't. Short term, bank stocks benefit from deregulation. But the consumer stress building underneath is the same pattern that preceded 2008. I want short-duration bonds (BIL) and cash ready for the dislocation that comes after. (I cover deregulation cycles and how to position around them in my free weekly session, comment "web" and i'll dm you the link)

A lot of retail investors believe COMEX simply can't prevent a silver squeeze this time. But it's never defaulted. Not ONCE. If you're positioning around that idea, it's worth knowing why this isn't as possible as you think. There are 5 "tools" COMEX has they use to prevent this. They are: 1) Raise margins overnight - they did this five times in eight days in 2011. Traders who couldn't post millions in cash were forced to sell. 2) Cap position sizes with no notice 3) Force cash settlement instead of physical delivery - it's in every contract's fine print 4) Halt trading entirely 5) Change the rules - they did exactly this when the Hunt brothers cornered silver in the 1980s. None of this means silver can't go up. But building a strategy around a collapse scenario that has never materialized is worth reconsidering. This is one of the biggest myths circulating in the silver community - that the squeeze is unstoppable. The article below shares the full picture, including what the stress indicators actually mean and how institutions tend to approach these situations.

If you're trying to decide what to do with your gold position right now, how it's performed during previous major geopolitical crisis is worth looking at before you do. Every conflict in the last 50 years was followed by gold eventually reaching new all-time highs: • 1973 OPEC embargo - it dropped initially, then rallied 150% in just two years. • 1979 Iranian revolution - it jumped 89% in just one year afterwards. • 1991 Golf war (Iraq invaded Kuwait) - it jumped 10% in weeks • 2011 (Post-9/11) - it went from $250 all the way to $1,900 over the next decade • Russia-Ukraine in 2022 - it broke through $2,000 and has more than doubled since What's different about the current environment is the fewer structural forces supporting gold than what we had before. In 1973, US debt was $500 billion. Today, it's $38 trillion. Central banks were reducing their gold holdings back then. Now they're adding over 1,000 tons per year. These are just a few examples. The conditions that drove gold higher in every previous cycle are all present today, just at a larger scale. None of this guarantees a repeat. But if you're weighing whether to hold, add, or reduce, this kind of context helps you make that decision from a more informed place rather than reacting to a red day on your screen. The part most people miss is what happens between the initial drop and the new highs. I walk through that window in the thread below.

Full video on YouTube here: youtube.com/watch?v=y8jcQ4…

Silver in Shanghai trades at a 19% premium over Western prices right now (at time of recording the video). Many retail investors point to this as proof that US silver prices are fake and suppressed. The "real" price is what Shanghai pays. Here's an analogy to explain why this isn't true: Think of a water bottle at a gas station. It's $2. Inside a concert venue it's $8. It's the same water. The venue price isn't more "real" - it reflects limited supply in an enclosed space with a lot of demand. China has strict capital controls. Metals can't move freely across the border. Import licenses are restricted. And domestic demand from solar, EVs, and semiconductors is enormous. The premium reflects local scarcity, not a hidden true price. Normally it sits around 3 to 4%. At 19%, it tells us demand in China is extremely strong and the global market is tight. That's valuable information. But it's different from saying Western prices must catch up. This is one of the most sophisticated myths in the silver market - and one of seven retail investors need to stop believing. The article below shares the full picture, including what the stress indicators actually mean and how institutions are really positioned.

Someone placed a $1.5 billion bet five minutes before the President posted about Iran. Five minutes. The post dropped. Stocks ripped. Oil crashed. Hundreds of millions in profit. Instantly. A Nobel Prize-winning economist called it treason. A senator asked who did it. Was it a family member? A staffer? Nobody answered. Nobody investigated. Nobody went to jail. This isn't the first time. In 2019, an unknown trader made $1.8 billion right before a China trade deal announcement. In 2020, senators sold stocks before COVID crashed markets while telling the public everything was fine. In 2025, a presidential family member reportedly made $415 million after a single social media post moved their company's stock. Same pattern. Every time. Zero consequences. The CFTC hasn't commented. The SEC hasn't opened a case. Congress introduced a bill called the BETS OFF Act to ban betting on government actions. It hasn't passed. How do you invest when the person on the other side of the trade already knows the outcome? You own the things a tweet can't reprogram overnight. Constellation Energy (CEG) has 20-year power contracts with Microsoft, Amazon, and Google. Those contracts don't renegotiate because of a social media post. Revenue locked in for decades. HEICO (HEI) sells sole-source replacement parts to every airline on earth. 70% margins. Their earnings don't swing based on whatever headline drops tomorrow morning. Cameco (CCJ) mines uranium into a market with a 7,000 tonne annual supply deficit. 34 countries legally committed to tripling nuclear capacity. Physical demand doesn't care about Truth Social. XOM, CVX, COP are printing money at $90+ oil with 3-5% dividend yields. Their business is tied to physical barrels flowing through pipelines. Not to the mood of a tweet. A headline might swing these names 3% on any given day. But the underlying cash flows don't change. The contracts don't cancel. The demand doesn't disappear. I do a free webinar every week breaking down plays like this what's happening, what I'm buying, why. Link's in the comments if you want in.

