Redact

354 posts

Redact

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@full_redact

Current focus on AI, Trading (mostly crypto), and self-improvement with real practical ideas, not over-hype BS.

Katılım Mart 2020
66 Takip Edilen24 Takipçiler
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Unity Academy
Unity Academy@UnityAcademy·
Volume 43: April Monthly Report • Over 1,187% in unleveraged profits • 149 / 211 successful trades • 71.50% overall success rate • Total RR of +180.22 📈 All called live. All tracked publicly. No hindsight. No BS. Special mention to @neilarora16 95.83% win rate in April. Ridiculous. 4 years of building the right way. No.1 for a reason. ✍️
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Redact@full_redact·
@Sherlockwhale Appreciate the amount of data analysis you put into these trends. Always learn something.
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Sherlock | DeFi Researcher
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale·
Bitcoin's complete playbook for next week. I have tested every level against 450 weeks of data. This week is closing around $76,000 which is a 7.2% gain from Monday's open. But the high was $78,333 on Friday and Saturday gave most of it back with a 1.79% dump and Sunday only recovered half of that. The weekly candle is closing at 70% of its range which means price is not closing near the highs where you want to see strength, it is closing in the upper half but with a clear rejection wick above. That matters for next week because a weekly close at 70% of range after breaking a prior week's high has historically been followed by a red week 62% of the time. Not a guaranteed sell but worth knowing before you go all in on Monday. Here is what the data says about next week based on where Monday and Wednesday close. If Monday closes above $79,800 which is 5% above the open, the week has closed green 89.6% of the time historically and since 2021 that number is 95.5%. If Monday closes above $79,116 which is 1% above this week's high of $78,333, that confirms price is not just wicking above resistance but actually holding above it and historically that means the breakout is real. If by Wednesday the week is still up more than 3% from Monday's open, the week closes green 86% of the time across 141 occurrences and if it is up more than 5% by Wednesday that jumps to 91.4% across 93 occurrences. On the bearish side, if Monday closes below $74,480 which is 2% below the open, that confirms the Friday pump was a trap and the Saturday rejection was the real move. If by Wednesday the week is down more than 2%, the week closes red 80% of the time and in the last 3 months specifically that number has been 100%, 5 out of 5 with zero exceptions. And if Monday somehow closes below $69,861 which is 1% below this week's low of $70,567, that is a full sweep of the weekly range and historically the rest of the week bounces green 81.8% of the time. That is the level where you buy, not sell. $79,800. $79,116. $74,480. $69,861. These four numbers are your entire week. Bookmark and check them Monday and Wednesday.
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Redact@full_redact·
@Acyn @grok pull up the image in question, and give me an honest oneline answer if this is complete bullshit or not
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Acyn
Acyn@Acyn·
Reporter: Did you post that picture of yourself depicted as Jesus Christ? Trump: It wasn't a depiction. I did post it and I thought it was me as a doctor. And had to do with red cross as a red cross worker, which we support and only the fake news could come up with that one.
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Redact@full_redact·
@UnityAcademy Best membership value in the scene hands down.
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Unity Academy
Unity Academy@UnityAcademy·
Link dropping for our community first. Premium members check Discord. 👀 The tees are free. Designer quality. On us. Only the best for the best. Are you ready for Unity merch? 🫵
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Sherlock | DeFi Researcher
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale·
What if I told you that Bitcoin's weekly close is already decided by Wednesday night and you can predict it with 85% accuracy? I tested 451 weeks of data since 2017 and found that if Bitcoin has not pushed more than 1% above Monday's opening price by Wednesday night, the weekly candle closes red with 85% accuracy. The chance of this being a random event is only 1 in 100,000. The accuracy increases with every day that passes: Monday close: 61% red Tuesday close: 72% red Wednesday close: 85% red Thursday close: 90% red Each day that passes without bulls breaking above the open, the probability stacks higher against them. The reverse also works. If Bitcoin has not dropped more than 0.5% below Monday's open by Wednesday, there is an 86.5% chance the week closes green. The week is not decided on Friday, it is actually decided on Wednesday and everything after that is just price catching up to what was already determined 3 days earlier. Bookmark this. Use it every week.
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Sherlock | DeFi Researcher
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale·
53K. That is where Bitcoin is going. The 76K wick was indeed the deviation as I predicted. The weekly candle is about to confirm this it by closing below 72.5K most likely. It’s the same structure as 94.5K in January after which price dropped 38%. 53K is not a random number. It is where these most data points converge next and also the next weekly support. I called the 76K rejection weeks ago. I am calling 53K now. Bookmark this.
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher tweet media
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale

Do not get baited. The last time Bitcoin deviated above a major weekly level was 94.5K in January when everyone went long and then price dropped 38% in 5 weeks. With this wick into 76K, the same structure is forming at the 74.5K resistance. If the weekly fails to close above 74.5K, this is a deviation, not a breakout. Also, the January deviation above 94.5K resolved after FOMC held rates and price then dropped to 60K. This week FOMC meets again and the consensus is another pause. A pause is anything but bullish for Bitcoin. Same setup. Same trap. I am not going long here.

