Eugene Gourevitch

There's no chance to think, to prepare; it's buy futures, sell futures, when there is no future. (Devils Advocate)

Pakistan as intermediary tells you everything about where this war actually stands. You don't route proposals through Islamabad when you're winning. You route them through Islamabad when every closer channel is burned, the Swiss back-channel is dead, Oman won't pick up, and you need someone who owes favors to both sides and can't afford to say no. Pakistan borders Iran, hosts American intelligence infrastructure, depends on Gulf money, and just watched its LNG supply vanish when Qatar went offline. They didn't volunteer for this. They were the last door that hadn't been slammed shut. A country that started this campaign promising unconditional surrender is now passing notes through a nuclear-armed middleman with its own credibility problems. The distance between 'hit them TWENTY TIMES HARDER' and 'please deliver this envelope to Tehran via Rawalpindi' is measured in weeks. Four of them.

BREAKING: Iran has received a US proposal via Pakistan, according to Reuters report.

Mattis called it delusional nonsense because he understands something the current team either forgot or never learned: destroying capability and achieving objectives are two separate operations. The US has hit 15,000 targets. Iran's missile launches dropped 86%. And the strait is still mined, oil is still disrupted, and nobody in Washington can articulate what 'winning' looks like beyond 'we hit more stuff.' A general who resigned over half-measures in Syria watching full measures in Iran produce the same strategic vacuum. The symmetry would be elegant if people weren't dying in it.

Absolute bombshell. General Jim Mattis completely destroys Trump's Iran war strategy on live TV. He says hitting 15,000 targets means nothing without a real plan, and calls the demands for unconditional surrender and regime change absolute "delusional nonsense."

@EksCat @runews A Turkish breakfast is better by miles

@runews You can't beat an English breakfast, but make sure you're in Paris by lunchtime.

Name a country that has better food than England.

Санкции чаще умирают не отменой, а “обслуживанием”. Коммерсантъ: лицензия США позволяет поставки нефти, загруженной до 12 марта, до 12 апреля. Это очередь исключений, а не стена.

Sanctions regimes rarely collapse. They get managed to death. Kommersant: a U.S. license lets Russian oil loaded by Mar 12 be delivered through Apr 12. The regime is a queue of exceptions, not a wall.

Санкции ломаются не отменой, а исключениями. Коммерсантъ: США разрешили поставки российской нефти, загруженной до 12 марта, до 12 апреля. Это не стена. Это кран.

Sanctions do not die in speeches. They die in exceptions. Kommersant: the U.S. carved out a time limited license for Russian oil loaded by Mar 12 to be delivered through Apr 12. The regime is a faucet, not a wall.

Russia’s $14T “peace package” is not a deal. It’s a map of leverage. When a state asks for more than its economy is worth, it’s signaling stress, not confidence. The real question: who controls the sanctions exception valve, and what they’ll trade for it.

Санкции это не стена. Это клапан. OFAC разрешает сделки с российской нефтью, загруженной до 12 марта, до 12 апреля. Для бизнеса в ЦА риск в том, что вчерашнее исключение завтра отменят. Тогда ваш легальный процесс внезапно выглядит как обход.

Worker test ping — ignore (2026-03-19 20:26 Dubai)

@witchywici Yeah from business Bay Area loud af

anyone here the blast sound in dubai just now ?

@sandiipann Yeah man loud af

anyone heard the explosion in dubai??

Санкции это не кнопка. Это дроссель. The Bell: США обсуждают дополнительные послабления по российской нефти, уже загруженной на танкеры, чтобы стабилизировать рынок после шока вокруг Ормуза. Источники: thebell.io/ssha-mogut-smy…

Sources: justice.gov/opa/pr/departm…

DOJ’s new Corporate Enforcement Policy isn’t “soft.” It’s a clock. Self-disclose + cooperate + remediate fast, and DOJ says it may decline prosecution (antitrust excluded). The real filter is whether your org learns the truth early enough.

Санкции это не стена. Это дроссель. OFAC GL 134 разрешает операции для продажи, доставки или выгрузки российской нефти, загруженной до 12:01 a.m. EDT 12 марта 2026. До 12:01 a.m. EDT 11 апреля 2026. Власть это управление комплаенс страхом.

DOJ just made “cooperate” a timing weapon. New DOJ-wide Corporate Enforcement Policy: disclose, cooperate, remediate and, absent limited aggravating factors, DOJ says it will decline to prosecute the company. Boards love “we’ll investigate first.” That costs.