ggwp

@alexkarn13 @PolymarketSport @Polymarket @shayne_coplan Gm fella

gm @PolymarketSport @Polymarket @shayne_coplan Polymarket user turned $339 into $83.7K by betting on a certain number of Elon Musk's tweets The essence of the bet was to guess the number of tweets that Musk would make during the week from March 3 to March 10. The user bought 127K Yes tokens (between 340-359 tweets per week) for $339. As a result, he realized his winnings for $ 83,672.

🚨 This trader extracts $4,800+/month on @PolymarketTrade with zero bots, zero alpha-leaks Broke down the full strategy end-to-end. REAL entries. REAL results. He doesn't guess direction. He exploits structural inefficiencies. STRATEGY [3 mechanics]: 15-min BTC/ETH arbitrage YES + NO < $0.97 → buy both sides Math guarantees resolution at $1.00 No predictions. Purely mechanical edge. Range spread betting Limit orders across price ranges One correct range → 300-900% ROI Market-making on high-odds markets Sell NO on <4% events: depegs, black swans Entry 0.96–0.98. Win rate: 94%+ Win rate: 74% · Positions: 12 · P&L: +$4,830 Edge is not bet size — it is mechanics. While others guess, the system prints.

@brelgino this is the dream of gamblers

It's impossible to make money in crypto Someone simply bet $339 that Elon Musk would tweet 359 times and won $83,607 (24,613.04%). Check out the trades; he continues to bet on Elon's tweets and has already gotten involved in the events from March 9 to March 11 (the result is out today). Here is a link to his profile: > @TROLLSK?via=brelgino" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@TROLLSK?via=b… For those who still don't believe in fate, accumulate all the energy you've stored up from farming airdrops and direct it towards working on Polymarket.

@qwinsi0x damn same situation machines will break us soon

My brain almost explodes when it holds more than 3 factors while analyzing the Polymarket market. Meanwhile, an existing bot: analyzes 38 indicators and 30 markets at the same time. Me:

@imnotmiller_eth he rly believes

This is the biggest bet against PSG right now. Leading up to the match, I decided to track what the whales on Polymarket are betting on, and I found this guy. He’s all-in on a single outcome: PSG will NOT beat Chelsea at home today. Even though bookmakers have PSG as the clear favorite, this trader is going against the crowd with a massive contrarian play. The Position: > Bet size: $25,000 > Potential payout: $47,300 > Trader's ATH PnL: $483,357 This isn't a random gambler. We are looking at someone with nearly half a million dollars in all-time profits. What do you think? Is this guy a madman or a high-precision analyst with a major edge? Wallet: @shan776?via=imnotmiller" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@shan776?via=i…

@capy_onchain @edgeX_exchange you're doing great fam

If a perp can’t generate fees, how strong is the business really? Cumulative fees are one of the cleanest metrics in perp rankings because they show actual monetization over time, not just temporary volume spikes. Here’s the current picture: @edgeX_exchange - $283M @extendedapp - $20.8M @OstiumLabs - $19M @paradex - $17.5M @BasedOneX - $15.1M @tradexyz - $13.8M @nadoHQ - $10.5M @reya_xyz - $3M @tread_fi - $2.8M @etherealdex - $2.2M @Dreamcash - $2.1M @StandX_Official - $1.7M @BullpenFi - $0.5M More perp stats, funding rates screener and ultimate points calculator on capys.app Of course, fees alone do not define the best perp. But ignoring them in a tier list makes no sense. What would your perp tier list look like based on this?

My friends were popping bottles on a Friday night. I was in a dark room debugging a Python script for regional crop yields. "You’re seriously betting on... rainfall data?" they laughed. I didn't explain. Most people trade on "vibes" or whatever the top reply on a news thread says. They see a 30¢ share and think it's a bargain. I see a 30¢ share and realize the market is blind to the LMSR algorithm. The Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule is the secret engine of prediction markets. It’s the same logic that helps LLMs predict the next token, repurposed to price human belief. The math is elegant, cold, and profitable: C(q) = b * ln(Σ e^(qi / b)) 95% of traders have never seen this equation.They don't understand that b (the liquidity parameter) dictates exactly how much the price moves per dollar. The Play: - Market Price: 0.28 (28% probability) - My Model: 0.49 (49% probability) -Edge: 21 cents per share. While they were debating politics, I was hunting the delta. Market resolved. +$5,800 profit while I slept. The real alpha isn't "knowing" what will happen. It's knowing that the market’s pricing mechanism is lagging behind the raw data. Most people play the player. I play the formula.

