@futurewealthgroup

@KobeissiLetter Moves like this tend to reflect a repricing of risk rather than a change in fundamentals. The key is whether it extends or stabilizes as positioning adjusts.

BREAKING: The S&P 500 extends losses to over -2% on the day, erasing -$1.1 trillion in market cap.

🚨 FWG Podcast Ep. 23 Energy price shock: Is this transitory or permanent? From Hormuz blockade to Gulf infernos, Michael Bernegger analyses the geopolitical firestorm currently reshaping global markets. 💡 Essential macro deep-dive you don't want to miss. 🎧 Tune in now. -- The analysis in this video is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

@hajiyev_rashad The breakout may still be intact, but what matters is whether it continues to hold on pullbacks. Sustained moves usually depend more on rates and liquidity than on long-term price targets.

Silver's 45-year breakout still holds. It is going to take off to my $250 - $300 target, but perhaps towards summer 2026...

@leadlagreport Hitting energy infrastructure turns this into a supply problem. In that environment, the key variable is how much energy is actually getting through, with policy playing a secondary role.

Iran just struck energy facilities in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait. Brent crude at $112+. $WTI near $100. This is no longer an oil shock. It's an energy war. And the Fed can't cut its way out of it.

@TedPillows Equities are leaning lower as energy tightens financial conditions, while Bitcoin holding around $71k suggests it’s not fully trading as a risk asset. The divergence is worth watching.

$BTC is hovering around the $71,000 level. US stock futures are down again as the energy crisis worsens. Pre-market stock trading insights: ▫️Nasdaq futures is down 0.49% 🔴 ▫️S&P futures is down 0.36% 🔴

@BLachl88128 @Cointelegraph Evidently not!

@futurexwealth @Cointelegraph Makes sense if Hormuz disruption persists inflation expectations stay elevated but do you think the market is fully pricing that risk yet

🚨 NOW: Brent crude oil surges to $116.

@BLachl88128 @Cointelegraph As long as the Iran conflict stays active and Hormuz disruptions persist, inflation expectations are likely to keep moving higher.

@futurexwealth @Cointelegraph do you think this gets fully priced in fast or could inflation expectations keep climbing from here ❤️

@KobeissiLetter The widening gap between benchmark and physical crude shows the market is being driven by where barrels are actually clearing, not headline prices. That’s feeding directly into inflation expectations and rate pricing.

Global oil markets are out of control: As the Iran War closes week 3, US oil prices are trading at $97/barrel, up +76% since December. Meanwhile, physical oil prices in Oman are up to a RECORD $167/barrel, a +72% PREMIUM. What is happening? Let us explain. (a thread)

@NoLimitGains A 20% hit to global LNG supply is forcing flows to reprice in real time. With Europe’s storage thin and Asia bidding up cargo, policy responses can’t replace lost supply.

🚨 European natural gas prices up 32% this morning. TTF was at €53 yesterday. It spiked to €70 at open after two waves of Iranian strikes caused extensive damage at Ras Laffan in Qatar. The world’s largest LNG hub. QatarEnergy’s 77 million tonne per year export system is effectively shut. That’s 20% of global LNG supply offline. Europe was already walking in with gas storage at 27%. Lowest for this time of year since 2022. Asia is now bidding for every available cargo on the spot market. Ships heading to Europe are being rerouted east for higher bids. Europe keeps losing. HSBC said this week European gas prices will be 40% higher than previously forecast for all of 2026 and stay elevated into 2027. The European Commission is already talking about emergency price caps. This doesn’t look good. I’ll keep you updated as things develop. Follow with notifications, this is very important.

@Cointelegraph The BoJ holding rates isn’t much of a surprise. The real focus stays on yield differentials, with rates higher elsewhere, the yen remains under pressure, so any change in tone matters more than the decision itself.

🇯🇵 LATEST: Bank of Japan keeps policy rate unchanged at 0.75%.

@PeterSchiff Gold and silver are adjusting to a repricing of rate cuts. As long as inflation remains elevated, policy is likely to stay restrictive, which limits upside for metals.

Gold and silver are selling off again because investors realize rising inflation takes rate cuts off the table. But they don't realize that while the Fed holds rates steady, inflation will run away. By the time it acts even a 6% fed funds rate won't be high enough to rein it in.

@hajiyev_rashad The break puts the trend under pressure, but what matters now is how price reacts. If buyers step in quickly and push it back above the trendline, it likely means the move was just a shakeout.

Gold's 7-month rising trendline broken. Let's see if buyers manage to push back above the trendline. If this breakdown turns out to be a false one then it is very bullish...

@stats_feed Oil at $110 puts it back into a range typically associated with supply stress and inflation pressure. The key transmission is through expectations, which then feed into rates and broader asset pricing.