12,000 chemicals are allowed in American food. The companies that make them decided they were safe. Not the FDA. Not an independent lab. The companies selling the chemicals to food manufacturers ran their own safety reviews and approved themselves. There's a loophole called GRAS. "Generally Recognized as Safe." It lets manufacturers self-certify their own ingredients. The FDA doesn't have to review them. Doesn't have to know they exist. One ingredient, tara flour, was self-certified and added to protein bars. It caused an outbreak of liver injuries. People were hospitalized. The FDA didn't pull it for two years. Aloe vera extracts linked to cancer were found in over 450 products. Mushroom extracts never reported to the FDA appeared in 428 products. A CNN investigation found 49 chemicals added to the food supply without any government review at all. The EU has banned over 1,300 food additives. The US has banned 8 since 2000. And now the entire food supply chain is repricing. The US Health Secretary called seed oils "one of the most unhealthy ingredients in foods." 28% of consumers are actively avoiding them now. Sales of seed-oil-free products surged 216% in a single year. Frozen food companies are switching to beef tallow. Chip brands are reformulating with avocado oil. Restaurant chains are replacing their fryer oil. Soybean growers are in panic mode. Trans fat removal in 2018 triggered a $4.5 billion reformulation wave. Seed oils are in roughly 60% of all packaged food. This wave could be multiples bigger. Bunge Global (BG) and Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) process most vegetable oils in America. They look like losers at first glance. But they also process olive oil, avocado oil, coconut oil, and specialty fats. If demand shifts from soybean to premium oils, the infrastructure doesn't change. The margins improve because premium oils sell at 3-5x the price of commodity soy. Clean-label brands already positioned for this are seeing explosive growth. Primal Kitchen was acquired by Kraft Heinz for $200 million. RXBAR sold to Kellogg for $600 million. Both before the trend went mainstream. The next wave of acquisitions could be significantly larger. International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF) and Givaudan (GIVN) develop the flavor systems that make reformulated food taste right. When you strip seed oils from a chip or a frozen meal, the taste changes. These companies fix that problem. Every reformulation needs them. I do a free webinar every week breaking down plays like this what's happening, what I'm buying, why. Link's in the comments if you want in.

Two Boeing whistleblowers died within two months of each other. The first was found with a bullet in his head. It was the night before his third day of testimony against the company. The second was 45 years old and healthy. Dead from a sudden infection. A third told Congress he fears for his life. Boeing has faced 32 whistleblower complaints since 2020. A quality inspector said their supplier was shipping fuselages with up to 200 defects each. In January 2024, a door plug blew off a 737 MAX at 16,000 feet. The seat next to the hole happened to be empty. That's the only reason nobody died. In 2018 and 2019, two MAX crashes killed 346 people. Boeing knew about the software flaw. Internal emails showed employees calling the plane "designed by clowns, supervised by monkeys." Boeing pleaded guilty to conspiracy to defraud the United States. A judge rejected the plea deal as insufficient. Their stock is still in the Dow Jones. Two companies on earth build large commercial aircraft. One of them is European with an 8-year backlog. Airlines that cancel Boeing orders have nowhere else to go. That duopoly is so entrenched that dead whistleblowers and criminal fraud can't break it. I'm not in Boeing. I'm in the companies that profit from Boeing's failure. When Boeing can't deliver planes on schedule, airlines keep flying older aircraft longer. Older planes need more maintenance and more replacement parts. HEICO (HEI) makes FAA-approved replacement parts for virtually every aircraft component. 70% gross margins. 25% annual compounding for two decades straight. Every year Boeing delays a delivery, HEICO sells more parts to airlines waiting for planes that aren't coming. TransDigm (TDG) is the same model. Sole-source supplier on critical aerospace parts. 45% operating margins. Up 1,500% in 15 years. When the global fleet ages because new planes aren't being built fast enough, TransDigm's aftermarket revenue accelerates. The airline operators themselves are benefiting too. United, Delta, and Southwest can charge whatever they want because they physically can't add capacity. Higher fares with constrained supply is the best operating environment airlines have had in decades. Every Boeing failure prints money for the companies circling the wreckage. I do a free webinar every week breaking down plays like this what's happening, what I'm buying, why. Link's in the comments if you want in.

Investors don’t realize gold ALWAYS crashes during an oil-driven crisis. It happened in all major oil shock in the last 50 years - 1973, 1979, 1991, 2001, and 2022. In this thread, I'll break down exactly why it happens and what institutions expect happens next: