Andrew Mintner

These refs are fucking egregious

Sweet 16 Shot Data and other tidbits: Arizona Off: 40.7% Rim Atts (8th) Arkansas Def: 68.6% Rim FG (356th) Illinois Off: 8.98 FB(Fastbreak Pts)/100 Poss (355th) 14.96 POTOV (pts of TOs)/100 Poss (356th) 24.42 SCP(2nd Chance Pts)/100 Poss (2nd) themintnermethod.substack.com

The first weekend was lackluster, but our Final Four has a viable path, and a potential upset is brewing. Enjoy!!! open.substack.com/pub/themintner…

@CollegeFBPortal What a wild statement. Last year on Valentine's Day, this piece of shit was eating dinner next to my wife and I at Omar's Uptown in Jonesboro, AR. The whole meal he was making her feel bad, and then commented about deporting his landscaper. Let that hairline go big dog. Jackass

NEW: Providence HC Bryan Hodgson with a LEGENDARY quote in his introductory press conference: “If you ever wanna question my recruiting abilities just look at my wife Jordan." 😂

@HeadgearCFB I'm planting my flag on fading Purdue. Volatility in (1-2) seeds is dangerous

@goldendomer622 Is it weird that the potential 2v7 matchup between Miami FL & Purdue is the pick I was torn on the most? My model that has correctly picked 70% of actual 2v7 matchups picked Miami FL, but Purdue fits into my AdjEM adjustment criteria for 85% advancement rate to the S16.

Here is my bracket. Good luck everyone!!!

Here are my final thoughts before the Madness begins!! Good luck!! #MarchMadness open.substack.com/pub/themintner…

@Z_rating Thanks man!! Yeah Miami is more of how much Jai Lucas has gotten out of those guys and my complete fade of Purdue as a contender

@goldendomer622 I’m with you on Hofstra and UCLA! I like Mizzou over Miami though. Great article per usual! Love the work you have done this year

Who will be this year's Cinderella? I analyze three teams that the slipper could fit. Enjoy!!! #MarchMadness open.substack.com/pub/themintner…

@M2Semple 3pt shooting by itself has nothing to do with the CC

@goldendomer622 So ST John’s don’t meet the crietia since they 3 point shooting is week and weak SOS

@M2Semple No St Johns doesn't meet the CC because their SOS wasn't good enough. If you go to my substack I listed the CC. St Johns meets the other criteria but not that.

@HOMx2298 I will tomorrow around 1030am

@goldendomer622 Post your bracket!!

@M2Semple Green Flags are only for (1) seeds. Higher seeds (5+) are more volatile, so if they don't meet the CC, the next best option is to have a viable path.

@goldendomer622 So does it matches your green flag formula

@JBRBracketology Illinois, Vanderbilt, and Purdue are nowhere close to the needed AdjDef of 96, which every champion since 2002 has had.

2026 National Championship Contenders, using pre-Tournament KenPom data since 2001: -22/24 were Top 15 overall in KenPom -20/24 were Top 15 in Offense -23/24 were Top 37 in Defense -20/24 were Top 10 in Offense -OR- Defense Notable Omissions: 2 UConn, 2 Iowa State, 3 Michigan State, 3 Gonzaga

Green flags are the best barometer for evaluating (1) seeds true ceiling. Check out which (1) seeds meet the criterion. Enjoy!!! #MarchMadness open.substack.com/pub/themintner…

@WeBayleaf UCLA is my favorite in that part of the bracket. All dependent on how healthy Bilodeau is.

@goldendomer622 Since you are low on both Uconn and Mich State in the bottom of the East bracket, who would you have to come out of it to face Duke? USF? UCLA? Great read thank you for the numbers and analysis!

2026 March Madness: These (3) seeds have more red flags than your ex-boyfriend. open.substack.com/pub/themintner…

Purdue has the lowest AdjDef rating in the KenPom era (since 2002) of any (2) seed. They also have the highest AdjOff of any (2) seed in that time period (96 teams) This is not the volatility I would want in a (2) seed.

There are four volatile (4) seeds that are going in different directions. Check out the ceiling and floor for each!!! #MarchMadness open.substack.com/pub/themintner…

Half of the (2) seeds are poised for a deep tournament run, while the other half is set up for an early exit!!! Enjoy!!! #MarchMadness open.substack.com/pub/themintner…