tae kim

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tae kim

tae kim

@firstadopter

"Key Context" Substack covering Nvidia/AI. Reached #1 new bestseller in first 24 hrs Subscribe https://t.co/3N2fHOYo5j Priors: Barron's, Bloomberg Opinion

Katılım Ekim 2008
10.4K Takip Edilen89.7K Takipçiler
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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
Big news. I’m now FULLY independent. First, I’ve started work on my next book. I’m not revealing the topic yet, but I’m INCREDIBLY excited about it. Second, my new Substack “Key Context by Tae Kim” LAUNCHES TODAY at taekim.substack.com. It will cover Nvidia, AI and tech with my trademark tell-it-like-it-is sharp analysis and commentary. I’ll also be at Nvidia’s GTC conference next month delivering exclusive, on-the-ground reporting. For a limited time, there is a GRAND OPENING DEAL: 60% off for the first 2,000 subscribers. After the 2,000 slots are filled, the price will double, so lock in the rate fast. Subscribe here: taekim.substack.com
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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
Andrew Ross Sorkin's interview with Ryan Cohen on CNBC this morning wins the award for most awkward interview ever 🤣 $GME
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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
Bernstein: "Total semiconductor sales grew 88.1% YoY in March after rising 87.7% in February. Memory sales almost quadrupled YoY (up 271.1%)"
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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
BofA says GTA 6 will likely come out at $80: "What we heard leads us to believe GTA 6 will cost $80, rather than our previously assumed $70 per unit." $TTWO
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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
In the alternate universe of no Iran war, the S&P 500 would be 15% higher. 30% higher with no tariffs. I may be understating it. That's the infuriating thing. If Trump just pursued deregulation and let the AI innovation wave do its thing without tariffs or the Iran war, we would be so much better off. Never mind that it would have obviously meant lower prices all around for U.S. consumers too.
tae kim@firstadopter

Morgan Stanley: "1Q EPS surprise for the median S&P 500 stock is 6%, the strongest it has been in 4 years, and S&P 500 median stock earnings growth is 16% (2x the trailing 4Q average)."

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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
Government bureaucracy is silly. "Google does face a big challenge, DealBook understands: Some of its A.I. processing chips, known as TPUs, can’t be used in some classified contexts. Anthropic became an easy option for the government because its models largely run on Amazon Web Services, Amazon’s cloud computing platform, which has spent billions to achieve so-called Impact Level 6 security certifications. The government is seeking ways to help accelerate similar clearance for Google TPUs."
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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
Morgan Stanley: "1Q EPS surprise for the median S&P 500 stock is 6%, the strongest it has been in 4 years, and S&P 500 median stock earnings growth is 16% (2x the trailing 4Q average)."
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tae kim@firstadopter·
@Molson_Hart what are the 3% state tax states you like?
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molson 🧠⚙️
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart·
Let me explain Dallas(s) 1. The summers are unbearable and this cannot be understood without moving there. You can't just visit Texas for 3 weeks in peak summer and understand it, because that's not why it's bad. It's bad because it's late October and it's 90+ and you're questioning your sanity as to whether not it will ever end. 2. Dallas' culture, superficially seems good, but once you dig down... 3. Dallas living is about the airport. You save money in Dallas and then fly out all the time because being in Dallas is rough. Airline travel in the US has declined a lot, so this way of life works less well. 4. The driving. It's dangerous. You need a tank and you're going to be sitting in it all the time. Dallas sort of seems like a city but it's not really. It's more like an area. 5. You can trade 3% state income tax for better weather, more trees, and fewer problems. I think Dallas is a solid place to live in a bigger house with A/C and grind for money aggressively for a short period of time and then move out of. Other than that, unless you are tied down there (job, family), I can't recommend it.
Amy Nixon@texasrunnerDFW

I am astounded by the number of millennial families who moved to Dallas, bought a home, then turned around and sold the home to move out of Dallas, in less than a 5 year time span Is Dallas just super transient or is this a post-pandemic phenomenon happening everywhere?

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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
What if, hypothetically .. hear me out .. there was a developed capitalist democracy with a plethora of companies trading at single-digit P/E multiples, incredible growth rates, and U.S. retail investors just recently gaining access to the country?
HH@RealHerbHoover

I’ve seen no less than 7 tweets tonight pumping random global microcap semi conductor adjacent companies. Never seen anything like this in terms of the mania extending to foreign markets. Speculators are getting less and less sophisticated.

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tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
Manseh!
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tae kim@firstadopter·
oh.
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tae kim@firstadopter·
For the last few months, and even last week, the consensus narrative was that Anthropic was running away with it and OpenAI was dead. I was one of the VERY few people who said that was wrong idea and as OpenAI trained new models on newer advanced Nvidia GPUs, they would bounce back strong. I was right. GPT-5.5 is a big hit with devs. It's a race again. The game is back on.
tae kim@firstadopter

OpenAI is back, folks. Told ya! Note: Anything written by @JordanNanos 's team kicks ass. "First we have to highlight GPT-5.5 from OpenAI. In our view, GPT-5.5 is now materially better at some tasks than all other models. We believe that GPT-5.5 has arrived at the frontier. This is a huge change from November when Opus 4.5 was released." "GPT-5.5 is now integrated in our daily work." "many people have been accusing Anthropic of intentionally degrading the 4.6 model on the lead up to the 4.7 release. Anthropic has categorically denied these claims, but multiple engineers at SemiAnalysis independently said that over the last few weeks the changes in 4.6 performance have made them “feel a little schizo”. And of course, they were right." 🤣 "SemiAnalysis is famous (infamous?) for shilling Claude, and we’ve been testing GPT-5.5 as part of an alpha program with OpenAI the past few weeks." "Now, most of our engineers switch between Codex and Claude models depending on the task and IDE preference."

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Aidan Clark
Aidan Clark@_aidan_clark_·
@DanielleFong Idk what exactly happened, but about half a year ago the quality of the information's articles dropped notably. We've seen a few that are just factually incorrect, and many more with extremely lame/wrong narratives. Seems like the quality of their sourcing has gone down a lot.
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