Frank Wan

67 posts

Frank Wan

Frank Wan

@frankwan

Finance @Gensynai | Prev @Offchain / @arbitrum, PE/IB

Katılım Ekim 2013
676 Takip Edilen282 Takipçiler
Frank Wan retweetledi
Delphi
Delphi@Delphi_fyi·
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Ben Fielding
Ben Fielding@benfielding·
the biggest bottleneck to AI scaling isn’t compute any more, it’s information few understand
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Frank Wan
Frank Wan@frankwan·
Block increased its share buyback program by $5B in Nov 2025. A strategic capital allocation shift ahead of a larger reset... If other big tech names start expanding buybacks, pay attention. 🧐
jack@jack

we're making @blocks smaller today. here's my note to the company. #### today we're making one of the hardest decisions in the history of our company: we're reducing our organization by nearly half, from over 10,000 people to just under 6,000. that means over 4,000 of you are being asked to leave or entering into consultation. i'll be straight about what's happening, why, and what it means for everyone. first off, if you're one of the people affected, you'll receive your salary for 20 weeks + 1 week per year of tenure, equity vested through the end of may, 6 months of health care, your corporate devices, and $5,000 to put toward whatever you need to help you in this transition (if you’re outside the U.S. you’ll receive similar support but exact details are going to vary based on local requirements). i want you to know that before anything else. everyone will be notified today, whether you're being asked to leave, entering consultation, or asked to stay. we're not making this decision because we're in trouble. our business is strong. gross profit continues to grow, we continue to serve more and more customers, and profitability is improving. but something has changed. we're already seeing that the intelligence tools we’re creating and using, paired with smaller and flatter teams, are enabling a new way of working which fundamentally changes what it means to build and run a company. and that's accelerating rapidly. i had two options: cut gradually over months or years as this shift plays out, or be honest about where we are and act on it now. i chose the latter. repeated rounds of cuts are destructive to morale, to focus, and to the trust that customers and shareholders place in our ability to lead. i'd rather take a hard, clear action now and build from a position we believe in than manage a slow reduction of people toward the same outcome. a smaller company also gives us the space to grow our business the right way, on our own terms, instead of constantly reacting to market pressures. a decision at this scale carries risk. but so does standing still. we've done a full review to determine the roles and people we require to reliably grow the business from here, and we've pressure-tested those decisions from multiple angles. i accept that we may have gotten some of them wrong, and we've built in flexibility to account for that, and do the right thing for our customers. we're not going to just disappear people from slack and email and pretend they were never here. communication channels will stay open through thursday evening (pacific) so everyone can say goodbye properly, and share whatever you wish. i'll also be hosting a live video session to thank everyone at 3:35pm pacific. i know doing it this way might feel awkward. i'd rather it feel awkward and human than efficient and cold. to those of you leaving…i’m grateful for you, and i’m sorry to put you through this. you built what this company is today. that's a fact that i'll honor forever. this decision is not a reflection of what you contributed. you will be a great contributor to any organization going forward. to those staying…i made this decision, and i'll own it. what i'm asking of you is to build with me. we're going to build this company with intelligence at the core of everything we do. how we work, how we create, how we serve our customers. our customers will feel this shift too, and we're going to help them navigate it: towards a future where they can build their own features directly, composed of our capabilities and served through our interfaces. that's what i'm focused on now. expect a note from me tomorrow. jack

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Frank Wan
Frank Wan@frankwan·
@pitdesi In fairness to Square, they acquired Afterpay with 100% stock and Bill acquired Divvy with 75% stock so not fully comparable
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Sheel Mohnot
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi·
Browser Company acquisition by Atlassian for $600M in cash was well timed! Who else is in the market timing hall of fame? Afterpay/Square (acquired for $29B when Square was worth $130B, now worth $31B) Divvy/Bill (acquired for $2.5B when Bill was worth $15B, now worth $4B)
Sheel Mohnot tweet media
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Frank Wan
Frank Wan@frankwan·
The OP → Base grant (~$185M at agreement) is a useful case study in ecosystem capital allocation ~47% vested (~$71M notional at vest) ~53% remaining (~$11M at current prices) ~$190M of lifetime revenue, ~$29M paid to the Superchain in revenue share The broader point isn’t about any one protocol. It’s that crypto as an industry needs to start underwriting token incentives through a true ROI lens. • What incremental revenue was created? • What durable value accrued to token holders? • What would have happened absent the grant? As traditional financial institutions enter crypto, capital allocation discipline becomes mandatory. Protocols that treat token grants as marketing spend will struggle. Protocols that view them as long-duration investments will have a better shot at surviving. The industry is maturing. Incentive design needs to mature with it.
zoomer@zoomerfied

[ ZOOMER ] COINBASE'S BASE NETWORK MOVES AWAY FROM OPTIMISM STACK TO CREATE THEIR OWN: BLOG

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Frank Wan
Frank Wan@frankwan·
Order-book prediction markets fall apart when liquidity dries up. Odds get messy fast. LMSR fixes that: one cost function, always-on liquidity, coherent probabilities, predictable slippage, machine resolution. Delphi is the next evolution of what prediction markets should look like when you design them for information, not order flow.
gensyn@gensynai

Delphi runs a fully on‑chain automated market maker (AMM) for prediction markets, using the Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR). Unlike other prediction markets based on order books, LMSR guarantees continuous liquidity. Learn more: blog.gensyn.ai/lmsr-logarithm…

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Frank Wan
Frank Wan@frankwan·
I think the problem with these debates right now is that many people take a one sided view of ETH. Is it money? Is it a dcf business? Is it a commodity? I think ultimately ETH is somewhere in the middle of it all. When you strip ETH down to its cores demand properties, people buy it because (I) it’s a yielding asset (dcf valuation), (ii) people think it’s a store of value (money type valuation) and (iii) it’s needed to access block space (transaction demand). When looking at it as a yielding asset, eth its over valued. When looking at ETH as digital money, it’s under valued. When you blend these components and weight them based on how the market behaves now vs the future, you get closer to reality. As demand drivers change, so should your weighting. ETH is a sum-of-the-parts asset — not a single model asset.
Santiago R Santos@santiagoroel

Most of you wouldn’t make it past the first-round interview at a major investment bank, let alone PE or a hedge fund. You punted some crypto in a bull market, made a bag, and now think you’re a genius. You were mostly lucky What’s wrong with his argument? Oh, checks notes… JPMorgan generated $178B in net revenue and $57B in net income on $2.5T of deposits. He probably thought he was making a stronger point by dismissing my MAUs benchmarking of tech companies crypto tries to emulate on network effects to justify absurd valuations. And when that doesn’t stick, they pivot to TradFi to see if those multiples magically make crypto make sense. “Bro, crypto is growing faster. The market pays for growth, not value” On what metric? - Active users? No - TVL? Mostly stablecoins The lazy “TAM is huge” analysis collapses in the absence of monetization (and increasing infra competition). Once you actually look at protocol-level metrics, you see: - High user churn - Weak monetization - TVL growth that doesn’t translate into real economics for L1s JPMorgan monetizes its deposits. Crypto L1s? Nowhere close to monetizing near the value they’re implicitly claiming. And yes, maybe this kind of logic flies when you’re doing early-stage venture. But Ethereum at $380B or Solana at $80B isn’t early-stage and it isn’t exactly venture These are mature-stage valuations being justified with seed-stage reasoning No matter how you slice the math, valuations don’t make sense for most protocols at this point - especially L1s It’s lazy analysis, sexy but constantly evolving narratives on analogies layered on top of bag bias over and over again

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