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Gem
729 posts
Gem
@gemgm_
She trades perps, Daily trades & character development.
Katılım Aralık 2025
133 Takip Edilen95 Takipçiler
Finding on-chain alpha on @DecibelTrade, but are you still doing this?
❗️ Manually searching wallets
❗️ Guess work on Trader's Performances
❗️ Using random tracking bots
Time to Stop and Switch to Copin.
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@gemgm_ Ensure you view the entire thread; it covers all the best possibilities. I clearly mentioned that being bullish comes with a caveat, hope this helps: x.com/LillyAnoop/sta…
AnoopLilly@LillyAnoop
$BTC: HTF & LTF Bullish & Bearish Pattern Ideas For now, I can't confirm but IMO pattern TOP is IN which is bearish. I've put together everything on the charts for easy understanding and what to look for in terms of confirmations. Bookmark it, as all my future analysis will be based on this HTF idea and its possibilities. I usually don't include HTF counts on charts when sharing low or micro TFs, as I work with patterns and like to keep the charts clean. This can serve as a handy quick reference. There are a million other ways to count, but these are the ones carefully selected based on time/price and wave proportions—and most importantly, logic and common sense.
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$BTC; I am also tracking the possibility of an expanding diagonal. But I wouldn’t count on any diagonal until I see the last high taken out. These are anticipatory counts only.
AnoopLilly@LillyAnoop
A smaller diagonal is possible, which needs to be cancelled out before becoming fully bearish.
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@TimeFreedomROB Bullish megaphone + bounce at cost of production + RSI off oversold target breakout above downtrend line to 100k+? Or any invalidation below production cost?
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$BTC 1W
Bullish Megaphone Pattern
Price Bouncing at Cost of Production forming 4
RSI bouncing off oversold area and ready to test downtrend
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$BTC
Lost key levels and structure shifted yesterday, so retracement/reversal is the play.
2-day composite - acceptance outside value, pullback & rejection after london open.
Also talked about how to identify momentum loss few days ago - check the quoted post, pretty similar!
Kalle@KalleTrades
Picking $HYPE to explain, as we saw a strong reversal and expansion this week. Also, I highly recommend watching xB’s trading with the flows videos. Clearly explains when the expansion starts and how to get in before it begins. x.com/Trader_xB/stat…
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$BTC TRADE UPDATE
Price is moving in our direction and the trade is already up over 5%. Because of this, I’m moving the stoploss down to $75,000 to cut half of our risk.
Right now i’m waiting for price to close below the uptrend and the blue box on the 4H timeframe in 45 min.
If that happens, I expect a retest to that LTF breakdown, followed by further downside.
ctm_trader@ctm_trader
$BTC #BTC SWING SHORT TRADE Entries: 72.424 & 74.550 Targets: 65.750 - 62.440 - 51.800 Stoploss: 77.550
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$BTC
Looking for a short if we get a fast move into 72k today, prefer it during the NY session.
Target is the 3w vah which is the must hold for a move into 80k, also aligns with the daily 12/25 ema's.
Always remember that the aggression + speed is crucial, if those aren't present there is no trade.
The images are merely the context.
Stein@Stnxbt
$BTC Double bottom not given (could still happen, then I'll 100% trade it) The HL / Frontrun of the DB did happen, I planned it but didn't trade it, classic mistake to wait for the next level, noted. Weekly looks good for a move higher tbh, triple tap on the stoch and very far away from the 12/25 and the wicks show seller exhaustion. Question is will it go for another run at the lows first. 3 setups I am interested in: - Swing long 60k counter trend - Swing short 80k pro trend - Intraday range extreme short 72k pro trend The rest is noise to me
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@WhaleNoName what key level or invalidation (like a strong close above current range) would make you rethink the final sweep lower happening soon?
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Indicator divergence with buyer imbalance above, and price has returned to this week’s VWAP.
As long as negative delta stays below the waterline, it could form a reversal.
$btc
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@mooncakexbt if 67k holds, you think we raid 72ks or push even higher toward 74k again before any bigger drop?
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@edwardmorra_btc $BTC yeah, bounce to 76-78k first then retest ~69k bullish looks plausible.
Bearish only below 66k close. 70/30 bullish bias feels right watching that 69k flip if we push higher. Patient here.
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$BTC | Update
Assuming this bounce is not over and we go higher ($76-78K) first before resuming HTF downtrend, then a bullish retest of ~$69k is worth watching.
Bearish case if we break and start closing below $66k.
I personally think bullish/bearish is 70/30% chance
Edward Morra@edwardmorra_btc
$BTC Let's keep it simple: I think the highest this bounce goes is around $76-78K (marked grey) before we continue lower. Eyes on a retest of $69k for a potential bullish reaction. Keep in mind the HTF trend is still down. This might be a chance to derisk/hedge.
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@goldenpocketxbt With the current rejection and targeting PMVWAP, do you see any chance of a quick flush lower (maybe toward 65k or below) before any real bounce, or is PMVWAP (~68-69k zone based on recent action) likely to hold as the next major support/test area?