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Redact@full_redact·
@Sherlockwhale Super consistent and spot on as always. Short bias until we get to a place that buyers feel they’re getting a discount, and anyone thinking that’s 60k+ is deluding themselves. Understanding if market structure really does make all of this so clear.
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Redact@full_redact·
@Sherlockwhale The biggest delusion people tell themselves is this cycle will be different based on an extremely short sample size.
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Sherlock | DeFi Researcher
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale·
I told you on Feb 17 that $72K-$76K was the kill zone. Not a recovery but a trap. While you are busy buying the bottom, they are selling you the top. BTC rallied to $76K and you all said institutions were back. But nobody told you that short term holders sold 243,000 BTC during this exact rally. While ETFs were "buying," the people who bought between $75K-$80K were actually getting out and you were their exit. Yes, $1.2 billion in ETF inflows over 7 days happened but price couldn't hold $75K for a single day. Think about that. Over a billion dollars of buying pressure and it moved the price nowhere. That money wasn't accumulating, it was simply absorbing the selling pressure from trapped longs cashing out at reduced losses. Every rally into the kill zone will look like this. Inflows up, headlines bullish, price goes nowhere, then drops. The kill zone will continue to work exactly as predicted. You have a choice to wait till October, buy the bottom and get rich or keep acting foolish.
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher tweet media
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale

BTC rallying into $72K-$76K will not a recovery. It’ll be a straight the kill zone. Don’t fall for this trap. Let me explain why. MicroStrategy is holding 714,644 BTC at an average cost basis of $76,052. That is 3.4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist. At $68K, that position is underwater by roughly $5.7 billion. Every push toward $74K-$76K brings 3.4% of total supply closer to breakeven. And breakeven is where the selling starts, not where it stops right? Then there are the spot ETFs with an average between $84K- $90K. The 1.28 million BTC sitting inside these ETFs is deeply underwater. The ETF complex that these permabulls love to talk about has already shed over $6 billion in net outflows since November 2025. They are not buying the “dip”, they are distributing. Also, 63% of all invested Bitcoin wealth has a cost basis above $88,000. The majority of capital that entered during the 2024-2025 cycle is holding losses. When you are 15-25% underwater, any bounce toward your cost basis creates sell to breakeven pressure. That pressure hits hardest in the $72K-$76K zone because it is the first zone where trapped capital starts seeing reduced losses. So, three layers stack in this range. Strategy’s $76K basis, the January breakdown level where $74K acted as support before failing and the price band where the heaviest volume of Q4 2025 accumulation occurred. That makes $72K-$76K one of the densest supply clusters on the chart after $85K-$95K. Now, all big players will be looking to sell into strength. Every rally into this zone will face distribution from trapped capital and you better not chase the CT clowns making you believe this is the bottom.

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Sherlock | DeFi Researcher
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale·
Launched a Forex community under @FOXIANORG We’ve been running our crypto community of 10,000+ members for the past 4 years. Now we’re bringing the same structure to Forex. First 1,000 members to join the community will get the lifetime free access. 400+ spots have already been taken. Also activated a 100% deposit bonus for Forex members. Whatever amount you deposit, you will get 100% free trading bonus. Link below to join. 👇 discord.gg/245NBQWQp6
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher tweet media
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Redact@full_redact·
@Sherlockwhale @foxianorg Great brand, expanding and doing more. Definitely worth snagging one of the first spots here, as Sherlock and team have a proven track record in Crypto, you can expect the same in Forex. And how can you beat free?
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Redact@full_redact·
@Sherlockwhale That's why I respect your approach, most of crypto twitter is just grifting, but cold hard facts beat vibes any day
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Sherlock | DeFi Researcher
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale·
If you are buying Bitcoin right now at $68,000, you will be waiting 3 years just to go breakeven. 2013 top: $1,163. Time to break even: 3 years 2017 top: $19,783. Time to break even: 3 years 2021 top: $68,789. Time to break even: 28 months The current all time high was $126,000 in October 2025. We are 150 days into this decline and the bottom is definitely not in. People buying here are not buying a dip. They are actually buying into a cycle that historically takes 2.5 to 3 years just to return to the previous highs. You are not early. You are buying the bags that institutions are desperately trying to offload. Screenshot this.
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Redact@full_redact·
@RepThomasMassie So what you’re saying is the only thing our representatives can actually agree on is hiding their own malfeasance? Sounds about right to where we are.
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Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie@RepThomasMassie·
Today, only 65 of us voted to release names of congressmen who have used the sexual harassment slush fund to pay off claims against them. 357 members voted to “refer it to committee” knowing that resolution ain’t ever making it out of committee. Roll call: clerk.house.gov/evs/2026/roll0…
Thomas Massie@RepThomasMassie

Congress has secretly paid out more than $17 million of your money to quietly settle charges of harassment (sexual and other forms) in Congressional offices. Don’t you think we should release the names of the Representatives? I do.