🛢️ Average crude oil price per barrel since 2000 (Brent, yearly averages) 2000 - $28 2001 - $24 2002 - $25 2003 - $28 2004 - $38 2005 - $54 2006 - $65 2007 - $72 2008 - $97 💥 2009 - $62 2010 - $80 2011 - $111 2012 - $112 2013 - $108 2014 - $99 2015 - $52 📉 2016 - $44 2017 - $54 2018 - $71 2019 - $64 2020 - $42 🦠 2021 - $71 2022 - $100 ⚔️ 2023 - $82 2024 - $82 2025 - $68 Now - $110 Oil remains one of the clearest barometers of global stress. 🌍 Source: EIA / World of Statistics / IMF historical Brent data

@KobeissiLetter The PPI surprise reinforces that inflation pressures remain sticky. Markets are responding by pushing out rate cuts, with yields and risk assets adjusting to a more persistent inflation backdrop.

BREAKING: US February PPI inflation rises to 3.4%, above expectations of 2.9%. Core PPI inflation rises to 3.9%, above expectations of 3.7%. Core PPI inflation is at its highest since February 2023 and this data does not include the Iran war. Rate cuts are being priced-out.

@BullTheoryio The move looks more like a repricing than a clear directional shift. Energy is responding to supply risk, while weakness across gold, silver, and crypto points to liquidity being pulled and positions unwound. Correlations tend to break down in this kind of environment.

🚨 BIG CRASH IN MARKETS AS ISRAEL STRIKES IRAN’S MOST CRITICAL ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE South Pars, which supplies 70% of Iran’s domestic gas and a major share of fuel for power plants, has been hit. Iran’s electricity generation is directly at risk since power plants rely heavily on this gas supply. If gas flow drops, power plants cannot generate electricity, leading to nationwide electricity disruption. Gold is down 2% in the last 3 hours, wiping out $680 Billion. Silver is down 2.5%, erasing $110 Billion. Bitcoin is down 2.70%, wiping $38 Billion. And Oil is above $97 again after this news. All this happened in just 3 hours.

@AshCrypto A move like this usually reflects positioning being forced out rather than a change in fundamentals. When liquidity thins, crypto reprices quickly.

🚨 $71,000,000,000 has been wiped out from crypto market in 120 mins

Maybe President Putin is old and weakened by the Ukraine war, and President Xi Jinping is more concerned about corruption and individual misbehavior in the military rather than about China's energy and policy independence. There is a very low probability of that, given what the US president has shown in terms of unhinged imperialist ambitions. For clarifications and confirmations, listen to Lindsay Graham. Putin and Xi both must have recognized what is at stake for their countries and for themselves. Expect a fair probability of global chaos to come down the road. -- This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Thus, what to expect with respect to financial markets: Crude oil at $95 to 100 is ridiculous and probably managed, given the greatest shortfall of all time of oil and gas. This price does not reflect true global shortfalls for weeks or even months to come, given the difficulty to break up the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Expect higher prices over time and expect inflation to accelerate soon. Expect higher yields across the board and lower stock markets. Inflation will particularly ratchet up in the US, where President Trump has implemented 15% tariffs across the board with a few exceptions. Moreover, gasoline prices in the US are not taxed and cannot be lowered as in Europe. The impact is far stronger. Given the non-negligible risk of a complete destruction of energy facilities in the whole Middle East with its catastrophic consequences, current bond yields are way too low and stock markets close to all-time highs are ridiculous. There is no risk premium at all contained, just pure lunacy. A joke is the story that AI and technology stocks are to be preferred in a war scenario. No other sector is more exposed. If the Gulf states should be ruined economically, expect the trillions of promised US AI investments to have fallen to 'force majeure'.

IRAN WAR, WHAT TO BE EXPECTED FOR FINANCIAL MARKETS. Angles you’re unlikely to see on your timeline today: Michael Bernegger examines how the Iran war could reshape global power, weakening BRICS, China, and Russia, while reinforcing US geopolitical and energy dominance. Read his full analysis below👇 In wars, the first things to disappear are truth and honesty. They are substituted by censorship, suppression of facts, and government propaganda in all media of either side. The second experience is that wars take surprise turns not to be expected. Thus, plans and scenarios developed in advance may become at least insufficient or at worst obsolete after a few days. The new Iran war makes no difference. The war, including the date and exact opening were planned long in advance by Israel and the United States. 'Negotiations' from the American side were just deception, as in June 2024. More or less, the top leadership of Iran was eliminated at the beginning, without preventing immediate reaction from the Iranian side. Iran had expected deception, but obviously not the attack against the political, religious, and military leadership. The surprise from the Iranian side was the successful elimination of US bases in the Middle East and the attack on Gulf countries, coupled with the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz.