Keith

PGA 4 piece

The Baby GOAT's got us today🍼🐐 Bronny James over 0.5 Points (-110 HR / -113 DK | 1.1 units) 🪜 5+ PTS (+850 HR | 0.1 units) ❤️Like if you're tailing Baby GOAT today💰 If you watched the lab stream, this read is similar to my Gabe Vincent analysis, which is that no player getting minutes should get a line this low. I’ll give you the 3 ways this game will go for Bronny: 1) Bronny plays 1-2 five-minute stints. He will come in at the beginning of the 2nd quarter and play until about 7-8 minutes left. In Game 3, Bronny came back out in the 4th and played about 5 minutes. I assume that will happen again today. Rockets have been leaving Bronny open, which means he should get either a cut to the basket in transition, wide open, or get a good look from three. We're just asking for 2-3 wide open FGA 2) This game could be a massive blowout, so Bronny will play the last 4-5 minutes with the scrubs on the court as well. 3) Reaves is active, and Bronny doesn’t play a single minute. If that happens, we get our money back There are so many outcomes, Bronny either gets a basket or doesn’t, while there are very few times he plays and doesn’t score. When Bronny plays between 4-10 minutes, he’s over this line in 7/L10 games, only missing in games where he didn’t attempt an FGA. The common theme among all those games is that they were at home. For whatever reason, Bronny is scared to shoot at home. Maybe it's because of the fans or the amount of lowlights that get shared from him in LA, but he's so much more agressive on the road. He’s taking nearly 33% LESS FGA at home per minute than on the road. In his last 8 road games, he has 4+ points in ALL 8 GAMES, averaging 6.3 PPG. Rockets will run a 6-man rotation today and be gassed. I could easily see Bronny get an opportunity in transition or a wide-open three pass from his Dad. For these odds, I can’t pass this up.