gosseb

@felixprehn Workbook

Just created a complete investing workbook covering entry/exit strategies, position sizing formulas and the systematic approach making 10% of traders profitable. I shared this with my 20,000+ students. For 24 hrs, it's yours for FREE. Like + comment "WORKBOOK" and I'll DM it.

Someone told me my trade ideas were too complex last week. So this week I went back to basics. 5 live positions from the hedge fund desk, 5 different structures. One for every market condition we're seeing right now: earnings plays, post-event vol, commodity gamma, and a redeployment we're rolling from May into June. Full breakdown on Patreon. Link in comments. #options #shortvolatility #optionstrading #tradeideas

@OptionsJive That's interesting. Given your short volatility strategy and holistic approach to building a delta-neutral portfolio, I'm wondering what proportion of synthetic positions replace equity ownership.

@gosseb2 Not at entry. Stocks are extremely capital inefficient. Exceptions: assignments, stocks without liquid options (for example, I invest heavily on the Warsaw Stock Exchange and Dubai Financial Market).

If you can learn to sell fear instead of buying stocks, it will erase all the horrible financial decisions you have ever made.

@felixprehn WORKBOOK

@felixprehn WORKBOOK

@krzysztofburdzy Myslales o 4-4-1 na SPY albo /ES? Tylko potrzeba trochę więcej BP

Dwa zakłady na sezonową korektę 🤞🫡

@OptionsJive Another priceless ideas, especially $NOW. Thank you 🙏

$TSLA and $NOW both report tonight. Same tape, completely opposite volatility setups. TSLA IV Rank is 13. You're not getting paid to sell premium there. NOW is a different story: options market has been systematically overpricing its earnings move every single quarter. New article on Patreon: exactly how I'm trading both tonight, and the hidden risk in the NOW calendar trade that most traders miss, plus a simple next-morning hedge if it goes wrong. Link in comments. #options #volatility #earnings #Tesla #ServiceNow

@OptionsJive This trade is PhD level, but thanks 😅

Trump is blockading the Strait of Hormuz while negotiating peace through Pakistan. This market is one headline away from a real correction. I built a trade to capitalize on it with >95% probability of profit. Two layers, each one useless alone. Together: positive theta AND positive vega simultaneously. Full credit if markets stay flat or rip higher, explosive payoff in a real crash. Most options traders have never seen this construction. Full breakdown; exact strikes, all five greeks, and why a real crash makes this position better at every level, in tonight's Patreon article. Link in the comments. #options #SPY #volatility #optionstrading

Decyzja redakcji TVN24 o przerwaniu transmisji wystąpienia Andrzeja Seweryna – wybitnego artysty i autorytetu obywatelskiego – na rzecz rutynowej wypowiedzi politycznej Michała Wójcika, jest zachowaniem nie tylko niezrozumiałym, ale wręcz kompromitującym dla stacji aspirującej do miana opiniotwórczej. To uderzający przykład upadku standardów dziennikarskich, gdzie głęboka, merytoryczna refleksja nad kondycją państwa i społeczeństwa, wygłaszana przez postać tej miary co Seweryn, zostaje złożona w ofierze na ołtarzu doraźnej "nawalanki" partyjnej. Zastąpienie słów człowieka będącego ikoną polskiej kultury i wolności bezwartościowym szumem informacyjnym ze strony polityka, jest przejawem skrajnego braku wyczucia i lekceważenia widzów. Stacja, która w teorii powinna pielęgnować debatę o wysokiej jakości, pokazała, że wyżej ceni polityczny spektakl niż głos najwybitniejszego polskiego aktora i zaangażowanego patrioty. To nie tylko błąd realizacyjny, to wyraz głębokiego braku szacunku wobec Andrzeja Seweryna oraz wszystkich tych, dla których wartości demokratyczne i kultura słowa mają jeszcze jakiekolwiek znaczenie. fot. PAP/Marian Zubrzycki

Zrobiłem skrót ,co rząd do tej pory zrobił ,to dla tych,co nie mogli wcześniejszych moich grafik przeczytać , bo były zbyt rozbudowane i im się nie chciało.

I don't calculate the "true breakeven" on a rolled position. Why? Because after multiple rolls, that number is fiction. You rolled for a credit. The platform reset its reference. And now you're doing archaeology, reconstructing old trades and chasing a number that has no edge. I track only what actually drives outcomes: $SPX-beta-weighted delta, theta, BP usage, portfolio risk. The trade is not the unit. The portfolio is. Single-trade P&L is noise. Stop auditing. Start managing. #options #optionstrading #thetagang #portfoliomanagement

The market is mispricing tomorrow's #PepsiCo earnings by 4x. Options are pricing a 4.3% move. $PEP's average earnings day move? About 1%. I just published two trades that exploit this gap. One costs $72 to enter. The other pays me a credit just for putting it on. I don't care if PEP beats by two cents. Tomorrow is about one number: are Frito-Lay volumes finally stabilizing? That single datapoint decides whether PEP drifts toward $170 or stays stuck here.

Trump says his life was better before he became president. Dude, everyone's lives were better before you became president!

$XLE implied vol just hit the 76th percentile of the past year. 30-day realized? 20%. The options market is pricing near-historical fear into an ETF that's barely moving. Hormuz headlines are real, but EIA and IEA both see global supply outpacing demand through 2027. The spike is already in the price. What's left is pure fear premium. And fear premium decays.

I just published what may be the most powerful piece I've shared this month. 7 ways to manage a breached short #strangle. Honestly, if someone had handed me this guide years ago, it would have saved me a huge amount of money, stress, and stupid mistakes. It would have completely changed how I traded. And this is only Part 1. Link in the comments.

P.S. Right after I recorded my last portfolio update on YouTube, the U.S. and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire. 90 minutes before Trump's deadline to escalate strikes. Exactly what I described in the video happened: volatility normalized, and the portfolio started to recover. $VIX mean reversion is not a theory.