Samatalis Haille, MA LPCC
16.6K posts

Samatalis Haille, MA LPCC
@foritssake
Researcher, speaker, & writer of Somalia’s security, clan politics, ideologies, Also practicing Licensed professional clinical counselor in MN.






The Federal Government of Somalia has deployed the elite Gorgor forces, trained by the Government of Turkeye, from their bases in Mogadishu to various regions in order to intensify operations against Al-Shabaab. This move is aimed at strengthening national security and stability, coming just days after government forces reached the strategic city of Baidoa.

President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is celebrating in Baidoa what is being presented as a victory, but in reality, it conceals a profound failure of statehood and leadership. The facts point in the opposite direction: 1.He celebrates after deploying the national army and allied militias to remove the South West administration, forces that, just four years ago, were engaged in fighting against Al-Shabaab. This is not state building; it is the dangerous redirection and politicization of national security forces. 2.He celebrates replacing district, regional, and state leadership of South West State through decree-based appointments an explicit undermining of federalism and local legitimacy. 3.He celebrates a country now operating under two constitutions, an indication of deep constitutional disorder. 4.He celebrates with only 42 days remaining in the mandate of constitutional institutions, while no credible, agreed electoral framework exists pushing the country toward a constitutional vacuum and potential political crisis. 5.He celebrates despite clear warning signs that financial, diplomatic, and military support may not continue beyond his term especially in the absence of a political agreement to manage the transition. 6.He celebrates as his transactional, deal-based political model collapses, leaving no coherent vision, strategy, or roadmap for governance. 7.He celebrates while citizens face a worsening reality: rising cost of living, surging food and fuel prices, and a severe drought devastating livelihoods with an inadequate national response. This is not a moment of achievement—it is a moment of dangerous denial. What is being framed as success is, in truth, a convergence of warning signs: the erosion of federalism, the weakening of constitutional order, the politicization of state institutions, and growing economic and humanitarian distress. If this course continues, Somalia risks sliding into deeper instability marked by institutional breakdown, economic strain, and a political crisis that could surpass the difficulties the country has already endured.


Dhaqdhaqaaqa @teamgurmad oo ay ku midaysan yihiin aqoonyahan Soomaaliyeed oo si dhammaystiran uga hadlay Dastuurka JFS. #Somalia