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$BTC Short Execution Review:
When price breaks out of developing value with increasing volume and positive delta, it provides the first signal of acceptance (Wed.). Once enough time and volume are traded outside value, we can assume participants have accepted the new prices and begin treating the developing VAH as support.
Price then attempted to break above the PMVAH, but was rejected at AVWAP and failed to sustain price above the prior month’s value.
Price later tried to hold above developing value by using VAH as support, but failed to make new highs and was again rejected at AVWAP + PMVAH.
When price breaks back below the developing VAH with increasing volume and negative delta, it confirms the reversal, targeting PMVWAP.
Golden Pocket@goldenpocketxbt
We’re in a simulation. @skepticalxbt
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$BTC yeah, quick dip then rip still on alts waking up supports a bit more downside first before resuming up.
Not seeing a hard crash to 50k right now (more like 60-65k wick possible), long-term trend bullish anyway. Expecting the fuck-up higher next week after the flush. Cautious but leaning up resumption.
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$BTC - Following nicely, imo this does the same, quick down then fucking up.
I will mention that as you can see below the alt shows up from here and there is still a chance I just think we come down for a bit now first then resume the uptrend.
2nd pic I've showed what most will expect and think, their going to get fucked up the shit pan because the cunt is going to fuck shit up next week.
Whitey@TraderWhitey
$BTC - At my level where we either keep basing and moving up or we flush quickly then go, imo the bottom is in for this, no more lower and we go upward regardless of either count.
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@ggg_trades $BTC yeah, I've seen quite a few KOLs calling for a pump to 80k popular idea for a relief rally or squeeze.
Still, crypto hasn't bottomed yet 45k-50k feels coming this year no matter what. Cautious here.
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$BTC
I am still leaning towards 80k until summer but who knows, there is also a world where this already topped. Really dont know. What I am certain of is that crypto has not bottomed yet. I think 45k-50k will come eventually this year.
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$BTC yeah, if price really holds and starts accepting higher, 80k-82k would be the perfect resistance zone for a beautiful trap.
Hoping for that clean pump up there so we can reload shorts heavy and drive it back down to 55k. Still leaning bearish overall, but waiting for clear confirmation before going all-in.
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$BTC Update
Price is moving back into the range and the structure is looking cleaner now.
I’m looking for shorts around 72K and will add more size in that area.
Targets:
58K → 54K → 50K
Aggressive SL: 74K (for now)
If price breaks above and accepts higher, I’ll look to re-short at higher levels.
HTF view remains the same:
This looks like consolidation after a strong impulsive move to the downside, not a reversal.
Still expecting continuation lower after the range low break
Kings Charts@KingsCharts
$BTC my HTF idea Remain same expecting fakeout to 74 Back below 72500 expecting just trap and new low 54 50 area
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$BTC shorts
71.8k reached. Nice +1600 score ✅️ First partials here, trade now risk free.
Alright! Nice drop on $BTC off our entry point posted about 12 hours ago, as well as our final TP point of our longs.
That 12 hour period is common, for the ones paying attention. It's the typical time window our trades take to hit RFP (risk free point - the point where the trade should be risk free).
So I've done exactly that by taking partials, keeping the SL at 74.6k.
All in all, nice ride so far, almost no drawdown either since taking entry.
Sixth win in a row in the making, once we slide underneath 70k.
All called live and I will keep it that way.
Astronomer@astronomer_zero
$BTC Shorted here 73.4k, we will see... Alright, we hit 73.4k, we hit our final TP of our fifth win in a row, which is a long. This has also been the level I waited for for a long time to short, our grey box, the zone we talked about for a long time, and our level we talked about for a long time. Remember that I am high timeframe bullish, so no, this is not a max conviction short or one to sub 50k. I do not think we go there, and this will be TP'd earlier. But it is a short regardless, and for more humble targeting, it is worth a short and conviction is high enough. If it doesn't break out, it deviates range high, exactly into our grey re-short POI. This short might end the win streak. But trading isn't all about win streaks. It's about taking the right trades at the right time. We will see if it ends up paying or have to exit at a loss, but I am in. Reminder to keep size light A/ due to not max conviction and B/ bitcoin is cheap (same framework as before).
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$BTC Outlook
Bitcoin has reached a point where there are multiple scenarios possible. Currently tracking a zigzag in which wave C can unfold into an ending diagonal.
Hamza@ElliottWavesHub
$BTC Outlook Less probable scenario is playing. It is what it is. Structure unfolded as a double zigzag held by a parallel in wave B. Currently BTC is working with wave C. Wave C Targets: 72-75K Invalidation: 62,500
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I’m also accumulating a small amount myself.
Honestly, if Bitcoin can reach $150K first, I’d already be very satisfied after that, anything higher is just a bonus.
In my view, Bitcoin is extremely hard to collapse long term. It has already survived multiple bear markets and still remains the king of the crypto market.
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Call me crazy now. Quote me later.
BTC isn’t topping at $200K.
I’m looking at $180–185K first.
And once we tag that zone, I expect a fast reset back to ~110K within weeks.
Then the real trend begins - from 26 Oct 2026 (Full Moon) onwards, up only.
(Until 26th Oct 2026 - I am buying Bitcoin fu-da-ck-ily-ing)
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