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Redact@full_redact·
@FmrRepMTG It’s what a lot of people feared. There’s no party that actually speaks for the people. It’s been engineered and stolen from us long ago. The more we let one person dictate our path the more we make that easier to wear down further.
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Former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene🇺🇸
We said “No More Foreign Wars, No More Regime Change!” We said it on rally stage after rally stage, speech after speech. Trump, Vance, basically the entire admin campaigned on it and promised to put America FIRST and Make America Great Again. My generation has been let down, abused, and used by our government our entire adult lives and our children’s generation is literally being abandoned. Thousands and thousands of Americans from my generation have been killed and injured in never ending pointless foreign wars and we said no more. But we are freeing the Iranian people. Please. There are 93 million people in Iran, let them liberate themselves. But Iran is on the verge of having nuclear weapons. Yeah sure. We have been spoon fed that line for decades and Trump told us all that his bombing this past summer completely wiped it all out. It’s always a lie and it’s always America Last. But it feels like the worst betrayal this time because it comes from the very man and the admin who we all believed was different and said no more. We thought the victory won in 2024 would be finally time to put America First. And we thought that meant the common American man and woman and their children. Not the elites. America has suffered and they don’t even care. Hundreds of thousands of American small business owners lost their hard earned businesses during tyrannical covid lockdowns, that by the way, started under Trump with 15 days to slow the spread and continued under Biden and Democrats. There is no difference between them. Vaccine injuries, deaths, delays and loss in our tax payer funded education, record high suicides, record high Big Pharma profits and ZERO accountability for anyone from the MAGA America First administration as they run off to start wars and the board of peace at the same time. Create the crisis and the solution simultaneously and then build condos to profit. MAGA! For years we demanded to release the Epstein files, demanding transparency and justice for thousands of victims, women and children, by the richest most powerful men in the world and we had to fight Trump himself to do it, even after we all campaigned on it. And not a single person has been arrested and likely won’t be, no accountability, no justice. Instead, we get a war with Iran on behalf of Israel that will succeed in regime in Iran. Another foreign war for foreign people for foreign regime change. For what? Does it lower our inflation that our government caused? Caused by BOTH Democrats AND Republicans with their decades of corrupt government spending that has enslaved us all in nearly $40 Trillion in debt and reduced the value of our dollar to nothing. No, war with Iran does not lower inflation and make cost of living affordable. Does war with Iran fix our healthcare system and make health insurance affordable for Americans?? No war with Iran does not do that and the MAGA admin and Republicans aren’t even working on it in any serious way at all. Does war with Iran stop AI from replacing your job? Nope. Does war with Iran help you to be able to afford to buy a home? No, but you’ll see TikTok videos of nice penthouses when Gaza is rebuilt. Does war with Iran help the mental health crisis in America or help the drug addiction pandemic in America? Nope. Does war with Iran do anything to help American families stay together and survive? No, not at all. But within hours of war with Iran it was reported approximately 40 innocent girls, school children, in Iran were killed by bombs from Israel. And they don’t care, they killed thousands of innocent children in Gaza, and apparently our Pro-Peace administration doesn’t care either. And, since they won’t solve America’s problems clearly they don’t care about our kids either. Now, America is going to be force fed and gas lighted all the “noble” reasons the American “Peace” President and Pro-Peace administration had to go to war once again this year, after being in power for only a year. Head-spinning, but maga.
Former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene🇺🇸 tweet media
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Redact@full_redact·
@Sherlockwhale Spot on. It's really important to zoom out, so easy to get lost in low time frame shifts that the higher time frames are screaming at you not to get confident on
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Sherlock | DeFi Researcher
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher@Sherlockwhale·
Bitcoin is about to close its 5th straight red month. This has only happened once before in its entire history, back in 2018. 2018: 6 consecutive red months after the $20K ATH. Bottom came at $3,200. A -84% decline and it took 12 months. 2026: 5 consecutive red months after the $126K ATH. Currently at $66K. A -48% decline. It has been 5 months and counting. In 2018 people called the bottom at every level on the way down. $14K. $10K. $8K. $6K but the bottom was at $3,200. In 2026 again everybody is calling the bottom at $69K. $60K. Both the 2018 and 2022 bear markets lasted roughly 12 months from top to bottom. We are 5 months in. The pattern is clear, we are halfway through, not at the end.
Sherlock | DeFi Researcher tweet media
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