Karl Franzhammer

6K posts

Karl Franzhammer

Karl Franzhammer

@floro77

Katılım Haziran 2010
105 Takip Edilen46 Takipçiler
Arno Gottschalk
Arno Gottschalk@ArnoGottschalk·
Mit dem Vorsitzenden des Verteidigungsausschusses, Thomas Röwekamp @TR_Bremen , habe ich schon zu seinen Bremer Zeiten gerne die Klinge gekreuzt. Nachfolgend mein Gegenkommentar zu seinem Gastbeitrag auf einem Bremer Blog: Der Beitrag von Thomas Röwekamp zeichnet das Bild einer sicherheitspolitischen Zwangslage. Dieses Bild hält einer genaueren Prüfung nicht stand. ➡️Erstens: Die militärische Ausgangslage spricht gegen die Dramatisierung. Die europäischen NATO-Staaten inkl. der Türkei verfügen bereits heute über weitaus mehr Soldaten als Russland – und diese stehen überwiegend in Europa, während Russland, das geografisch größte Land der Erde, seine Kräfte auf mehrere strategische Räume verteilen muss. Noch deutlicher wird das Bild bei den schweren Waffensystemen: In zentralen Bereichen liegt die Überlegenheit klar bei der NATO. Wer unter diesen Bedingungen eine strukturelle Bedrohungslage behauptet, muss erklären, worin diese konkret bestehen soll. ➡️Zweitens: Für Abschreckung reicht das bestehende Niveau – die Zielsetzung verschiebt sich aber. Richtig ist: Ein ausreichendes Maß an Verteidigungsfähigkeit ist notwendig. Aber genau dieses Maß ist längst erreicht. Für die klassische Abschreckung ist die NATO heute bereits stark genug. Was sich verändert, ist nicht die Lage – sondern das Ziel. Die Debatte verschiebt sich hin zur „Kriegstüchtigkeit“, also zur Fähigkeit, einen Krieg nicht nur abzuschrecken, sondern ihn tatsächlich zu führen. Und die offenherzige Zuspitzung dieser Logik lautet: ihn auch zu gewinnen. Genau diese Zuspitzung – „Siegfähigkeit“ – hat @ClaudMajor – als eine der medial prägenden Stimmen der aktuellen Aufrüstungsdebatte – jüngst in einem Vortrag im Haus der Bremischen Bürgerschaft formuliert. Damit wird deutlich: Es geht nicht mehr nur um Verteidigung, sondern um militärische Durchsetzungsfähigkeit. Das ist eine gefährliche strategische Neubestimmung – und genau diese wird im Ausgangstext ausgeblendet. Dazu passt, dass die Bundeswehr ihre neue Militärstrategie anders als früher geheim halten will. ➡️Drittens: Europa rüstet nicht nur gegen außen – sondern auch nach innen auf. Parallel dazu entsteht ein Wettbewerb innerhalb der europäischen NATO. Deutschland formuliert zunehmend den Anspruch, zur stärksten konventionellen Militärmacht Europas zu werden. Das ist nicht mehr nur Bündnispolitik, sondern auch Machtpolitik innerhalb Europas: wirtschaftliche Führungsrolle ergänzt um militärische Führungsfähigkeit. Auch das ist eine politische Entscheidung – keine sicherheitspolitische Notwendigkeit. ➡️Viertens: Die ökonomische Argumentation ist irreführend. Ja, Bremen sollte darauf achten, dass Mittel aus dem Verteidigungshaushalt nicht ausschließlich in andere Regionen und vornehmlich nach Bayern fließen. Industriepolitik gehört dazu. Aber daraus folgt nicht, dass der Rüstungssektor ein Zukunftsmarkt für die deutsche Volkswirtschaft ist. Im Gegenteil: * Militärausgaben sind ökonomisch überwiegend konsumtiv – sie schaffen keine produktive Basis für künftiges Wachstum. * Die entscheidenden Wettbewerbe der Zukunft – etwa mit China – werden in Industrie, Technologie, Energie und Infrastruktur entschieden, nicht auf dem Rüstungsmarkt. * Eine übermäßige Verschiebung von Ressourcen in militärische Zwecke schwächt langfristig die zivile Innovations- und Investitionsfähigkeit. Historisch ist genau das der Kern dessen, was man als „Totrüsten“ bezeichnet: Eine Volkswirtschaft überdehnt ihre Ressourcen im militärischen Bereich – und untergräbt damit ihre eigene wirtschaftliche und gesellschaftliche Stärke. ➡️Fünftens: Der Eingriff in die Gesellschaft wird verharmlost. Der Vorschlag, die doppelte Freiwilligkeit bei Reserveübungen abzuschaffen, ist kein technisches Detail. Er bedeutet mehr staatlichen Zugriff auf Arbeitsverhältnisse und betriebliche Abläufe – also eine konkrete Einschränkung unternehmerischer Dispositionsfreiheit und individueller Entscheidungsrechte. Das ist ein qualitativer Eingriff in das Verhältnis von Staat, Wirtschaft und Beschäftigten – und damit eine politische Weichenstellung, die offen begründet und demokratisch legitimiert werden muss. Fazit: Nicht eine militärische Unterlegenheit treibt diese Entwicklung. Sondern eine politische Verschiebung: weg von Abschreckung – hin zur Fähigkeit, Krieg zu führen und zu gewinnen. Die eigentliche Frage lautet daher: Warum diese Verschiebung erfolgt – und wohin sie führt. bremensogesehen.com/20260503-gastk…
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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@havivrettiggur Yes these people are a moral stain, never said otherwise. However we won't see many progressive governments in the West in the next few decades, will we. And it still doesn't explain why Israel is embracing the far right, which contains plenty of actual Nazis ?
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Haviv Rettig Gur
Haviv Rettig Gur@havivrettiggur·
@floro77 Find me the progressive who will say that the vast crimes committed by Muslims in Islam's name on the other side of the world make Islamophobia in the West inevitable. Find me one.
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Haviv Rettig Gur
Haviv Rettig Gur@havivrettiggur·
There is no depth the Democratic Party won’t plumb in this moment to appease the bigots. A party that doesn’t know what it is, what it wants, what’s worth defending and how to defend those things. So it caves at every turn. And Jews are always somehow a centerpiece of each new radical movement it chooses to cave to. In your angry retort, please be sure to reference your candidate who sported a tattoo celebrating death camp SS murderers for 20 years. Please don’t forget that part.
Lucythegreat@lucythegreat123