@Vladic_ETH insiders printing above us...

🚨 SUSPICIOUS ACTIVITY ALERT A fresh wallet just poured $27k into "US Forces Enter Iran by March 14" Against the backdrop of rumors about special forces seizing nuclear sites and ACLED reports, this bet looks like inside info, not gambling The market is pricing it at just 24%, but "smart money" or Pentagon insiders? think otherwise polymarket.com/0x8f0f97f5Fd54…

@fabriziodegeno will check it now, I think my claude will love it

Stop struggling with Open Claw server setups A real replacement for Open Claw ✅ No server - No-code ✅ Full browser automation ✅ Executing daily tasks without your intervention Open Claw requires server rental or access to your PC This is difficult to set up and can be unsafe ▸ Replacement is Claude Skills + Claude Extension Claude Skills allows you to connect Notion, Google Docs, Drives, Mail, and other services via API and program skills into complex interactions with excellent results Claude released an official guide for Claude Skills, which makes setup even easier ▸ Add Claude Extension This extension fully automates browser work Claude gets eyes and hands and performs all the work himself You can also record your work in the browser, and Claude will perform it for you when you need it So as a result, we get fast work with services via API and autonomous work in the browser where API is unavailable This replaces Open Claw by 90% If Open Claw needs a heavy server for browser clicking, then your own PC is enough for setting up Claude Skills It will look like a small background program @claudeai @openclaw

@brelgino polymarket and opensea the real top 1 for me

Top airdrops received over the past 5 years. As a rule, 99% of projects either close down, do not allocate rewards for their loyal users, or give insufficient rewards compared to the costs incurred by users. This does not mean that everyone should always be rewarded, but it is especially important to understand that "simple handouts of money" are virtually non-existent.

@Nekt_0 1 month and here will be 100 sol

day 3: challenge 1 > 50 sol balance: 11.5 sol there were also several transactions with a small loss of 0.1-0.3 sol how long do you think it will take to complete the challenge ?

500$ → 500k$ I’ve been digging into this OpenClaw + Gemini 3.1 Flash setup for 15min BTC markets. Is the new release actually broken, or is this just the ultimate execution? Let’s break down the mechanics of this profile: > @IBOV200K?via=ggwp_xxx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@IBOV200K?via=… The "Cheat Code" isn't the model - it's the new Pluggable Context Engine. Old systems couldn't process wallet data fast enough. This new stack (GPT-5.4 + Gemini 3.1) allows for near-instant ingestion of @Polymarket on-chain flows. The bot doesn't guess the direction. It follows the "Smart Money" then immediate-hedges: Monitor: Tracks the Top 50 Polymarket wallets. Trigger: If 3+ whales enter the same position within 10s. Execution: Bot enters 2.3s before the price moves. The Lock: Immediately buys the opposite side (hedge). Example of a single cycle: Whale buys YES @ 41¢ Bot catches it @ 42¢ Price pumps to 68¢ (Whale impact) Bot buys NO @ 54¢ Total Cost: $0.96 | Payout: $1.00 | Profit: 4% Locked. Zero directional risk. Pure arbitrage on whale flow. Executed: 187 hedged pairs Avg Profit: 4.2% per cycle Start: $800 Finish: $14,200 Biggest Single Cycle: +$890 The mentions of GPT-5.4 feel like a massive flex (or a hallucination of the future), but the logic is sound. Using LLM agents with high-speed context windows to front-run prediction markets is the new frontier. If you aren't looking at pluggable context engines for your bots, you're playing a 2024 game in a 2026 world.

