
ghost.env
536 posts

ghost.env
@ghostdotenv
ai strategist, letting ai run experiments on people — building @buildwithralph, @invisiblebags https://t.co/XzaBzsCRwj
Katılım Mart 2021
120 Takip Edilen522 Takipçiler
ghost.env retweetledi

We have a solution to make sure the $GSD situation never happens again.
The results of $GSD, $RALPH among other high ticket projects expose broken utility-concepts in crypto-backed projects. Here’s the problem & our solution in a nutshell:
Fee-based tokens are 0 barrier vehicles to raise funds; yes.
But what do holders get as a result of effectively donating 1-2% of their volume to the token creator?
The only option has long been buy back & burn, which is a progressively decaying mechanism, every new tranche requires a fee performance significantly greater than the last to yield the same token performance; incredibly difficult to sustain
Then results creators infinitely feeding a draining bucket and grossly relying on launchpad owners (@BagsApp) to support their tokens; incredible unsustainable for both creator & launchpad
So while the $GSD situation is very unfortunate, there is potentially an unknown time bomb for creators who can’t solve this utility-cycle
——
We have a solution (our project in silence last 4 weeks); a revenue-backed utility where tokens become a right to distributions. Yes crypto does not = equity, it is not an ownership in the community, but that doesn’t mean you don’t have rights.
Pinging @finnbags @StuuBags @sincara_bags @ramyobags @Sambags12 to join discussions; as we believe this will fundamentally fix utility-tokens for the entire industry.
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@contextconor Interested in hyper spell how does it compare to @supermemory ? Currently between the two for a startup ~ 50 folks, even more agents
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@MidCurveMortal @BagsApp @Pumpfun @official_taches GSD has been actively pushed by Finn & team so many times; lost on what else Lex wants
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Breaking:
@BagsApp just lost it’s top marketcap token $GSD.
Token is set to migrate to @pumpfun after founder @official_taches called out the platform’s lack of support and communication.