The Graham Platner tattoo controversy is not about youthful mistakes. It is about the specificity of the Totenkopf. This is not the widely recognized swastika, it is the specific insignia of the SS units that ran the Nazi death camps. This is the symbol of the executioners. This is the symbol of the men that murdered 10 million men, women, and children. These men murdered the babies. For a self proclaimed military history enthusiast to wear the literal badge of Holocaust executioners for 20 years shows a level of understanding and admiration that cannot be explained away. People tattoo on their body WHO THEY ARE and WHAT THEY LOVE. The Democrats are so desperate to flip a Maine Senate seat that they have abandoned every moral red line they once claimed to hold. They have proven that winning at any cost is their only conviction and the Holocaust is just a cheap political prop to be weaponized only against their opponents. This is not just a betrayal of their voters. It is a total moral collapse.

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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@havivrettiggur The SS fanboy should get a single vote, is that what you want to hear ? There you go, it's pretty meaningless coming from me. They also shouldn't have that Muslim guy running in Michigan, he ain't a good one either. What the Israel does carries weight though. they use it.
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Haviv Rettig Gur
Haviv Rettig Gur@havivrettiggur·
@floro77 You're being silly. "You guys." Like I'm Bibi. Like I represent some uniform "Israel." Just be honest with yourself and your little prejudices. Say something about Democrats without adding, hedging or caveating -- without mitigating. That's what the conversation was about.
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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@havivrettiggur And i'm pissed off at you guys, because now they get to campaign with "see we aren't Nazis the Israelis like us".
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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@havivrettiggur Again it seems hard to convince people that Antisemitism and Nazis are bad, when the outrage seems mostly politically motivated. Progressive Nazi assholes in the US are outrageous and immoral. Right wing European ones get a public appearance with the Israeli PM.
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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@havivrettiggur Political parties in the US are weak and D primary voters are antizionist to the point of antisemitism i would assume. But it's hard to take the outrage seriously when your PM meets high ranking members of the Austrian FPÖ in Jerusalem. Lots of those guys are literal Nazis.
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Haviv Rettig Gur
Haviv Rettig Gur@havivrettiggur·
@floro77 Give an example. “Should have disqualified him” isn’t enough. What do we learn from the fact that it didn’t?
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dena khalafallah
dena khalafallah@DenaKhalafallah·
hey so the next time we’re at parties where a full-time employed c!s white person says “our joy is resistance” or whatever can the rest of us agree to blurt out “your white joy is apathy though” in response?
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taoki
taoki@justalexoki·
this is such an insane thing to have to do in a civilized society. what the hell happened to the uk
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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@dilanesper I mean some people in Europe use night trains, but mostly you do the 3-4h rides & hop off in the center of the city. Why would you want to do 8-10 train rides, when you can do a 2h flight ?
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Dilan Esper
Dilan Esper@dilanesper·
fun fact: they are actually only 300 miles apart (315 by rail) That may seem like nothing but one reason the high speed rail movement is bad is they refuse to limit themselves to 3 hour trains, 315 mile trains. They want longer routes where flying is better.
Hayden@the_transit_guy

While domestic airlines gouge passengers, in Spain you can go 400 miles (the distance between SF/LA, Chicago/Minneapolis, or DC/Charlotte) in 3 hours for just $73. We’ll do anything but provide rail service to this country.