@igor_mikerin @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket interesting how fast I need to be

Real arbitrage guide for Polymarket. So many people post about arbitrage on prediction markets. But do any of those influencers actually make money from it? Do any of them even understand what they’re talking about? You can check any of their profiles and you’ll see they haven’t made a single dollar from it. So screw their guides. I built something that actually works. Something even a kid could understand. If you want to make real money from arbitrage on prediction markets, you need a system. You have to constantly monitor new markets and track arbitrage opportunities as they appear. Doing it manually will take thousands of hours. That’s just stupid. So I built a free arbitrage parser for Polymarket and other prediction markets. Soon I’ll add Kalshi and Opinion, and it will become the most powerful tool for making money on prediction markets. Here’s the link to my product. If you find something better, throw a stone at me. > t.me/pretracer_bot?… I stand behind my product and I’m sure you won’t find anything better. I tested it for a month and made around $6,000 with a relatively small deposit

@dreyk0o0 high potential for this strategy

@itsweb3world @Polymarket liquidty strategy is the game change for me now

New Polymarket fees update Now, practically every crypto timeframe market has fees Of course, the LP is now a lot bigger, but so are the fees. If you are a liquidity provider, you should maybe change your strategy The peak effectiveness is 1.56% at 50c, the precise table is shown in the screenshot. 20% of all collected fees are redistributed to makers as USDC rebates. And the taker fees now apply to every new crypto market, no matter the time frame Liquidity providers will probably start making more from now on, and so will Polymarket. What do you think If you want to read about this update in detail, you can find it on Polymarket in the documentation section (polymarket.com/?via=arr1ex)

@Vladic_ETH great article fella love to read

@zodchiii quanting is the real new meta 4 sure

How I quanting a Goldman Sachs formula to extraction $400k on @Polymarket Most people look at a price of 0.44 and ask "Is this cheap or expensive?" I look at 0.44 and calculate the theoretical price. Here is the alpha you’re missing: Every market on Polymarket is actually a binary option. And binary options have a "fair value" based on math, not vibes. I applied the Black-Scholes model for digital option. The Formula: V = e^(-r * T) * N(d2) Where d2 is: d2 = (ln(S / K) + (r - (sigma^2) / 2) * T) / (sigma * sqrt(T)) The Trade Breakdown: Market Price: 0.44 Black-Scholes Model: 0.61 The Gap: The market was underpricing the probability by 39%. I entered with a "small" $800 position. Market resolved at 0.98. Total: +$31,400 from a single play. That’s the difference between a "trader" and a mathematician. Profile that use such strategy: > @Sharky6999?via=ggwp_xxx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@Sharky6999?vi…

@Vladic_ETH great research, love it

GAME OF THRONES: WHO TAKES THE THRONE IN TEHRAN? After the liquidation of Ali Khamenei and the earlier death of his "natural" successor Raisi, Tehran has plunged into chaos. The Interim Leadership Council is officially in charge, but behind the scenes, a brutal dogfight is underway between the IRGC and the clerics. > The Favorite - Mojtaba Khamenei • The late leader's son. Lacks the highest religious rank, but controls his father's shadow empire. • According to Iran International and Israel Hayom, the Assembly of Experts, under IRGC pressure, has already preliminarily selected him. The generals want to preserve the status quo. • This is de-facto establishing a monarchy, which many old clerics oppose. Plus, Trump has already stated Mojtaba is "unacceptable" to the US. • Risk: Announcing him now means painting a target on his back for the US Air Force. > The Dark Horse - Alireza Arafi • Status: Deputy Chairman of the Assembly of Experts and member of the current Interim Council. • The compromise figure. If the IRGC realizes that appointing Khamenei's son will trigger a domestic revolt, they will install Arafi as a "safe" religious technocrat. • Polymarket Action: On March 3, his odds spiked to 22% on rumors but then crashed. The market doesn't believe in the "boring" choice yet, but he cannot be written off. In a war where Israel is decapitating the regime leadership, appointing a new Supreme Leader is setting him up to be killed. The regime may intentionally delay the official selection, leaving power with the Council until the active phase of the war ends. Track the Market: polymarket.com/event/who-will…

@qwinsi0x sounds strange a little but I'll test it

Apple is preparing a revolutionary MacBook There are rumors that already by the end of 2026 or the beginning of 2027 we will see the first MacBook Pro with a touchscreen OLED display. This year is the 20th anniversary of the release of the first MacBook Pro, and it’s a reason to seriously surprise us. There is already some information about what the MacBook will be like. It’s clear that the keyboard we’re used to will be complemented by on-cell touch technology, you could say the screen will become like an iPad. We will have to say goodbye to the design we’re used to: the body is planned to be completely redesigned, and the notch will be replaced with a hole-punch. Some leaks also say that this new device will launch with the M6 chip. There is still no official information from Apple, but this idea is definitely already being prepared. It’s interesting how the market changes everything, because Steve Jobs once said that touchscreen laptops make no sense. What do you think about this?