Farshad Ghodoosi

The Blockade of the Blockade If the greatest pressure on the American government comes from the low amount of oil on the market, then another blockade would tend to push prices even higher and could become catastrophic if the other strait is closed or if there is a new attack on Saudi facilities. It’s like a wrestler suffering a leg lock who then applies another lock on the same leg, but higher up, aiming to decrease the pain of the first lock. The idea that Iran will stop exporting oil and have its economy collapse is real, but not in the short term. Meanwhile, the political and economic pressure on Trump, who faces elections this year, tends to intensify in the short term. This is not a war that Iran did not expect. On the contrary, it prepared for it and certainly has lines of credit with the Chinese. Moreover, in the face of any blockade, it can continue to maintain basic commercial flows through the Iran-Asia railway. This is a military and diplomatic war for professionals, not for amateurs.

It’s called the Persian Gulf.

شاید یکی از تاثیرات بلند مدت محاصره دریایی ایران و بسته شدن‌ تنگه هرمز، باز شدن جدی آن مرز در آن باریکه باشد. 👇🏼

Beyond pathetic

I’m sure the finance professor is well qualified to discuss nuclear proliferation .

I am getting questions about whether Trump's threats alone are illegal. The answer is yes. 1. Additional Protocol I states “Acts or threats of violence the primary purpose of which is to spread terror among the civilian population are prohibited.” (also DOD LOW Manual §5.2.2) 1/

For years , we warned that without diplomacy war will be inevitable. We were smeared and attacked as fear mongers and “regime lobbyists.” Now that war already started and Trump has threatened to escalate tonight - the very same people who attacked us are saying “oh I didn’t want this to happen… I didn’t play any role in this.”