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Congressman Brendan Boyle
Congressman Brendan Boyle@RepBrendanBoyle·
Wrong. The single most significant event since Christ has been the American Revolution. We are by no means a perfect country. But the ideals set forth in the Declaration of Independence were radical for their time and still are today.
Marco Foster@MarcoFoster_

Hasan Piker: “America is, in its foundation, a white supremacist country. This is very frustrating for Republicans to hear, this is even frustrating for liberals to hear sometimes, but it’s just the truth”

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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@havivrettiggur Mullahs bad is not an argument for war though, if you can't achieve any of your strategic goals with the tools you have. And you are smart enough to see that this war is going horribly and the US is flailing.
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Haviv Rettig Gur
Haviv Rettig Gur@havivrettiggur·
The argument against the JCPOA boosters in a nutshell. Every word.
Kian Tajbakhsh@k_tajbakhsh

Your references to “fundamentally different data sets” and “parallel reality” @StrickerNonpro are precisely what prompts me to reply. I think you are overstating the clarity of the case. The JCPOA was never the magic solution some now suggest. It had benefits, but also serious risks, sunset clauses, and strategic consequences that unfolded over time. Even Obama acknowledged the sunset problem: once advanced centrifuges came into play, "in year 13, 14, 15...breakout times would have shrunk almost down to zero" (NPR April 2015). That alone should make us more modest about claiming that one side saw reality while the other lived in fantasy. The deeper flaw in much pro-JCPOA analysis is that it is static. It judges the deal as if its consequences were frozen in 2015. They were not. Over the next eight years — and especially after October 7 — the costs became clearer: the nuclear file had been artificially separated from the regime’s broader system of coercion: missiles, drones, proxies, hostage-taking, maritime threats, regional intimidation, and domestic repression. As I argued in Iran Crisis Notebook #2: The Layered Roots of the Current War, bit.ly/4w3TY4y this war did not begin with the United States or Israel. It began in 1979, when the Islamic Republic launched its revolutionary war against America, Israel, the liberal West, and its own people. The current confrontation is not a war Washington or Jerusalem started; it is their effort to finish a war the regime began and has sustained for 47 years. And on “parallel reality”: I lived and worked in Iran for more than a decade, then spent more than a year in Evin prison, including eight months in IRGC solitary confinement, as a political prisoner and U.S. hostage. I was interrogated for years by senior IRGC officers. I know what a parallel reality looks like. It is the worldview of the Islamic Republic itself: every deal is treated as a tactical instrument in a zero-sum struggle to preserve revolutionary power, in which it is the entire rest of the world that is driving the wrong direction on the highway (to use a Persian joke). The idea that remaining in the JCPOA would have strengthened “pragmatic elements” and pushed Iran in a more moderate direction is, in my view, the real illusion. After the Green Movement was crushed in 2009, genuine reformist politics inside Iran was systematically destroyed. Leaders were imprisoned or exiled. Reformist parties were banned. Newspapers were shut down. I was in prison with some of those people. So yes, data sets matter. But assumptions matter more. And the assumption that the Islamic Republic was gradually moderating is one I simply do not recognize — not from lived experience, not from research, and not from the regime’s own conduct. If there is a parallel reality here, it is the belief that a revolutionary regime built on hostage-taking, repression, proxy warfare, and anti-Western struggle was quietly evolving toward moderation because of a nuclear bargain.

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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@whignewtons @GeorgeWill Well a conservative agreeing with another conservative that the conservative court is good is ... not surprising. But not my monkeys, not my circus.
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Sarah Isgur
Sarah Isgur@whignewtons·
Thanks for the shout out @GeorgeWill and for a spot on write up of the actual history and language of the VRA.
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Karl Franzhammer
Karl Franzhammer@floro77·
@noam_dworman Again the Palestinians don't have to accept anything to have a right to their State, same as Israelis had a right to their State no matter what the Arabs thought. And that still leaves the fact that Israelis are stealing territory and abusing occupied Palestinians.
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Noam Dworman
Noam Dworman@noam_dworman·
@floro77 Send me a link to the terms the "other state" would accept or has offered to accept in the last 25 years.
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Noam Dworman
Noam Dworman@noam_dworman·
I already answered this elsewhere. I'll add: There are countless "ethnostates." The very notion of self-determination of peoples implies ethnicity. What is Japan? Egypt? Armenia? Do people yell "ethnostate" when the Kurds seek their own nation? It's absurd.
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mbotu@brandon75355213

@ViceLitty @noam_dworman you don't see the double standard ?

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John Aziz
John Aziz@aziz0nomics·
If they actually cared about affordability and the cost of living, why did they nominate a guy with a Nazi tattoo to campaign about affordability and the cost of living? It doesn't add up.
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