World Politics

🔴 پایگاه آمریکا در اردن به‌آتش کشیده شد در پی اصابت موشک‌ و پهپاد به پایگاه موفق السلطی آمریکا در اردن، این پایگاه دچار آتش‌سوزی شده است.

American officials told CBS News that tonight’s US attacks will be more extensive & larger than previous nights. Another US official told NPR that Trump ordered CENTCOM to open “the gates of hell” upon Iran after mass casualties among US terror soldiers. Well… it seems that the war will expand with every day.

Tonight we will have to hit Iran hard in response to our troops being killed in Jordan. After that, we need to end this before it escalates further. Strike & simultaneously pull our forces out—remove Iran’s leverage and move on to economic negotiations. Restore order.

By this logic Iran must hit the US thousands of times in order to make up for what the US did to its people. Strike hard then deescalate is an oxymoron.

Iran claims it’s pursuing an ‘eye-for-an-eye’ strategy when it comes to infrastructure but the reality is far more cynical: only about 2–3% of Iran’s water comes from desalination, while Kuwait depends on it for around 90% of its drinking water. In other words, Iran is threatening a lifeline it barely needs, against nations that are highly dependent on it. This is why they are comfortable to escalate in this realm.

In any chaotic situation, the side that restores order wins. Ending the escalation cycle w/Iran and restoring the free flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz must be our top priority—not only for the sake of our economy, but for America’s standing as a global superpower. There is no military solution to this conflict. The air campaigns are not working & a ground campaign would be a strategic disaster, producing heavy American casualties while further destabilizing the region. Continued escalation only worsens the damage to the U.S., our partners, and the global economy. Killing the Ayatollah has backfired: instead of fracturing the regime, it’s unified Iranians—including many who previously opposed the IRGC & the government— to now rally around the flag and the IRGC. After months of bloodshed, basic human nature combined with nationalism & Shia martyrdom culture dictate that meaningful concessions from the Iranians via diplomacy are highly unlikely while U.S. forces remain within striking distance. We restore order by ending the conflict on our terms: deprive Iran of military targets to strike by removing our troops, bases, & naval forces from the area. Our bases in the region are liabilities & relics of the past—abandoning them is not retreat, it’s strategic adaptation to modern warfare. This move removes Iran’s primary justification for disrupting shipping in the SOH and for attacking its neighbors. We can then offer the carrot: sanctions relief in exchange for freedom of navigation in the SOH. The war has changed the region. Iran has emerged as a major regional power—the sooner we recognize this reality and adjust our posture accordingly, the stronger our position will be.