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With all due respect Lex, they’ve pushed $GSD harder than anything else I’ve seen on Bags in 2 years; maybe the Ralph project pre rug.
You’ve gotten hundreds of thousands of dollars, an insane audience
(One you’ve gained naturally through GSD & all of these token based promoters)
There’s so many other folks who would love a fraction of the support you’ve received.
GSD is epic again don’t take this personally, but I’m curious what more are you looking for??
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@OndoFinance What is the function of the $ONDO token, will it ever have any utility what so ever to trading activity
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A new standard for capital efficiency.
Coming soon, Ondo tokenized stocks will serve as collateral in perpetual markets.
Ondo Perps@OndoPerps
Crypto perps trade $265B daily. Equity derivatives trade $11.4T. Equity perps are the biggest opportunity in finance.
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@Abombination81 @zostaff How do you get genius Or sportstrader? I tried but they seem to be only for established businessses? And denied me
Assuming you just formed an LLC?
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Not sure. He is sort of right. The sportstrader api, and Genius sports api do lead the sports market, but its not that good.
I have Genius Sports which is almost 22k a month for all the leagues, and I win, but not as much as I used to.
Genius trader is the best in the world, by far. It leads sometimes by 2-5 seconds. But other people do the same thing or predictive so the money is very rarely in there.. Especially for easy to predict things (game winner in 3rd quarter)
Sportstrader is slower, its a resell of Genius Sports.
So I'm going to say no... guy knows sort of the gist, but he is off on a few things.
But.. he isnt shilling scams, he isnt pushing people to a copy trader bot, and his info is directionally correct.
So not amazing, but not a shithead like the scammers.
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I BUILT A BOT THAT SEES THE FUTURE 8 SECONDS AHEAD
Penalty, red card, goal - probability jumps 15-30 points instantly.
But Polymarket updates in 15-20 seconds, my bot in 8.
Live stadium data through Sportradar WebSocket - player coordinates, speed, xG, pressing, all in realtime, not from broadcast.
$12K/year, same data bookmakers buy.
ML model recalculates probability after every event. Lineup, form, fatigue, minute, score. 3 months of training, $2K on GPU.
Private RPC on Polygon - $200/mo, 3-5 seconds faster than public nodes.
Gas overpay for block priority - $800/mo at 8 matches per week.
Up to 8 matches in parallel. Champions League, EPL, La Liga. Each match - separate instance, separate wallet.
Total cost: $18K/year.
But I see the future 8 seconds ahead.
I don't know who will win, but I know exactly where the oracle falls behind.
wast3@0xWast3
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@Abombination81 @SynthdataCo Ofc brother, will keep following your posts and excited to keep learning from you. Thanks for the post :)
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We need to normalize the journey. We cannot decide to learn how to cook, then skip the first step and jump to opening a Restaurant.
I didnt post this strategy so people could do it, but if you can god bless you, I posted it as a "stretch goal" this is what you build up to.
It took me 50k and months, AFTER knowing what I think, is probably 95% of what you can know about polymarket.
Quit going complicated, stick to 15m btc
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There is 1 strategy that dominates the leaderboards. Every top bot in crypto is doing this strategy.
Here's exactly how it's done- warning... its long.
Market Makers, Ladder Bot, Merge Bot... various names for the same strategy.
@0xde17f7144fbd0eddb2679132c10ff5e74b120988-1772205225932" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xde17f7144fb…
They are easy to spot. Massive PNL, thousands of trades. Prices all over the place, in whole and fractional numbers. Usually multiple markets.
So how does it work. This is conceptually a bit difficult, so stick with me.
First, they are bidding on every single token, up and down, at 1c increments pre window. Ie 45c, 46c, 47c etc. Both directions. So the entire possible bid is covered.
When someone sells at that price, they immediately put another bid up. They are providing liquidity.
They buy hundreds and hundreds of times per window. and use a tool called merge. You can merge any up/down pair at any time on Polymarket for 1$. This immediately removes the pair and returns 1$. So if you have a 70c up and a 28c down, you get 1$ for your 98c.
But this isnt how they make money, they actually lose on the merges, so a down at 70, an up at 32... merged loses 2c. But it gets rid of shares and frees up capitol.
--------------- Now the conceptual part ---------------
Assume a price has moved to 70c, and the other price is 31c.
They are placing bids at every level below those prices... ie 69.68.67.....5,4,3,2,1 on the 70 side.
They are also placing bids at every level below 31c, ie 30,29,28,27.....3,2,1
As you can see they have MANY more bids available to buy on the 70 side than the 32. Which means that they are accumulating more winning shares.
And as they buy both, they merge.. now the merge removes a losing share for 1-2c and a winning share. But because naturally the winning side goes up, you are getting more shares. Meaning you can merge all your losing shares out, leaving you with just winning shares.
So as the price gets even higher, say 95c, they have gtc buys at 94,93,92,91... 3,2,1 etc. And gtc buys on the losing side 5c, 4c, 321.
So just with math... they are going to buy many more Winners than Losers. And each loser they do buy, gets merged out with a winner.
So at window close they are holding thousands of winners they bought anywhere from 50c to 99c, and zero losers. The loser merges cost them money, but the winners are making them 35c a share (average merged cost) and the losers lost them 2.8c a share (merged loser cost).
So youre left with a net profit of roughly 32c a share. Times thousands of shares, every 5m,15m window.
Now the hard stuff.
1. The bids are filled first in first out. So if I place my ladder before you, I get filled you dont. The window opens 24hr before the actual window start (this is all crypto windows). So the battle for Los Angeles is at THE EXACT moment the window opens. Whomever can place their 100 orders first, wins.
2. Money, this shit is expensive. Takes a minimum of about $1000 usd to test per window. And you cant just test once and change, you need to test 5-6x to see if its working.
3. Slow, each change you have to wait 24hr to test again.
4. Untestable. Since its all fills against buyers. You cannot backtest this. You learn by doing.
5. the ladder isnt 1:1, you arent placing 1 share at each level, its a quadriatic "ish" curve. Ie more shares where its more likely to be at. THIS is the magic formula that takes money to test and is very difficult to get right.
6. Latency. The fight is for that first micro second to place the bids. Me and probably 25 others are fighting for that 1/25,000th of a second. You win some, you lose some.
7. Reversals. Overall your wr is very high, because youre basically DCA'ing in the entire time, BUT every once in awhile the trend reverses last second... and youre left holding 30,000 up shares naked... and it flips down. Those days... are fun.
So thats it. The entire pickle. I HIGHLY recommend you avoid this strategy. It took me $50,000 to figure it out over a month. This should be the holy grail you attempt after you have a minimum of 100 profitable bots.
If you read all this reply with - Green. Testing if this long format breakdown is worth it or if its better to do short snippets

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@Abombination81 Backtester or paper trader for agents 🙏 let’s tokenize it on @invisiblebags
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Tell me what you want what'cha really really want.
I built the polymarket decoder at polymarketdecoder.com . So far 112k strategies have been decoded!
I have quite a bit of software but some of it just structurally isn't useable by others, or is too intertwined with my stuff. Id have to recreate it and strip a lot out.
So the question is this. What would help you the most
There are catches to almost all of these.
1. Back tester. Id have to charge. The reason is the data that pumps through it. Id have to store TB of data somewhere, then it would have to stream an api basically through your back tester. Or Id have to make a website doing the same thing online. Either way, it would add up.
2. Another one that would cost money. Paper trading is a variation of a back tester. Same issue is the data has to get pumped in from somewhere. Hosted etc.
3. This is what everyone would want... I get it, but this would be very expensive and risky. The aws deployment, full metal server, tuning and optimization. Then my time, because I'm not really wanting to do this, (also the risky part) Id have to know your strategy to implement it in the fastest way possible.
I don't think I could come up with a universal thing that wired every variation of every idea ideally. Just too many variables
4. Suggest something. Just know if "AFTER" I make it, it requires my help to set up, its going to be more expensive than you want. And know that anything that requires ongoing infrastructure expenses, we would have to charge for.
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@pecucuonsol @invisiblebags @BagsHackathon @solanamobile @BagsAPI Saved was a meme coin not affiliated with Invisible; and it was not rugged, it also had 0% fees on it. Narrative just didn’t work out and the token didn’t bond after repeatedly trying
Please take care. Crypto is often times regarded as a casino; especially meme coins. 🙏
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@invisiblebags @BagsHackathon @solanamobile @BagsAPI So what happened to your $saved project? I'm over 8month pregnant and I was looking to make a bit so I can buy my baby things. You rugged instead. You are one of the devs I have so much respect for. It's well though. God will make a way 🙏
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We’re live on @BagsHackathon! Make sure to vote for Invisible Bags: here’s a summary of why:
-> Just buying $INVISIBLE gives you exposure to every trendy product narrative: AI, @solanamobile, @BagsAPI, Agentic Experiments, Claude Skills, Prediction Markets: full list on Invisiblebags.fm
-> Oldest token in Bags Hackathon (been around for 9 months)
-> Invisible token has direct utility: we’ve Burned or Locked up >100M tokens already; plus $INVISIBLE serves as a token gated access to future products
-> Outside-in success. We’ve been thought leaders across the artificial intelligence space; many of our posts / articles were trending on X and has attracted significant exposure to VCs, Developers & industry innovators
-> Our products (like @agentipedia) have achieved off-chain success. (Agentipedia hit top 49 on @ProductHunt with no prior backing)
-> Our partner: @buildwithralph is directly building for Bags Marketplace
You are at the cutting edge of innovation by supporting $INVISIBLE on @BagsApp
FINN@finnbags
The @BagsHackathon leaderboard is live. Vote for your favorite projects and share project updates to rank up. We're excited to see what you're building! @BagsApp @BagsFund bags.fm/hackathon/apps
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Fresh Alpha covered onstream from 2:54:00
$KEEF - Starting to hit buy area laid out yesterday onstream. Keep an eye on the $150-200k area. DLMM setup.
$SPAWN - @tonyGewrit has a post on the name. @spawnagents apparently has a 73% hit rate with the right settings. Screenshot of trades. Seen this before, but if they work well could be a bear market runner.
$TAOLOR - Similar to AiXBT in $TAO eco, Subnets are starting to heat up.
$TAKEOVER - A new liquidity primitive. Takeover is a grid has 100 spots, each spot generates fees from trading. Seats work on a market where people can buy or compete for the right to earn from a tokens trading activity/volumes. LP's on UNI/Aerodrome on @base directly mint on Takeover. Juice alpha from @ChillTRD

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🔴 LIVE: Extreme Fear on CT While TradFi Accumulates Aggressively – Market Update + Onchain Plays RIGHT NOW! x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
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Hi! No please don’t apologize
Appreciate you a ton, the input and the trust you have in my self & the invisible team
Everything you’ve said will be taken into account and addressed; that’s only possible because you took time out of your day to tell us ❤️
The posting example is a good point too, we’ll evaluate how we can do that without spamming :)
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Thank you for the reply I hope you understand that I'm not trying to soft fud just 😅,for x post's are good you make really good posts I'm also against spamming the timeline with unnecessary post's but when I came to Solana this is how the teams build confidence with there traders you can take as a example @pumpcade the dude here is constantly engaging not just spamming but this is first time I see a dev and marketing guy in the same time the skills in this space cost nothing if you can't sell it online and you do that through X build community that later becomes your client (backers) sorry for the long message wanted to finish it with this you have a amazing product it just need eyes on it
Have a good day bro I'm keeping a eye while holding a bag as well
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The BEST builders launch on @BagsApp
Congrats to @DegenDomeSolana on winning the Colosseum Agent Hackathon!
Colosseum@colosseum
1/ Announcing the winners of the @Solana Agent Hackathon! 🤖 1st ($50,000) Prize | @DegenDomeSolana 2nd ($30,000) Prize | AgentOS by @0xbraindeds 3rd ($15,000) Prize | @blockhelix 4th ($5,000) Most Agentic Prize | @cludebot
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All previous projects are linked in each bucket & all upcoming categories are linked; if team gives up project names it’ll get sniped in the case of a new token (most will just use $invisible tho)
-/ tokenomics & burn info was posted on X a few times but good point; can add to the website too
@invisiblebags posts >5x a week, not going to spam unless team has a reasonable update to share, or views per post will go down significantly. Right now it’s averaging >8k per post
Latest post we made was regarding Seeker apps, which is still under development
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No roadmap no ongoing projects no information about previous projects and how much you made bought back and burned the website looks like a trust me bro not professional at all even if you would be building the next generation of ai tech no one will notice cause even on your X you go missing for days with no update engagement with the community that's why's also the price is at 16k MC
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